Ballykisteen Beginners Chase – Tipperary

Tipperary

15:50

Ballykisteen Beginners Chase

Date 2023-04-18

Distance 2m1f105y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Clifton Warrior Chestnut J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	166	—	B-P1P2	-	130	47	37d	—	—	-28	13.3	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Didn't jump great at Clonmel but still pushed a useful horse close
NR	Heather Rocco Chestnut J:TBC T:Henry De Bromhead	J: T:Henry De Bromhead	166	—	1141F/	-	-	-	720d	—	—	+1	14.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Absent since falling in a Punchestown hurdle two years ago when rated 134; chase debut
9	The Banger Doyle Chestnut J:Ian Power T:John Queally	J:Ian Power T:John Queally	166	—	8347UF	-	136	-	38d	—	—	-12	4.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Running well when falling in a hot beginners' chase at Gowran last month
7	Matties Mountain Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	J:Phillip Enright T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	166	tp	-22F34	118	117	93	23d	—	—	+16	22.8	3.25/1	14 7%
Beginning to frustrate as a chaser (0-8) and looks vulnerable away from handicaps
11	Premier Queen Chestnut J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Mrs Prunella Dobbs	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Mrs Prunella Dobbs	159	—	979170	-	-	-	29d	—	—	+2	6.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Probably faces a tough task even if taking to fences at the first attempt
10	Diamondinthemud Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Sean Flanagan T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	159	—	103285	-	119	49	31d	—	—	0	4.8	3.75/1	16 6%
Never dangerous on her chase debut at Thurles and up against it once more
12	Red As Rust Chestnut J:Conor Orr T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Conor Orr T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	159	—	66-3P3	118	129	91	31d	—	—	+11	19.2	2.50/1	11 9%
A repeat of her recent third at Thurles (2m2f, soft) won't see her far away
2	Changing The Rules Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Jody McGarvey T:Mrs John Harrington	166	—	-54445	-	127	55	9d	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Encouraging fifth on his recent chaser debut and there's plenty of substance to that form
1	Brawler Bay J:Denis O'Regan T:Patrick T Foley	J:Denis O'Regan T:Patrick T Foley	166	tp	/57-09	112	123	-	120d	—	—	+12	16.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Placed six times over fences for Ciaran Murphy; up against it even if returning to form
4	Flindt Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Simon Torrens T:Ciaran Murphy	166	tp	4-5565	112	100	63	37d	—	—	+14	16.1	16.25/1	66 2%
0-7 as a chaser and was behind Clifton Warrior at Limerick last month
NR	Somethingaboutcian Bay J:TBC T:Shane Nolan	J: T:Shane Nolan	166	t	-0000P	-	-	-	36d	—	—	-1	0.4	49.75/1	200 1%
Minor form over hurdles and 125-1 when pulled up on last month's chase debut at Thurles
5	General Dynamics Bay J:Miss A McGuinness(7) T:J J Lambe	J:Miss A McGuinness(7) T:J J Lambe	166	ht	0-P537	-	64	34	32d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
0-3 in points and was 80-1 when tailed off in a recent hunter chase

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Clifton Warrior	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10
Heather Rocco	11/2	11/2	11/2	9/2	5
The Banger Doyle	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Matties Mountain	12	12	12	10	14
Premier Queen	25	18	16/1	18/1	18
Diamondinthemud	16	16	16	14	16
Red As Rust	11	10	17/2	9	9
Changing The Rules	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Brawler	22	22	20	18	18
Flindt	50	50	50	33	66
Somethingaboutcian	200	200	150	200	200
General Dynamics	200	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Matties Mountain

22.8

OR: 17 Form: 3.9 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Red As Rust

19.2

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Brawler

16.7

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Flindt

16.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Heather Rocco

14.5

OR: 0 Form: 10.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Clifton Warrior

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

11/10

Premier Queen

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Changing The Rules

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Diamondinthemud

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.4

The Banger Doyle

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Somethingaboutcian

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

General Dynamics

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Matties Mountain	118	117	93
Red As Rust	118	129	91
Brawler	112	123	—
Flindt	112	100	63
Clifton Warrior	—	130	47
Heather Rocco	—	—	—
The Banger Doyle	—	136	—
Premier Queen	—	—	—
Diamondinthemud	—	119	49
Changing The Rules	—	127	55
Somethingaboutcian	—	—	—
General Dynamics	—	64	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Changing The Rules	9d ago	Quick return
Matties Mountain	23d ago	Fit
Premier Queen	29d ago	Fit
Diamondinthemud	31d ago	Fit
Red As Rust	31d ago	Fit
General Dynamics	32d ago	Fit
Somethingaboutcian	36d ago	Fit
Clifton Warrior	37d ago	Fit
Flindt	37d ago	Fit
The Banger Doyle	38d ago	Fit
Brawler	120d ago	Long break
Heather Rocco	720d ago	Long break