tote £250K Guaranteed Placepot Royal Mile Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

13:50

tote £250K Guaranteed Placepot Royal Mile Handicap

Date 2023-04-08

Distance 1m2y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £12,885

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (7)	Dumfries Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Hayley Turner T:Marcus Tregoning	120	—	425-1	79	101	64	30d	—	—	+2	23.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won Southwell AW maiden last month and has potential off his handicap debut mark
6 (5)	Lion Of War Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	11553-	87	106	85	168d	—	—	+3	23.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
The return to 1m should suit on reappearance and yard has an excellent record in this race
2 (2)	Finns Charm Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	31459-	92	102	90	213d	—	—	+8	16.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Disappointing on final two runs last season but was fourth in the Chesham prior to those
8 (1)	Gincident Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	123	—	21-131	82	101	58	43d	—	—	+2	10.4	2.25/1	10 10%
This is tougher than the AW races he's been winning but he's progressive
7 (6)	Metahorse Grey Roan J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	128	—	11038-	87	103	77	182d	—	—	+9	19.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Some solid nursery form last year but below par on last run and has to be better than ever
3 (8)	Manitou Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	131	—	33117-	90	98	72	182d	—	—	+17	25.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Below par in soft-ground French Listed last time but retains potential for in-form yard
5 (4)	Pol Roger Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	128	—	21120-	87	101	84	182d	—	—	+16	24.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Two-time novice winner last August; improvement possible, but necessary in warm handicap
1 (3)	Captain Winters Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	135	p	42135-	94	101	63	173d	—	—	+15	21.2	3.25/1	14 7%
2022 highlight was a Listed third; illustrious pedigree hints he could be a 3yo to follow
4 (9)	Chillhi Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	129	—	18159-	88	101	74	173d	—	—	+14	17.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Tailed off in Listed race on final 2yo run but could go well in view of previous promise

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dumfries	3	3	3	11/4	3
Lion Of War	10/3	11/4	3	3	3
Finns Charm	8	15/2	8	15/2	8
Gincident	8/1	9	9	10	9
Metahorse	7	7	7	13/2	7
Manitou	9	9	9	8	17/2
Pol Roger	10	9	9	8	9
Captain Winters	14	14	14	14	12
Chillhi	22	22	22	22	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Manitou

25.9

OR: 10 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

2nd

Pol Roger

24.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.4

3rd

Dumfries

23.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 6.6

11/4

Lion Of War

23.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 8 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Captain Winters

21.2

OR: 11 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.6

Metahorse

19.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Chillhi

17.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

Finns Charm

16.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Gincident

10.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Captain Winters	94	101	63
Finns Charm	92	102	90
Manitou	90	98	72
Chillhi	88	101	74
Lion Of War	87	106	85
Metahorse	87	103	77
Pol Roger	87	101	84
Gincident	82	101	58
Dumfries	79	101	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dumfries	30d ago	Fit
Gincident	43d ago	Fit
Lion Of War	168d ago	Long break
Captain Winters	173d ago	Long break
Chillhi	173d ago	Long break
Metahorse	182d ago	Long break
Manitou	182d ago	Long break
Pol Roger	182d ago	Long break
Finns Charm	213d ago	Long break