Spreadex Sports First Goalscorer Insurance Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Spreadex Sports First Goalscorer Insurance Handicap

Date 2023-02-21

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,118

Winning Time 1m 39.74s (slow by 1.54s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Southwold (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	11/2	Won
2nd	Covert Mission (FR) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	8/1	.5
3rd	Masqool (IRE) Dougie Costello · James Evans	15/2	0.1
4th	Barney's Bay (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	9/2F	0.2
5th	English Spirit (GB) Joshua Bryan · Heather Main	14/1	.75
6th	Roman Dynasty (IRE) Jason Watson · Joseph Parr	18/1	2
7th	Mabre (IRE) Kevin Stott · David Evans	28/1	0.3
8th	Big Narstie (FR) Luke Morris · Michael Appleby	5/1	0.2
9th	Beautiful Crown (GB) Harry Burns · Brett Johnson	9/1	.75
10th	End Zone (GB) Sam James · Roger Fell	12/1	.75
11th	Rumnotred (GB) Oliver Searle · Rod Millman	8/1	0.05
12th	Barneys Gift (FR) Cam Hardie · Philip Kirby	50/1	.5
13th	Ladypacksapunch (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Grace Harris	125/1	.75
14th	Custard The Dragon (GB) Graham Lee · John Mackie	100/1	1.25

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Roman Dynasty Bay J:Jason Watson T:Joseph Parr	J:Jason Watson T:Joseph Parr	136	—	86700-	71	83	58	102d	—	—	—	5.3	—	—
Winless since his successful 2yo debut; ended 2022 quietly; down in grade but risky
2 (5)	Big Narstie b/br J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	134	—	88-061	69	85	73	11d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Landed gamble in 7f Class 6 h'cap here 11 days ago; 2lb rise manageable; not an easy ride
3 (12)	End Zone Bay J:Sam James T:Roger Fell	J:Sam James T:Roger Fell	134	—	3-4324	69	83	34	12d	—	—	—	6.9	—	—
Comes here in good form and this may be run to suit; each-way claims despite revised mark
4 (4)	Masqool Bay J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	134	—	743-57	69	86	65	15d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Conditions to suit and he's become well treated again; one to consider seriously
5 (13)	Rumnotred Bay J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	134	—	52-25	69	84	60	15d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Recent handicap debut was promising (race not run to suit); more to come but drawn wide
6 (10)	English Spirit Chestnut J:Joshua Bryan T:Heather Main	J:Joshua Bryan T:Heather Main	134	—	1226-9	69	83	48	31d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Infrequent winner but he has claims on last year's best; sharper for last month's return
7 (14)	Covert Mission Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	134	t	6194-8	69	83	69	31d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Four Polytrack wins last year; not at best of late though and has the widest stall
8 (1)	Custard The Dragon Bay J:Graham Lee T:John Mackie	J:Graham Lee T:John Mackie	134	p	1269-9	69	77	43	28d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Multiple winner here; down the field twice since returning from a break; others are safer
9 (8)	Southwold Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	134	—	13-	69	77	46	54d	—	—	—	14.8	—	—
Won very weak race on debut but easily; solid run under penalty here latest; more to come
10 (7)	Beautiful Crown Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Brett Johnson	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Brett Johnson	133	—	077-34	68	81	63	31d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Two fair runs over 1m at Lingfield last month; would benefit from a good pace to aim at
11 (3)	Barneys Bay Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	b	253-43	68	82	63	12d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Ran okay upped to 1m last time but he was always well positioned
12 (6)	Mabre Grey J:Kevin Stott T:David Evans	J:Kevin Stott T:David Evans	128	—	4-1480	63	84	64	11d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Had an excuse over 7f here last time but he'll still need to raise his game to win
13 (2)	Barneys Gift Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Philip Kirby	J:Cam Hardie T:Philip Kirby	123	—	755-87	58	83	78	12d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Tumbling down the weights but he has too much to prove for comfort
14 (9)	Ladypacksapunch Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	121	p	36049-	56	82	70	83d	—	—	—	2.1	—	—
Nine-race maiden; up in class today and the new headgear needs to give her a major lift

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Southwold

14.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

2nd

End Zone

6.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Roman Dynasty

5.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Big Narstie

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Masqool

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Rumnotred

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

English Spirit

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Covert Mission

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Custard The Dragon

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Beautiful Crown

4.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Barneys Bay

4.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mabre

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ladypacksapunch

2.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Barneys Gift

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roman Dynasty	71	83	58
Big Narstie	69	85	73
End Zone	69	83	34
Masqool	69	86	65
Rumnotred	69	84	60
English Spirit	69	83	48
Covert Mission	69	83	69
Custard The Dragon	69	77	43
Southwold	69	77	46
Beautiful Crown	68	81	63
Barneys Bay	68	82	63
Mabre	63	84	64
Barneys Gift	58	83	78
Ladypacksapunch	56	82	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Big Narstie	11d ago	Quick return
Mabre	11d ago	Quick return
End Zone	12d ago	Quick return
Barneys Bay	12d ago	Quick return
Barneys Gift	12d ago	Quick return
Masqool	15d ago	Fit
Rumnotred	15d ago	Fit
Custard The Dragon	28d ago	Fit
English Spirit	31d ago	Fit
Covert Mission	31d ago	Fit
Beautiful Crown	31d ago	Fit
Southwold	54d ago	Fresh
Ladypacksapunch	83d ago	Fresh
Roman Dynasty	102d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.