Naas

15:10

King Of Change Handicap

Date 2023-03-26
Distance 7f
Class
Going Heavy
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize €9,440

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (11)
Pale Iris
Bay
J:Tom Kiely Marshall(7)
T:Joseph G Murphy
J:Tom Kiely Marshall(7)
T:Joseph G Murphy
140 54889-
88
93
76
155d
9.5
Last won here in 2021; down to her last winning mark now with 7lb taken off; not dismissed
2 (4)
Laughifuwant
Bay
J:Seamie Heffernan
T:Gerard Keane
J:Seamie Heffernan
T:Gerard Keane
139 05005-
87
102
73
140d
9.3
On a steady decline since 2020 in handicaps and stakes races; others preferred
3 (12)
Spanish Tenor
Chestnut
J:Cian MacRedmond(5)
T:Adrian Mcguinness
J:Cian MacRedmond(5)
T:Adrian Mcguinness
138 80400-
86
100
97
140d
9
Won this race off this mark last year; well treated at his best but has a bit to prove now
4 (3)
Big Baby Bull
Chestnut
J:J M Sheridan(3)
T:Denis Gerard Hogan
J:J M Sheridan(3)
T:Denis Gerard Hogan
137 tp 1248-0
85
95
76
30d
8.8
C&D winner; all his best form is on good ground though and others preferred on that basis
5 (5)
Plunkett
Bay
J:Luke McAteer(3)
T:Paul W Flynn
J:Luke McAteer(3)
T:Paul W Flynn
136 33850-
84
95
85
154d
10
Did okay off higher marks without winning and is versatile as to ground; each-way chance
6 (7)
The Organiser
Bay
J:Donagh O'Connor
T:J F Levins
J:Donagh O'Connor
T:J F Levins
136 95863-
84
93
77
163d
11.5
Ran well on heavy for Karl Burke in a Haydock handicap in October; debut for Johnny Levins
7 (2)
Crystal Black
Bay
J:Colin Keane
T:Gerard Keane
J:Colin Keane
T:Gerard Keane
135 /6600-
83
99
52
211d
8.3
No real impression in handicaps last year off probably too high a mark; back to 7f here
8 (6)
Vocal Studies
Brown
J:Rory Cleary
T:J S Bolger
J:Rory Cleary
T:J S Bolger
135 06210-
83
96
71
140d
17.8
Back to possibly his best trip on ground he likes so certainly comes into calculations
9 (8)
Loingseoir
Bay
J:James Ryan(7)
T:M C Grassick
J:James Ryan(7)
T:M C Grassick
134 t 6061-5
82
96
79
16d
8
Ran as well as expected in a Dundalk conditions event two weeks ago; should be cherry ripe
10 (9)
Mary Salome
Grey
J:W J Lee
T:Andrew Kinirons
J:W J Lee
T:Andrew Kinirons
132 15550-
80
98
83
140d
9.5
Normally comes on for her first run so others look more likely here
11 (1)
Chazzesmee
Bay
J:Mark Enright
T:J A Stack
J:Mark Enright
T:J A Stack
129 h 7P/4-1
77
90
53
72d
16.8
Up 16lb for Dundalk win and has run well on testing ground; could still be well treated
12 (10)
Facethepuckout
Bay
J:Leigh Roche
T:M D Ocallaghan
J:Leigh Roche
T:M D Ocallaghan
129 03110-
77
95
70
154d
19.7
Up to 77 now and that makes it trickier but conditions in his favour and has major claims

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Facethepuckout
19.7
OR: 6.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 0
2nd Vocal Studies
17.8
OR: 8.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0
3rd Chazzesmee
16.8
OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0
4 The Organiser
11.5
OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0
5 Plunkett
10
OR: 8.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
6 Pale Iris
9.5
OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Mary Salome
9.5
OR: 7.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0
8 Laughifuwant
9.3
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Spanish Tenor
9
OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Big Baby Bull
8.8
OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Crystal Black
8.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Loingseoir
8
OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Pale Iris
88
93
76
Laughifuwant
87
102
73
Spanish Tenor
86
100
97
Big Baby Bull
85
95
76
Plunkett
84
95
85
The Organiser
84
93
77
Crystal Black
83
99
52
Vocal Studies
83
96
71
Loingseoir
82
96
79
Mary Salome
80
98
83
Chazzesmee
77
90
53
Facethepuckout
77
95
70

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Loingseoir 16d ago Fit
Big Baby Bull 30d ago Fit
Chazzesmee 72d ago Fresh
Laughifuwant 140d ago Long break
Spanish Tenor 140d ago Long break
Vocal Studies 140d ago Long break
Mary Salome 140d ago Long break
Plunkett 154d ago Long break
Facethepuckout 154d ago Long break
Pale Iris 155d ago Long break
The Organiser 163d ago Long break
Crystal Black 211d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.