Follow @AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:13

Follow @AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap

Date 2023-04-10

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 14.22s (slow by 2.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mellys Flyer (GB) Marco Ghiani · George Scott	11/4F	Won
2nd	Murbih (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	13/2	1.25
3rd	Westmorian (GB) Sam James · Grant Tuer	4/1	0.05
4th	Newyorkstateofmind (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Ruth Carr	13/2	0.3
5th	El Hombre (GB) Ray Dawson · Mark Loughnane	7/1	0.3
6th	Under The Twilight (GB) David Probert · Michael Blake	8/1	1.5
7th	Giselles Izzy (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Iain Jardine	11/2	2.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Mellys Flyer Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:George Scott	J:Marco Ghiani T:George Scott	135	h	8-5535	75	91	71	13d	—	—	-11	13.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
2lb below last winning mark, but twice behind Murbih since returning in January
1 (5)	Westmorian Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	137	—	611-07	77	89	65	27d	—	—	-8	12.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Twice held since winning two late last year, but could go well down in class
6 (8)	Under The Twilight Bay J:David Probert T:Michael Blake	J:David Probert T:Michael Blake	131	—	733-64	71	85	73	35d	—	—	-4	8.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
2lb below last winning mark, but still has to convince as a sprinter
7 (1)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Iain Jardine	J:Saffie Osborne T:Iain Jardine	116	—	-53532	56	88	78	41d	—	—	-1	13.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
1-19 but very nearly doubled her tally at Southwell last time; shouldn't be far away
2 (6)	Murbih Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	136	—	396120	76	85	78	7d	—	—	+9	17.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2-3 around here, but needs to bounce back from a modest effort at Newcastle
3 (2)	Newyorkstateofmind Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ruth Carr	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ruth Carr	135	—	64810-	75	84	79	191d	—	—	+6	16.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
2-5 here including a win over this trip last September; stable debut; can go well fresh
5 (4)	El Hombre Chestnut J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	J:Ray Dawson T:Mark Loughnane	131	—	126451	71	85	77	16d	—	—	+10	18.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Three wins over C&D and scored at Lingfield last time; considered.
NR (7)	Catesby Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	116	—	00-715	56	87	69	27d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Both wins have come over C&D, the latest last month, but not the most consistent

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mellys Flyer	3	11/4	9/4	11/4	11/4
Westmorian	7/2	10/3	3	3	3
Under The Twilight	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Giselles Izzy	9/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Murbih	9	9	17/2	8	17/2
Newyorkstateofmind	13/2	15/2	7	7	15/2
El Hombre	11	9	9	9	9

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

El Hombre

18.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 11 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Murbih

17.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

3rd

Newyorkstateofmind

16.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Mellys Flyer

13.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Giselles Izzy

13.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 8 Odds: 4

11/2

Westmorian

12.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Under The Twilight

8.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Catesby

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Westmorian	77	89	65
Murbih	76	85	78
Mellys Flyer	75	91	71
Newyorkstateofmind	75	84	79
Under The Twilight	71	85	73
El Hombre	71	85	77
Giselles Izzy	56	88	78
Catesby	56	87	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Murbih	7d ago	Quick return
Mellys Flyer	13d ago	Quick return
El Hombre	16d ago	Fit
Westmorian	27d ago	Fit
Catesby	27d ago	Fit
Under The Twilight	35d ago	Fit
Giselles Izzy	41d ago	Fit
Newyorkstateofmind	191d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.