Connolly's RED MILLS Ladies Handicap Hurdle – Thurles

Thurles

16:50

Connolly's RED MILLS Ladies Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-02-23

Distance 2m70y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (21)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Only One Plan Bay J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	151	—	-53040	85	108	84	12d	—	—	—	9.7	—	—
First reserve; no show at Naas last time; claims on his previous start also at Naas
NR	Tiantu Brown J:TBC T:Paul Power	J: T:Paul Power	147	t	P0-046	81	96	-	—	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Second reserve; well beaten in two points since his last start on the track last summer
NR	One More Lass Bay J:TBC T:Ms M Flynn	J: T:Ms M Flynn	146	h	P38P00	80	106	81	1d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Third reserve; well beaten in a Tramore maiden hurdle in December
1	Callthebarman Bay J:Sarah Kavanagh(4) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Sarah Kavanagh(4) T:Neill Mccluskey	168	t	-7605P	102	105	86	160d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Never at his best for Matthew Smith after almost two years on the sidelines; best watched
2	Toms Courage Bay J:Miss E Cody(7) T:John M Burke	J:Miss E Cody(7) T:John M Burke	168	h	53667U	102	107	92	65d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Consistent enough for his mark to stay steady but likely to find a couple too good
3	Call Me Rocky Bay J:Miss S Doyle(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Miss S Doyle(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	165	t	88-460	99	109	65	12d	—	—	—	12.3	—	—
Down now to a mark of 99 which should be a help and would not be a shock winner
4	Must Be Dreaming Bay J:Miss M O'Sullivan T:G Ahern	J:Miss M O'Sullivan T:G Ahern	164	—	356594	98	112	98	112d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Good fourth in a 2m4f handicap hurdle here in November and comes into it on her best form
5	True Destiny Chestnut J:Miss A McGuinness(7) T:J J Lambe	J:Miss A McGuinness(7) T:J J Lambe	163	—	05100P	97	114	85	15d	—	—	—	13.3	—	—
Won Sligo handicap hurdle in October; no trace of that form since and makes little appeal
6	Future Proof Bay J:Melanie Horsman(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Melanie Horsman(7) T:P J Rothwell	160	p	770000	94	103	75	25d	—	—	—	11	—	—
Long time since he showed anything and makes no appeal here
7	Toor Moment Brown J:Miss S Ahern(4) T:Ms M Flynn	J:Miss S Ahern(4) T:Ms M Flynn	159	—	P-2209	93	109	103	14d	—	—	—	10.8	—	—
Drop in trip and good ground should be in her favour and cannot be discounted
8	Knockraha Park Bay J:Ms H Phillips(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Ms H Phillips(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	158	t	PP370	92	102	65	23d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Did not do badly in a Down Royal maiden hurdle last month and handicapped on that basis
9	Pharisees Brown J:Miss C O O'Brien(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Miss C O O'Brien(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	158	p	067000	92	99	65	7d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Track form not up to much but presumably is though to be a bit better than that; opposable
10	Tullyhogue Fort Chestnut J:Miss J Walton(2) T:John F Oneill	J:Miss J Walton(2) T:John F Oneill	158	—	664143	92	107	81	125d	—	—	—	18.5	—	—
Not to be underestimated but might find one or two of these to be too sharp for him
11	Dylan Lombardy Chestnut J:Miss F Fox(7) T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	J:Miss F Fox(7) T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	157	t	-7307P	91	111	59	37d	—	—	—	10.3	—	—
Return to good ground will certainly help and could well be a player here
12	Ricky Langford Bay J:Miss P Elvin(4) T:P J Rothwell	J:Miss P Elvin(4) T:P J Rothwell	155	—	1P0900	89	98	83	28d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
This might be the first time he has had suitable ground in a while; could outrun his odds
13	Port Rashid Chestnut J:Miss J Townend T:Timothy Townend	J:Miss J Townend T:Timothy Townend	154	—	5667-3	88	107	-	23d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
Down 1lb for Limerick and better ground is likely to help; potentially a leading contender
14	Theonewedreamof Bay J:Miss A B O'Connor T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Miss A B O'Connor T:Gavin Cromwell	154	—	9001	100	114	58	24d	—	—	—	22.5	—	—
Up 8lb for Punchestown win but has shown her best form on much softer ground
15	Latest Model Bay J:TBC T:John Joseph Hanlon	J: T:John Joseph Hanlon	152	t	360906	86	108	78	37d	—	—	—	9	—	—
Not badly handicapped on her best form and seems to have her ground here; interesting
16	Katzoff Grey J:Miss R Murphy(4) T:J Morrison	J:Miss R Murphy(4) T:J Morrison	151	—	0P0-88	85	105	56	146d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
Ordinary form and not seen since down the field at Gowran in September; others preferred
17	Danza Della Luna Chestnut J:Katie Reddington(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Katie Reddington(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	150	t	0490	96	110	90	12d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
Flat winner in Britain; good run in a Limerick maiden hurdle in December; tongue-tie tried
18	Alphonse Le Grande Bay J:Miss Sioned Whittle(4) T:A J Martin	J:Miss Sioned Whittle(4) T:A J Martin	146	—	F00	92	109	76	38d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
No show in two maiden hurdles; capable of much better and worth a market check here

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Theonewedreamof

22.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Tullyhogue Fort

18.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

3rd

True Destiny

13.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Callthebarman

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Toms Courage

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Port Rashid

12.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Call Me Rocky

12.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Must Be Dreaming

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Danza Della Luna

11.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Knockraha Park

11.3

OR: 10.5 Form: 0.8 Odds: 0

—

Future Proof

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Toor Moment

10.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Pharisees

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Alphonse Le Grande

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dylan Lombardy

10.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ricky Langford

9.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Only One Plan

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Latest Model

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Katzoff

8.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Tiantu

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

One More Lass

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Callthebarman	102	105	86
Toms Courage	102	107	92
Theonewedreamof	100	114	58
Call Me Rocky	99	109	65
Must Be Dreaming	98	112	98
True Destiny	97	114	85
Danza Della Luna	96	110	90
Future Proof	94	103	75
Toor Moment	93	109	103
Knockraha Park	92	102	65
Pharisees	92	99	65
Tullyhogue Fort	92	107	81
Alphonse Le Grande	92	109	76
Dylan Lombardy	91	111	59
Ricky Langford	89	98	83
Port Rashid	88	107	—
Latest Model	86	108	78
Only One Plan	85	108	84
Katzoff	85	105	56
Tiantu	81	96	—
One More Lass	80	106	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One More Lass	1d ago	Quick return
Pharisees	7d ago	Quick return
Only One Plan	12d ago	Quick return
Call Me Rocky	12d ago	Quick return
Danza Della Luna	12d ago	Quick return
Toor Moment	14d ago	Fit
True Destiny	15d ago	Fit
Knockraha Park	23d ago	Fit
Port Rashid	23d ago	Fit
Theonewedreamof	24d ago	Fit
Future Proof	25d ago	Fit
Ricky Langford	28d ago	Fit
Dylan Lombardy	37d ago	Fit
Latest Model	37d ago	Fit
Alphonse Le Grande	38d ago	Fit
Toms Courage	65d ago	Fresh
Must Be Dreaming	112d ago	Long break
Tullyhogue Fort	125d ago	Long break
Katzoff	146d ago	Long break
Callthebarman	160d ago	Long break
Tiantu	—	—