His Majesty's Cup Rated Race – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

15:05

His Majesty's Cup Rated Race

Date 2023-04-06

Distance 5f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €9,440

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Thunderbear Bay J:Luke McAteer(3) T:Jack W Davison	J:Luke McAteer(3) T:Jack W Davison	134	b	42610-	86	91	67	188d	—	—	—	17.5	—	—
First-time blinkers tried on return after finding Listed class too hot at Dundalk
2 (6)	Escaping Thejungle Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:E D Delany	J:Wayne Lordan T:E D Delany	130	—	35412-	82	94	85	167d	—	—	—	20.6	—	—
Maiden winner here who then ran well in defeat at Dundalk and form is solid; big chance
3 (3)	Polar Bear Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	130	p	24218-	82	96	80	151d	—	—	—	18.5	—	—
Won on soft in the autumn after being second to Escaping Thejungle here; tries cheekpieces
4 (5)	Lovejoy Grey J:W J Lee T:W Mccreery	J:W J Lee T:W Mccreery	128	—	17-	80	91	76	167d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Didn't build on Navan debut win but likes it soft and has plenty scope to progress yet
5 (2)	Charming Lady Bay J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	124	—	17449-	76	94	52	167d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
C&D winner last summer who might not relish these conditions
6 (1)	Sams Xpress Brown J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Kieran P Cotter	124	—	775-11	76	99	47	21d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Progressive sort is on a hat-trick but this is a step up on switch back to turf

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Escaping Thejungle

20.6

OR: 8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Polar Bear

18.5

OR: 8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Thunderbear

17.5

OR: 9 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Lovejoy

14.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Charming Lady

8.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Sams Xpress

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thunderbear	86	91	67
Escaping Thejungle	82	94	85
Polar Bear	82	96	80
Lovejoy	80	91	76
Charming Lady	76	94	52
Sams Xpress	76	99	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sams Xpress	21d ago	Fit
Polar Bear	151d ago	Long break
Escaping Thejungle	167d ago	Long break
Lovejoy	167d ago	Long break
Charming Lady	167d ago	Long break
Thunderbear	188d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Bellewstown over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.