Marsh Chase (Registered As The Melling Chase) (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree

15:30

Date 2023-04-14

Distance 2m3f200y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £140,325

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Fakir Doudairies Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Mark Walsh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	164	p	1-5213	163	175	142	55d	—	—	+14	44.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Below par in Ascot Chase last time but impressive in the last two runnings of this race
7	Pic Dorhy Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	164	t	P-1112	162	172	149	55d	—	—	+14	33.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ahead of Fakir D'Oudairies when second in the Ascot Chase and he's a leading player
4	Hitman Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	164	tp	-21P23	159	169	160	29d	—	—	+30	39.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Yet to win a Graded race but several big runs in defeat and might be in the shake-up
2	French Dynamite Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:M F Morris	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:M F Morris	164	tp	312524	156	166	157	29d	—	—	+26	36.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Another creditable run when 4th in Ryanair but may again find a few too good
5	Millers Bank Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	164	—	5U2265	153	163	140	55d	—	—	+23	31.8	2.00/1	9 11%
His record in Grade 1s at this meeting very much catches the eye; interesting back here
3	Fugitif Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Richard Hobson	J:Sean Bowen T:Richard Hobson	164	t	8-2122	153	161	146	29d	—	—	+20	28.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Has thrived in handicaps this season (second at Cheltenham Festival) but needs more here
6	Minella Drama Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	164	—	2-4311	154	163	145	56d	—	—	+26	30.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Has made all in handicaps the last twice but he's probably vulnerable now back up in grade

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fakir Doudairies	15/8	15/8	2	15/8	15/8
Pic Dorhy	10/3	3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Hitman	15/2	15/2	8	7	13/2
French Dynamite	15/2	15/2	6	13/2	13/2
Millers Bank	9	9	9	9	9
Fugitif	10	10	8	9	9
Minella Drama	25	20	18	25	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fakir Doudairies

44.7

OR: 28.3 Form: 7 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Hitman

39.9

OR: 27.3 Form: 9.8 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

French Dynamite

36.6

OR: 26.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Pic Dorhy

33.7

OR: 28 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Millers Bank

31.8

OR: 25.8 Form: 3.7 Odds: 2.4

Minella Drama

30.9

OR: 26 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

Fugitif

28.1

OR: 25.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fakir Doudairies	163	175	142
Pic Dorhy	162	172	149
Hitman	159	169	160
French Dynamite	156	166	157
Minella Drama	154	163	145
Millers Bank	153	163	140
Fugitif	153	161	146

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hitman	29d ago	Fit
French Dynamite	29d ago	Fit
Fugitif	29d ago	Fit
Fakir Doudairies	55d ago	Fresh
Pic Dorhy	55d ago	Fresh
Millers Bank	55d ago	Fresh
Minella Drama	56d ago	Fresh