Happy Valley

12:15

Sai Kung Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf)

Date 2023-02-15
Distance 1m55y
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,559

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (11)
Samarkand
Bay
J:Angus Chung(10)
T:P C Ng
J:Angus Chung(10)
T:P C Ng
135 ht 97-069
60
76
-
14d 0W/1P 1 run 0W/1P 1 run
2.5
Winner in NZ but has struggled thus far in HK; much more needed as he drops in grade
2 (2)
Ready Player One
Bay
J:C Y Ho
T:Jamie Richards
J:C Y Ho
T:Jamie Richards
134 tb 50457-
59
80
-
214d
2.3
Stable debut; placed from a higher mark last year but best watched returning from a break
3 (10)
Fearless Fire
Bay
J:Luke Currie
T:David A Hayes
J:Luke Currie
T:David A Hayes
132 b 6013-7
57
82
-
35d
1.8
Multiple C&D winner who struck as recently as December; place claims from this mark
4 (12)
Dear Sibling
Chestnut
J:K C Leung
T:K L Man
J:K C Leung
T:K L Man
130 b /00-08
55
74
-
25d
1.3
Triple winner in Australia but still adjusting to HK life; hard to fancy from a wide draw
5 (5)
Nunchuks
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:C Fownes
J:Karis Teetan
T:C Fownes
129 t 18-604
54
83
-
22d
1
Previous C&D winner who ran a fair race over 7f at Sha Tin last time out; place claims
6 (9)
Kung Fu Tea
Brown
J:L J Ferraris
T:D J Hall
J:L J Ferraris
T:D J Hall
128 b 926-13
53
74
-
14d
0.8
Confirmed stamina with narrow C&D win last month; placed from today's mark since; claims
7 (8)
Sunny Delight
Brown
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C S Shum
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C S Shum
127 t 4184-2
52
75
-
35d
5.5
Consistent performer over C&D but now creeping up the weights; others preferred
8 (7)
Surrealism
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Richard Gibson
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Richard Gibson
126 b 9005-6
51
78
-
38d
0.3
Nicely treated and effective here but it is approaching three years since he won; risky
9 (4)
Hercules
Brown
J:C Victor Wong(5)
T:C H Yip
J:C Victor Wong(5)
T:C H Yip
124 t 67-080
49
82
-
10d
0
Triple course winner over 6f but has plenty to prove at this trip; recent form worrying
10 (6)
Splendid Living
Chestnut
J:Harry Bentley
T:P F Yiu
J:Harry Bentley
T:P F Yiu
120 t 724-04
45
77
-
31d
0
Fair fourth at Sha Tin (7f) latest but that took his HK record to 0-15; others preferred
11 (1)
Ai One
Brown
J:M L Yeung
T:Jimmy Ting
J:M L Yeung
T:Jimmy Ting
119 ht 9086-6
44
76
-
28d
0
0-14 in HK but placed over C&D from higher marks in the past; he's one to consider
12 (3)
Theta Hedge
Bay
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:K W Lui
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:K W Lui
117 ht 9614-7
42
79
-
28d
0
Decisive C&D Class 5 winner in November; below form latest but makes the shortlist here
13 (13)
Baby
Bay
J:TBC
T:Jimmy Ting
J:
T:Jimmy Ting
128 tb 170-69
53
77
-
14d
0.8
Scored over C&D on final run of last season but form has dipped dramatically since
14 (14)
Lost Child
Bay
J:TBC
T:C W Chang
J:
T:C W Chang
127 7
52
66
-
17d
0.5
No luck in running over 6f on debut last month; can do better as he goes up in trip

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Sunny Delight
5.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0
2nd Samarkand
2.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
3rd Ready Player One
2.3
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
4 Fearless Fire
1.8
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 Dear Sibling
1.3
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
6 Nunchuks
1
OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Kung Fu Tea
0.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Baby
0.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Lost Child
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Surrealism
0.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Hercules
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Splendid Living
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Ai One
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Theta Hedge
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Samarkand
60
76
Ready Player One
59
80
Fearless Fire
57
82
Dear Sibling
55
74
Nunchuks
54
83
Kung Fu Tea
53
74
Baby
53
77
Sunny Delight
52
75
Lost Child
52
66
Surrealism
51
78
Hercules
49
82
Splendid Living
45
77
Ai One
44
76
Theta Hedge
42
79

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Hercules 10d ago Quick return
Samarkand 14d ago Fit
Kung Fu Tea 14d ago Fit
Baby 14d ago Fit
Lost Child 17d ago Fit
Nunchuks 22d ago Fit
Dear Sibling 25d ago Fit
Ai One 28d ago Fit
Theta Hedge 28d ago Fit
Splendid Living 31d ago Fit
Fearless Fire 35d ago Fit
Sunny Delight 35d ago Fit
Surrealism 38d ago Fit
Ready Player One 214d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.