At The Races App Expert Tips Novice Stakes – Wolverhampton (AW) · The Final Fence

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

At The Races App Expert Tips Novice Stakes

Date 2023-04-29

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,174

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Silk	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)		Rayat Bay J:Luke Morris T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Luke Morris T:Saeed Bin Suroor	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-35	18.7	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Stable has a 24% strike-rate here in past five seasons; betting should be informative
5 (2)		One For The Frog Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:S Woods	J:Harry Davies(3) T:S Woods	133	t	232-4	73	87	61	28d	—	—	-8	11.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Placed in three starts on AW last autumn; may have needed his reappearance; tongue-tie on
2 (4)		Auld Toon Loon Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David Omeara	J:Ben Robinson T:David Omeara	133	—	54-3	76	75	43	19d	—	—	0	13.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Showed improvement when third on recent Redcar return and runner-up has won since
1 (6)		Al Baahy Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Kevin Frost	J:Darragh Keenan T:Kevin Frost	133	—	30244-	72	86	64	122d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+2	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
In the frame in four starts on the AW; went close at Newcastle last November, but now 0-14
3 (5)		Equion Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Joshua Bryan T:Tony Carroll	133	—	32944-	72	86	-	280d	—	—	+2	9.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Placed twice here early last year, but not seen in 280 days
4 (3)		Gautrey Chestnut J:Dane O'Neill T:Tony Carroll	J:Dane O'Neill T:Tony Carroll	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Would be a rare winning newcomer from the yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rayat	4/7	8/13	8/13	8/13	8/13
One For The Frog	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Auld Toon Loon	7	6	6	6	6
Al Baahy	9	8	15/2	8	17/2
Equion	10	9	9	9	10
Gautrey	80	80	80	80	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rayat

18.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 18.7

8/13

2nd

Auld Toon Loon

13.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

7

3rd

One For The Frog

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

11/2

4

Al Baahy

11.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

5

Equion

9.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

10

6

Gautrey

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Auld Toon Loon	76	75	43
One For The Frog	73	87	61
Al Baahy	72	86	64
Equion	72	86	—
Rayat	—	—	—
Gautrey	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Auld Toon Loon	19d ago	Fit
One For The Frog	28d ago	Fit
Al Baahy	122d ago	Long break
Equion	280d ago	Long break
Rayat	—	—
Gautrey	—	—