Poundland Top Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree

14:55

Date 2023-04-14

Distance 2m103y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £56,270

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Inthepocket Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	161	—	1-1124	149	157	147	31d	—	—	+17	37.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Good fourth in the Supreme last time; leading contender on ratings
3	Found A Fifty Bay J:Davy Russell T:Gordon Elliott	J:Davy Russell T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	1-212	147	156	130	47d	—	—	+19	36.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Good level of form in both attempts over hurdles; should improve further
14	Luccia Chestnut J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	154	—	11-114	138	156	134	29d	—	—	+9	27.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Soft ground taxed her at the Cheltenham Festival; has looked very talented otherwise
5	Hullnback Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	161	t	52-211	134	141	111	62d	—	—	+14	23.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran well in G2 bumper at this meeting last year; also useful over hurdles; solid chance
8	No Looking Back Grey J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver Mckiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver Mckiernan	161	—	14-112	-	152	92	33d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Progressive; trainer's only British Graded win came at this meeting in 2012; respected
1	Altobelli Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Harry Fry	J:Bryan Carver T:Harry Fry	161	—	1-11	-	149	130	53d	—	—	+3	8.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Unbeaten in three runs; very promising and looks a potential Graded horse
12	Strong Leader Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	161	—	121119	140	150	139	31d	—	—	+35	39.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Still open to further progress and he's the only course winner in this field
13	Tahmuras Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	161	—	1-1110	139	153	130	31d	—	—	+25	30.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Only tenth in the Supreme but very progressive otherwise and could well bounce back
9	Pembroke Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	161	t	-71120	135	147	119	28d	—	—	+31	33.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Disappointing in the County Hurdle; now goes in tongue-tie
4	Hansard Bay J:Jamie Moore T:Gary Moore	J:Jamie Moore T:Gary Moore	161	—	61-115	129	134	106	48d	—	—	+18	20.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Disappointing favourite in the Dovecote; this is a harder assignment
NR	Colonel Harry Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	161	t	-21412	132	143	128	41d	—	—	+34	37.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Has a solid record but faces a tough task back at Grade 1 level
10	Rare Edition Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Brian Hughes T:Charlie Longsdon	161	—	-1112P	138	151	133	31d	—	—	+32	34.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Bubble has been burst with defeats the last twice; others preferred
NR	Rubaud Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	161	h	-11201	135	144	124	48d	—	—	+37	39.2	16.25/1	66 2%
Dovecote winner; suited by good ground; further rain would be a negative
7	Matata Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Daryl Jacob T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	h	-122O1	129	136	123	41d	—	—	+35	36.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Aintree will suit but he may prove vulnerable in this deep field

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Inthepocket	4	4	11/4	10/3	10/3
Found A Fifty	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Luccia	7/2	7/2	4	7/2	7/2
Hullnback	15/2	13/2	7	7	15/2
No Looking Back	8	15/2	8	7	8
Altobelli	14	14	12	14	14
Strong Leader	16	16	16	14	14
Tahmuras	16	16	14	12	12
Pembroke	33	28	28	28	28
Hansard	33	33	33	33	33
Colonel Harry	40	40	28	33	28
Rare Edition	50	50	50	40	40
Rubaud	66	50	50	40	40
Matata	100	100	100	80	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Strong Leader

39.9

OR: 22.5 Form: 16 Odds: 1.4

2nd

Rubaud

39.2

OR: 21.3 Form: 17.5 Odds: 0.5

3rd

Inthepocket

37.9

OR: 24.8 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Colonel Harry

37.3

OR: 20.5 Form: 16 Odds: 0.8

Found A Fifty

36.5

OR: 24.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Matata

36.1

OR: 19.8 Form: 16 Odds: 0.4

100

Rare Edition

34.6

OR: 22 Form: 12 Odds: 0.6

Pembroke

33.5

OR: 21.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.8

Tahmuras

30.9

OR: 22.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

Luccia

27.2

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Hullnback

23.9

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hansard

20.5

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Altobelli

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

No Looking Back

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Inthepocket	149	157	147
Found A Fifty	147	156	130
Strong Leader	140	150	139
Tahmuras	139	153	130
Luccia	138	156	134
Rare Edition	138	151	133
Pembroke	135	147	119
Rubaud	135	144	124
Hullnback	134	141	111
Colonel Harry	132	143	128
Hansard	129	134	106
Matata	129	136	123
No Looking Back	—	152	92
Altobelli	—	149	130

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pembroke	28d ago	Fit
Luccia	29d ago	Fit
Inthepocket	31d ago	Fit
Strong Leader	31d ago	Fit
Tahmuras	31d ago	Fit
Rare Edition	31d ago	Fit
No Looking Back	33d ago	Fit
Colonel Harry	41d ago	Fit
Matata	41d ago	Fit
Found A Fifty	47d ago	Fresh
Hansard	48d ago	Fresh
Rubaud	48d ago	Fresh
Altobelli	53d ago	Fresh
Hullnback	62d ago	Fresh