At The Races Form Study Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

13:30

At The Races Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-04-24

Distance 6f12y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (15)	The Princes Poet Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Tom Marquand T:Eve Johnson Houghton	134	—	86143-	64	78	66	131d	—	—	-1	16.5	4 25%
Acts well here, 2-6 in sprints; has form on soft; ran well on return in 2021 and 2022
8 (3)	Big Bard Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(7) T:Gary Moore	J:Alec Voikhansky(7) T:Gary Moore	128	p	366-62	58	81	72	54d	—	—	-7	5.6	5/1 17%
Two wins in 2021; well treated on best 7f/6f form last year; query about slow ground
7 (4)	Connies Rose Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	128	—	3759-4	58	83	64	17d	—	—	-7	5.6	13/2 13%
Front-runs; won at 7f/6f last summer; good return at Bath (soft); big run likely
14 (16)	Hannahs Return Bay J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Gary Brown	J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Gary Brown	120	—	1-9551	50	79	-	40d	—	—	-1	10.1	13/2 13%
Won two of five AW handicaps, latest over 6f in March; hard to assess in first turf run
5 (10)	Joy Choi Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Malcolm Saunders	J:Charlie Bennett T:Malcolm Saunders	130	—	4540-6	60	77	65	5d	—	—	-7	6.1	11/2 15%
Light campaign last year but impressive on soft in 2021 (6f); has C&D form; well treated
4 (2)	Kondratiev Wave Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	132	p	89-569	62	81	77	26d	—	—	-4	5.7	15/2 12%
Has won on heavy; way down weights but out of sorts on turf/AW over the last 12 months
1 (8)	Rogue Star Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	135	tp	-03388	65	82	73	20d	—	—	+1	8.1	12 8%
Weighted to find a race on 2 close calls over 1m (good to soft) and 7f (AW); first 6f run
13 (14)	On Edge Bay J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Christopher Mason	122	p	13539-	52	78	69	146d	—	—	+1	7.2	12 8%
Off the mark in 6f classified in August; close up in handicap after (soft); has potential
9 (11)	Firenze Rosa Bay J:Gina Mangan(5) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Gina Mangan(5) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	125	—	41500-	55	76	68	189d	—	—	+1	5.6	20 5%
Course winner; latest success over 6f on soft; good show on return in 2021 and 2022
NR (7)	Port Noir Black J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	124	tb	283977	54	82	74	9d	—	—	-3	3.8	22 5%
Turf wins on good/good to firm; rarely asked to tackle slow going; below best of late
NR (6)	The Cola Kid Grey J:George Rooke T:Grace Harris	J:George Rooke T:Grace Harris	122	tp	05776-	52	78	85	125d	—	—	-2	1.3	40 3%
Three 6f turf wins in Ireland on good/good to firm; rarely asked to race on slower
3 (5)	Kyber Crystal Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	133	—	62576-	63	82	61	159d	—	—	+3	5.5	33 3%
Had few chances; goes well fresh; suited by soft but weak finisher in her only 6f handicap
6 (13)	Spirit Of Cahala Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Mark Pattinson	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Mark Pattinson	128	—	9357-	58	74	64	173d	—	—	+1	4.5	25 4%
Well held in only handicap (AW) but return to 6f should suit and dam liked soft ground
15 (12)	Soldiers Son Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Grace Harris	116	tp	45757-	46	77	71	194d	—	—	-2	0.7	40/1 2%
Yet to win but handles testing ground and is capable of giving his running after a break
11 (9)	Dazzerling Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	122	p	34209-	52	81	47	123d	—	—	+2	4.1	66 2%
Down weights but below best on last 2 starts; first run on slower than good to firm
16 (1)	Tridevi Bay J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Jimmy Fox	116	—	6980-9	46	66	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.3	150 1%
Minor form over various trips and needs a lot of improvement for the return to 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
The Princes Poet	4	4	4	4	4
Big Bard	5	5	5/1	5	5
Connies Rose	5	6	11/2	6	13/2
Hannahs Return	13/2	6	6	6	13/2
Joy Choi	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1
Kondratiev Wave	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Rogue Star	11	11	12	11	11
On Edge	12	11	11/1	12	12
Firenze Rosa	20	18	18	18	18
Port Noir	20	22	22	22	22
The Cola Kid	40	33	33	33	33
Kyber Crystal	33	28	25	28	28
Spirit Of Cahala	22	25	20	22	22
Soldiers Son	40/1	33	33	33	33
Dazzerling	66	50	50	50	50
Tridevi	150	125	125	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Princes Poet

16.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5

2nd

Hannahs Return

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Rogue Star

8.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 1.9

On Edge

7.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Joy Choi

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Kondratiev Wave

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Big Bard

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Connies Rose

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Firenze Rosa

5.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Kyber Crystal

5.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

Spirit Of Cahala

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

Dazzerling

4.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.5

Port Noir

3.8

OR: 1 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

The Cola Kid

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Soldiers Son

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Tridevi

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rogue Star Top Rated	65	82	73
The Princes Poet	64	78	66
Kyber Crystal	63	82	61
Kondratiev Wave	62	81	77
Joy Choi	60	77	65
Big Bard	58	81	72
Connies Rose	58	83	64
Spirit Of Cahala	58	74	64
Firenze Rosa	55	76	68
Port Noir	54	82	74
On Edge	52	78	69
The Cola Kid	52	78	85
Dazzerling	52	81	47
Hannahs Return	50	79	—
Soldiers Son	46	77	71
Tridevi	46	66	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Joy Choi	5d ago	Quick return
Port Noir	9d ago	Quick return
Connies Rose	17d ago	Fit
Rogue Star	20d ago	Fit
Kondratiev Wave	26d ago	Fit
Tridevi	26d ago	Fit
Hannahs Return	40d ago	Fit
Big Bard	54d ago	Fresh
Dazzerling	123d ago	Long break
The Cola Kid	125d ago	Long break
The Princes Poet	131d ago	Long break
On Edge	146d ago	Long break
Kyber Crystal	159d ago	Long break
Spirit Of Cahala	173d ago	Long break
Firenze Rosa	189d ago	Long break
Soldiers Son	194d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Connies Rose	Front Runner
On Edge	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 16 runners classified.