Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

5:15

Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap

Date 2023-04-20

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £8,100

Runners (18)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (1)	Havana Blue gr J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	137	—	623-	82	89	58	181d	—	—	+2	19.5	9/2 18%
H'cap debut; good form when placed in novices last autumn and in good hands to progress
4 (12)	Harry Magnus b J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	135	t	052-21	80	92	-	85d	—	—	-4	11.9	9/2 18%
Form of 7f AW novice win in January has worked out very well; could be a key player
11 (16)	Giant b J:James Doyle T:Richard Spencer	J:James Doyle T:Richard Spencer	130	—	71-2	75	92	47	41d	—	—	+3	14.6	13/2 13%
AW maiden winner whose form reads well; has potential off opening mark
12 (9)	Naaser b J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	130	h	213	75	86	-	22d	—	—	+10	22.1	11/2 15%
Solid form on AW; in good hands to progress and could be involved on handicap debut
14 (6)	Finest Leader b J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	127	—	445-	72	83	72	152d	—	—	-2	8.6	13/2 13%
Solid efforts on first 3 starts; needs something extra on handicap debut but it's possible
NR (5)	Hour By Hour b J:TBC T:Iain Jardine	J: T:Iain Jardine	130	—	5150-2	75	90	83	9d	—	—	+6	13.4	12 8%
Back to form with near-miss at Pontefract last week and may be okay now back up in trip
6 (7)	Monopolise bl J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	131	—	6511-3	76	87	60	15d	—	—	+5	11.2	14 7%
2-2 in nurseries last autumn (including C&D) and could improve for recent reappearance run
1 (4)	Chartwell House b J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	137	—	27144-	82	88	71	193d	—	—	+8	16.2	12 8%
Only fourth of five on sole nursery start but gelded since, which may help; not ruled out
2 (13)	Novus b J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	137	—	451-	82	87	83	181d	—	—	+13	19.9	14 7%
Won big-field Newbury maiden last October and form franked; returns with yard in good form
7 (14)	Zabbie b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	131	—	91352-	76	85	77	208d	—	—	+12	17.6	16 6%
Went close in C&D nursery last September when last seen and could be in the mix
17 (8)	Rossmore Nation b J:David Egan T:Michael Appleby	J:David Egan T:Michael Appleby	123	t	142212	68	89	-	15d	—	—	+16	22.2	18 6%
Has done very well on AW since joining yard; could be bang there if turf isn't an issue
5 (10)	Land Of Summer br/gr J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	135	—	00430-	80	88	77	201d	—	—	+7	10.6	25 4%
Below par here on final 2yo run but very much of interest on some of her earlier form
9 (2)	Nogos Dream b J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	131	—	0-21	76	87	49	26d	—	—	+2	8.1	22 5%
Last-gasp win in 5f AW maiden last month and this handicap debut trip could suit
10 (11)	Thunder Ball ch J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	130	—	29432-	75	85	68	127d	—	—	+12	15.2	25/1 4%
In good form on AW towards the end of last year and he has possibilities
16 (17)	Bird Of Play b J:Luke Morris T:Ivan Furtado	J:Luke Morris T:Ivan Furtado	125	—	28067-	70	88	57	135d	—	—	+4	6.8	50 2%
Yet to reproduce debut promise but returns from break with trainer in excellent form
8 (18)	Taritino b J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	131	—	61820-	76	85	62	201d	—	—	+11	13.7	40 3%
Second of five on sole nursery start but needs something extra in this competitive race
15 (15)	Daytona Lady b J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	126	h	371570	71	85	27	13d	—	—	+7	8.7	66 2%
Things haven't gone her way on AW lately; the strong pace can suit; no forlorn hope
18 (3)	Grand Central b J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	118	eb	544346	63	88	67	49d	—	—	+4	5.1	150 1%
Some fair AW runs earlier this year but has struggled on AW the last twice and is now 0-12

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Havana Blue	4	9/2	9/2	4	4
Harry Magnus	5	5	9/2	5	9/2
Giant	7	13/2	11/2	6	7
Naaser	11/2	11/2	6	6	6
Finest Leader	7	13/2	6/1	7	7
Hour By Hour	12	11	11	11	11
Monopolise	14	12	12	12	12
Chartwell House	12	12	9/1	12	12
Novus	12	12	11	11	14
Zabbie	16	14	12	14	14
Rossmore Nation	18	16	11	16	16
Land Of Summer	20	22	20	22	25
Nogos Dream	18	18	18	20	22
Thunder Ball	25/1	25	25	25	25
Bird Of Play	40	33	25	33	50
Taritino	40	40	28	40	40
Daytona Lady	66	66	66	66	66
Grand Central	150	100	100	80	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rossmore Nation

22.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 16 Odds: 1.7

2nd

Naaser

22.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Novus

19.9

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

Havana Blue

19.5

OR: 8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Zabbie

17.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.6

Chartwell House

16.2

OR: 8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.2

Thunder Ball

15.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Giant

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Taritino

13.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.7

Hour By Hour

13.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

Harry Magnus

11.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Monopolise

11.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Land Of Summer

10.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

Daytona Lady

8.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

Finest Leader

8.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Nogos Dream

8.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Bird Of Play

6.8

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.8

Grand Central

5.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Havana Blue Top Rated	82	89	58
Chartwell House	82	88	71
Novus	82	87	83
Harry Magnus	80	92	—
Land Of Summer	80	88	77
Monopolise	76	87	60
Zabbie	76	85	77
Nogos Dream	76	87	49
Taritino	76	85	62
Giant	75	92	47
Naaser	75	86	—
Hour By Hour	75	90	83
Thunder Ball	75	85	68
Finest Leader	72	83	72
Daytona Lady	71	85	27
Bird Of Play	70	88	57
Rossmore Nation	68	89	—
Grand Central	63	88	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hour By Hour	9d ago	Quick return
Daytona Lady	13d ago	Quick return
Monopolise	15d ago	Fit
Rossmore Nation	15d ago	Fit
Naaser	22d ago	Fit
Nogos Dream	26d ago	Fit
Giant	41d ago	Fit
Grand Central	49d ago	Fresh
Harry Magnus	85d ago	Fresh
Thunder Ball	127d ago	Long break
Bird Of Play	135d ago	Long break
Finest Leader	152d ago	Long break
Havana Blue	181d ago	Long break
Novus	181d ago	Long break
Chartwell House	193d ago	Long break
Land Of Summer	201d ago	Long break
Taritino	201d ago	Long break
Zabbie	208d ago	Long break