Southwell (AW)

20:00

Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Handicap

Date 2023-03-07
Distance 1m13y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £4,292

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
NR (7)
Mi Capricho
Bay
J:TBC
T:Keith Dalgleish
J:
T:Keith Dalgleish
127 5407-0
62
78
61
25d
3
Folded pretty tamely over 7f here last month on return from wind surgery; best watched.
1 (8)
Southwold
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
137 13-1
72
83
69
14d
15.5
Determined recent C&D winner; now 2lb worse off with Covert Mission and Masqool.
2 (5)
Masqool
Bay
J:Dougie Costello
T:James Evans
J:Dougie Costello
T:James Evans
135 43-573
70
84
68
14d
5
Solid on AW and is very closely matched indeed with Southwold and Covert Mission; chance.
3 (11)
Showmedemoney
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
135 t 4-5415
70
82
50
26d
5
Newcastle winner (1m); set way too much to do back there latest; must enter calculations.
4 (6)
Covert Mission
Bay
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
135 t 194-82
70
82
69
14d
5
Runner-up to Southwold (C&D) latest; has a chance of gaining revenge on 2lb better terms.
5 (2)
Roman Dynasty
Bay
J:Jamie Spencer
T:Joseph Parr
J:Jamie Spencer
T:Joseph Parr
134 6700-6
69
77
62
14d
4.8
In the mix (6th) behind Southwold over C&D a fortnight ago; 5lb better off with him here.
6 (1)
Athmad
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Ruth Carr
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Ruth Carr
134 b 60-864
69
81
60
12d
4.8
7-30 AW; fair mark (moderate recent form); needs the switch to Southwell to spark revival.
7 (9)
War Defender
Bay
J:Phil Dennis
T:Tim Easterby
J:Phil Dennis
T:Tim Easterby
131 t 4589-6
66
81
-
17d
4
Competitive mark; hasn't won since early 2022; did too much in front at Newcastle latest.
8 (10)
Antagonize
Bay
J:Harrison Shaw
T:Bryan Smart
J:Harrison Shaw
T:Bryan Smart
131 20420-
66
82
-
162d
8.5
Mowed down late on at Carlisle (1m) in September; absent 162 days since poor run latest.
10 (4)
Daafy
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Derek Shaw
J:Cam Hardie
T:Derek Shaw
127 v 2-0372
62
83
70
18d
6.5
Southwell specialist (7f-1m); performing to a consistent level; never discounted here
11 (3)
Recorwoman
Chestnut
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
126 ht 704-58
61
83
71
46d
2.8
Has failed to build on his C&D fourth in December; 1-21 overall

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Southwold
15.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0
2nd Antagonize
8.5
OR: 4 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0
3rd Daafy
6.5
OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0
4 Masqool
5
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 Showmedemoney
5
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
6 Covert Mission
5
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Roman Dynasty
4.8
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Athmad
4.8
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 War Defender
4
OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Mi Capricho
3
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Recorwoman
2.8
OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Southwold
72
83
69
Masqool
70
84
68
Showmedemoney
70
82
50
Covert Mission
70
82
69
Roman Dynasty
69
77
62
Athmad
69
81
60
War Defender
66
81
Antagonize
66
82
Mi Capricho
62
78
61
Daafy
62
83
70
Recorwoman
61
83
71

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Athmad 12d ago Quick return
Southwold 14d ago Fit
Masqool 14d ago Fit
Covert Mission 14d ago Fit
Roman Dynasty 14d ago Fit
War Defender 17d ago Fit
Daafy 18d ago Fit
Mi Capricho 25d ago Fit
Showmedemoney 26d ago Fit
Recorwoman 46d ago Fresh
Antagonize 162d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Antagonize Front Runner
Masqool Mid-Pack
Roman Dynasty Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 11 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.