Tipperary Handicap Chase – Tipperary

Tipperary

17:00

Tipperary Handicap Chase

Date 2023-04-18

Distance 2m7f135y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Positive Thinker Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Michael J Mcdonagh	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Michael J Mcdonagh	160	—	B32232	99	-	-	19d	—	—	+8	30.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Some near misses over hurdles and goes chasing off a competitive mark
NR	Baldurs Gate Bay J:TBC T:Miss Denise Marie Oshea	J: T:Miss Denise Marie Oshea	159	—	-53523	98	111	91	18d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+9	23.4	1.00/1	5 20%
Rachael Blackmore maintains the partnership after good runs over 2m4f
8	Mahler Appeal Chestnut J:Sean Flanagan(3) T:Garrett James Power	J:Sean Flanagan(3) T:Garrett James Power	150	p	262233	89	104	40	18d	—	—	+10	22.5	1.00/1	5 20%
Early days over fences and may have gone close with greater fluency at Wexford
NR	Aodhan May Bay J:TBC T:C Byrnes	J: T:C Byrnes	153	—	4P2P1P	92	113	83	1d	—	—	-1	23.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Recent winner but was pulled up only on Monday.
11	Eddies Pride Bay J:G B Noonan(5) T:Norman Lee	J:G B Noonan(5) T:Norman Lee	143	ht	728512	82	112	75	12d	—	—	+13	24.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good to see her follow one good run with another when second at Clonmel; thereabouts
2	Goodnightngodbless Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(7) T:J Motherway	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(7) T:J Motherway	161	p	8U5024	100	117	78	54d	—	—	+9	18.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Last two runs at Thurles were fairly positive and she's entitled to go well off this mark
3	Earths Furies Bay J:Miss M O'Sullivan(5) T:Eugene M Osullivan	J:Miss M O'Sullivan(5) T:Eugene M Osullivan	160	b	P3425U	99	105	39	12d	—	—	+8	16.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Was running another decent race when unseating at Clonmel; blinkers now
9	Bearwithmenow b/br J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:J P Flavin	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:J P Flavin	148	—	-71F80	87	-	-	171d	—	—	+1	15.9	0.75/1	4 25%
Even if better for a break his best form has come on drier ground
10	Da Big Fella Bay J:J J Slevin T:Eamon Courtney	J:J J Slevin T:Eamon Courtney	143	p	-66530	82	108	-	68d	—	—	+5	12.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Not at his best of late and a strike-rate of 1-20 reduces his appeal
12	Four Country Roads Brown J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Brian M Mcmahon	J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Brian M Mcmahon	140	—	P9P1PP	79	108	58	18d	—	—	+7	10.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Pulled up in three of last four races, latterly behind Aodhan May at Wexford
1	Secret Cargo Bay J:Niall Moore(7) T:Philip Fenton	J:Niall Moore(7) T:Philip Fenton	168	—	61381P	107	114	76	197d	—	—	+20	23.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Ran moderately here the last time and that was in October
7	Mansoline Chestnut J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M Mcmahon	J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M Mcmahon	153	t	-90P86	92	110	37	9d	—	—	+7	11.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Beaten a distance in recent chase starts and was pulled up in her only handicap hurdle
13	Larkfield Legacy Bay J:Tom Kelly(7) T:R P Rath	J:Tom Kelly(7) T:R P Rath	140	—	5-16PP	79	116	53	18d	—	—	+6	7.6	24.75/1	100 1%
Has pulled up the last twice and opposable from out of the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Positive Thinker	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Baldurs Gate	5	5	5	5	5
Mahler Appeal	5	5	5	5	5
Aodhan May	6	4	5	11/2	9/2
Eddies Pride	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Goodnightngodbless	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Earths Furies	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Bearwithmenow	4	4	4	4	4
Da Big Fella	11	9	9	9	9
Four Country Roads	22	25	22	25	25
Secret Cargo	22	25	20	22	22
Mansoline	18	20	14	18	18
Larkfield Legacy	100	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Positive Thinker

30.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 11.7 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Eddies Pride

24.1

OR: 8 Form: 13 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Aodhan May

23.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 6 Odds: 7.4

11/2

Secret Cargo

23.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 8.4 Odds: 1

Baldurs Gate

23.4

OR: 12 Form: 7.4 Odds: 4

Mahler Appeal

22.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 3.6

Goodnightngodbless

18.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 3.2 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Earths Furies

16.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 1.6 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Bearwithmenow

15.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 2.3 Odds: 4.4

Da Big Fella

12.2

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

Mansoline

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Four Country Roads

10.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1

Larkfield Legacy

7.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Secret Cargo	107	114	76
Goodnightngodbless	100	117	78
Positive Thinker	99	—	—
Earths Furies	99	105	39
Baldurs Gate	98	111	91
Aodhan May	92	113	83
Mansoline	92	110	37
Mahler Appeal	89	104	40
Bearwithmenow	87	—	—
Eddies Pride	82	112	75
Da Big Fella	82	108	—
Four Country Roads	79	108	58
Larkfield Legacy	79	116	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aodhan May	1d ago	Quick return
Mansoline	9d ago	Quick return
Eddies Pride	12d ago	Quick return
Earths Furies	12d ago	Quick return
Baldurs Gate	18d ago	Fit
Mahler Appeal	18d ago	Fit
Four Country Roads	18d ago	Fit
Larkfield Legacy	18d ago	Fit
Positive Thinker	19d ago	Fit
Goodnightngodbless	54d ago	Fresh
Da Big Fella	68d ago	Fresh
Bearwithmenow	171d ago	Long break
Secret Cargo	197d ago	Long break