Gowran Park

16:03

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Date 2023-04-18
Distance 7f
Class
Going Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo
Prize €12,980

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
3 (2)
Shadowed
Grey
J:Hugh Horgan(7)
T:Joseph Patrick Obrien
J:Hugh Horgan(7)
T:Joseph Patrick Obrien
 135 — 323-1
87
104
60
 24d — — -8
32.6
0.28/1
11/10
48%
Curragh winner on seasonal debut, juvenile form linked to the top-class Auguste Rodin
2 (1)
Panic Alarm
Brown
J:Shane Foley
T:Mrs John Harrington
J:Shane Foley
T:Mrs John Harrington
 138 — 4311-3
95
103
64
 23d — — -7
23.7
0.47/1
15/8
35%
Won twice over this trip at two, good chance now after solid handicap run on reappearance
6 (6)
Not Even Close
Bay
J:Gavin Ryan
T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien
J:Gavin Ryan
T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien
 130 — 1-
-
91
-
 207d — — +2
13.3
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Made trial experience count when winning a Dundalk maiden, not sure to be suited by soft
1 (5)
Lord Massusus
Brown
J:Gary Carroll
T:Joseph G Murphy
J:Gary Carroll
T:Joseph G Murphy
 138 — 02113-
94
99
75
 184d — — +20
30.4
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Winner over 6f and 1m at two, versatile in terms of ground, capable of going close
5 (4)
Lovejoy
Grey
J:Nathan Crosse
T:W Mccreery
J:Nathan Crosse
T:W Mccreery
 130 — 17-5
79
89
74
 12d — — +5
8
9.75/1
40
3%
Navan sprint winner at two, became unbalanced at Bellewstown, others better off at weights
4 (3)
Gustav Ucicky
Bay
J:Ronan Whelan
T:Andrew Kinirons
J:Ronan Whelan
T:Andrew Kinirons
 131 h 60-004
73
84
60
 39d — — +4
6.2
16.25/1
66
2%
Some ability on turf, moderate AW form, faces a stiff task against five previous winners
Horse bet365 Coral
Shadowed
 11/10 11/10
Panic Alarm
 2 15/8
Not Even Close
 6 11/2
Lord Massusus
 15/2 7
Lovejoy
 33 40
Gustav Ucicky
 66 66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Shadowed
32.6
OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 13.3
11/10
2nd Lord Massusus
30.4
OR: 11 Form: 16.5 Odds: 2.9
15/2
3rd Panic Alarm
23.7
OR: 11.3 Form: 3 Odds: 9.4
15/8
4 Not Even Close
13.3
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3
11/2
5 Lovejoy
8
OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
40
6 Gustav Ucicky
6.2
OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Panic Alarm
95
103
64
Lord Massusus
94
99
75
Shadowed
87
104
60
Lovejoy
79
89
74
Gustav Ucicky
73
84
60
Not Even Close —
91
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Lovejoy 12d ago Quick return
Panic Alarm 23d ago Fit
Shadowed 24d ago Fit
Gustav Ucicky 39d ago Fit
Lord Massusus 184d ago Long break
Not Even Close 207d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Gowran Park over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.