Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Handicap

Date 2023-02-28

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Alexander James Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	137	p	582-04	87	96	75	33d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Conditions no problem and this easier than last time; Oisin Murphy booked; yard in form
2 (3)	Tropez Power Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	137	—	371-32	87	96	63	25d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
C&D winner in December; placed both runs since, 2nd to handicap blot latest; big player
3 (1)	Plastic Paddy Bay J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Michael Appleby	J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Michael Appleby	131	p	494-51	81	97	83	10d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Surged to front before idling when beating Chief's Will latest; may not confirm placings
4 (6)	Chiefs Will Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	129	p	2-2512	79	96	80	10d	—	—	—	10.8	—	—
C&D winner last month; solid effort behind Plastic Paddy latest; in the mix once more
5 (4)	Soames Forsyte Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	128	h	9276-2	78	97	75	33d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Chased home Chief's Will over C&D last month; sold 22,000gns since; new yard tries a hood
6 (8)	Candy Warhol Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	124	—	433-4	74	89	19	4d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Too keen on his return on Friday; opening mark looks a tough one
7 (5)	Mykonos St John Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	122	p	7060-9	72	94	52	4d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Thrown in on last year's form but it was an underwhelming return from him on Friday
8 (7)	Local Bay Brown J:Andrea Atzeni T:Tony Carroll	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Tony Carroll	120	—	68-112	70	100	93	4d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Comes here in rude health but this a step up in class; still needs serious consideration

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Soames Forsyte

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Chiefs Will

10.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Alexander James

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Tropez Power

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Plastic Paddy

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Candy Warhol

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mykonos St John

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Local Bay

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alexander James	87	96	75
Tropez Power	87	96	63
Plastic Paddy	81	97	83
Chiefs Will	79	96	80
Soames Forsyte	78	97	75
Candy Warhol	74	89	19
Mykonos St John	72	94	52
Local Bay	70	100	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Candy Warhol	4d ago	Quick return
Mykonos St John	4d ago	Quick return
Local Bay	4d ago	Quick return
Plastic Paddy	10d ago	Quick return
Chiefs Will	10d ago	Quick return
Tropez Power	25d ago	Fit
Alexander James	33d ago	Fit
Soames Forsyte	33d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.