Turners Mersey Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree

15:00

Date 2023-04-15

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £56,270

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Hermes Allen Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	161	t	1-1116	150	161	134	31d	—	—	+16	38.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Disappointing in the Ballymore but has looked very smart otherwise; Challow winner
5	Dark Raven Brown J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	161	—	11/136	145	156	143	32d	—	—	+11	29	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Creditable sixth in the Supreme on latest 2m start; major player if he stays this new trip
8	Irish Point Grey J:Davy Russell T:Gordon Elliott	J:Davy Russell T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	-12241	148	153	129	34d	—	—	+33	43.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Grade 3 winner last time; has strong Grade 1 form-lines; holds solid claims
15	You Wear It Well Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	154	—	-11211	142	154	135	30d	—	—	+41	50	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Improving mare; scored at the Cheltenham Festival most recently; respected
9	Letsbeclearaboutit Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	161	—	/24214	144	154	134	29d	—	—	+29	36.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Useful stayer, fourth in the Albert Bartlett most recently; easy 2m4f may be inadequate
11	Springwell Bay Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	161	—	1-1311	140	146	131	25d	—	—	+24	31.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Defied a double penalty in smooth style at Wetherby last month; interesting
1	Authorised Speed Bay J:Jamie Moore T:Gary Moore	J:Jamie Moore T:Gary Moore	161	—	5-1151	133	145	127	39d	—	—	+16	22.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Easily defied a double penalty at Sandown last time; useful sort who can't be dismissed
14	Kateira Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	15-111	128	145	114	53d	—	—	+15	21.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Progressive mare but faces a tougher task now taking on males for first time
4	Crambo Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	161	t	1-1P11	131	140	129	35d	—	—	+24	28.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Rallied gamely to win the EBF Final at Sandown; open to further improvement
2	Blow Your Wad Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	161	t	4-2161	132	141	119	21d	—	—	+18	21.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Won handicap at Newbury last month; faces a stiffer task back up in class
3	Cool Survivor Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Gordon Elliott	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	611240	140	147	119	29d	—	—	+27	31.2	5.25/1	22 5%
May need a return to further; his Listed/Graded form is at 2m6f and 3m
13	Uncle Bert Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	—	22241	118	123	111	24d	—	—	+31	32.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Off the mark at Warwick last time; plenty to find upped in class
NR	Mofasa Bay J:Luca Morgan T:Michael Scudamore	J:Luca Morgan T:Michael Scudamore	161	—	-11430	133	140	118	1d	—	—	+27	28.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Unexposed but has a lot to find on the figures; minor effort over 3m here yesterday
6	Hallwood Grey J:Adam Wedge T:Mark Rimell	J:Adam Wedge T:Mark Rimell	161	t	8/71	-	124	82	54d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
40-1 win at Carlisle last time; much more is required at this stronger level
12	Stony Man Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Gary Hanmer	J:Sean Bowen T:Gary Hanmer	161	—	45-1PU	114	119	46	21d	—	—	+15	16.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Has ordinary form and he's bottom of this pack on ratings

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hermes Allen	7/2	7/2	3	10/3	3
Dark Raven	7/2	10/3	4	7/2	7/2
Irish Point	7	7	13/2	6	6
You Wear It Well	8	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
Letsbeclearaboutit	10	9	10	10	10
Springwell Bay	11	10	10	10	11
Authorised Speed	12	12	12	12	12
Kateira	14	12	12	12	12
Crambo	20	20	16	16	16
Blow Your Wad	33	33	25	28	33
Cool Survivor	22	22	22	20	16
Uncle Bert	66	66	50	50	66
Mofasa	150	125	125	66	150
Hallwood	150	125	125	150	150
Stony Man	250	250	250	100	250

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

You Wear It Well

OR: 23 Form: 24.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

2nd

Irish Point

43.6

OR: 24.5 Form: 16 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Hermes Allen

38.7

OR: 25 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

7/2

Letsbeclearaboutit

36.1

OR: 23.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.1

Uncle Bert

32.5

OR: 17 Form: 15 Odds: 0.5

Springwell Bay

31.6

OR: 22.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

Cool Survivor

31.2

OR: 22.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.2

Dark Raven

OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Crambo

28.6

OR: 20.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Mofasa

28.3

OR: 20.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.4

150

Authorised Speed

22.5

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Blow Your Wad

21.4

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Kateira

21.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Stony Man

16.2

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Hallwood

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hermes Allen	150	161	134
Irish Point	148	153	129
Dark Raven	145	156	143
Letsbeclearaboutit	144	154	134
You Wear It Well	142	154	135
Springwell Bay	140	146	131
Cool Survivor	140	147	119
Authorised Speed	133	145	127
Mofasa	133	140	118
Blow Your Wad	132	141	119
Crambo	131	140	129
Kateira	128	145	114
Uncle Bert	118	123	111
Stony Man	114	119	46
Hallwood	—	124	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mofasa	1d ago	Quick return
Blow Your Wad	21d ago	Fit
Stony Man	21d ago	Fit
Uncle Bert	24d ago	Fit
Springwell Bay	25d ago	Fit
Letsbeclearaboutit	29d ago	Fit
Cool Survivor	29d ago	Fit
You Wear It Well	30d ago	Fit
Hermes Allen	31d ago	Fit
Dark Raven	32d ago	Fit
Irish Point	34d ago	Fit
Crambo	35d ago	Fit
Authorised Speed	39d ago	Fit
Kateira	53d ago	Fresh
Hallwood	54d ago	Fresh