Colm Quinn BMW Handicap Chase – Punchestown

Punchestown

15:10

Colm Quinn BMW Handicap Chase

Date 2023-04-29

Distance 3m7f

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €29,500

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Aione Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	151	t	2-5PF1	130	156	117	20d	—	—	+11	28.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Suffered reverses on his first three starts of the season, Cork win provides some hope
10	My Design Brown J:Shane O'Callaghan(7) T:Declan Queally	J:Shane O'Callaghan(7) T:Declan Queally	146	—	334122	125	153	109	27d	—	—	+22	37.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
In-form mare has take well to fences and should be competitive with a useful 7lb claimed
15	Sir Bob b/br J:Simon Torrens T:Robert Tyner	J:Simon Torrens T:Robert Tyner	140	p	-01132	119	150	124	19d	—	—	+26	34.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Veteran has been in terrific form and could continue in the same vein off a light weight
14	Mercury Lane Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	141	tp	69P412	120	157	127	29d	—	—	+20	32.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Beaten only a neck over 2m4f at Wexford, not certain to cope with rise in class and trip
12	The Dabbler Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	J:Richard Deegan T:Liam P Cusack	145	v	F3437P	124	151	108	19d	—	—	+13	21.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Lost confidence with a bad mistake early in Fairyhouse race in which Sir Bob was second
16	Emancipator Chestnut J:John Shinnick(7) T:Terence Obrien	J:John Shinnick(7) T:Terence Obrien	140	b	-541P1	119	148	68	23d	—	—	+22	34.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has gone up 9lb for an emphatic Clonmel win but still 6lb out of the handicap for this
3	Coeur Serein Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo Oneill	155	p	-P281P	134	157	100	44d	—	—	+23	29.3	4.25/1	18 6%
50-1 when pulled-up in the Kim Muir, previously beat the only other finisher at Newbury
1	Velvet Elvis Brown J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	166	—	0PP12P	145	150	74	14d	—	—	+24	32.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Good runs at Navan and Fairyhouse prior to failed Grand National bid, worth considering
9	Everglow Brown J:Denis O'Regan T:Noel Meade	J:Denis O'Regan T:Noel Meade	148	p	2100P4	127	152	104	19d	—	—	+17	21.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Signs of revival in form when fourth at Fairyhouse, has a bit to find with Sir Bob
NR	Enjoy Dallen b/br J:TBC T:Ciaran Murphy	J: T:Ciaran Murphy	162	tp	-00060	141	142	97	14d	—	—	+12	26.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Has seldom shown any sign of his best form since third in the 2021 Irish Grand National
13	History Of Fashion Bay J:Phillip Enright T:P A Fahy	J:Phillip Enright T:P A Fahy	143	—	P9U5P2	122	149	85	48d	—	—	+15	24.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Long-priced second in the Leinster National at Naas provides reassurance after lean spell
7	Darrens Hope Bay J:J J Slevin T:Robert Murphy	J:J J Slevin T:Robert Murphy	149	b	1PP55P	128	156	130	14d	—	—	+16	20.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Looked set for a fine season when a Grade 2 winner last November, has lost form alarmingly
NR	Farceur Du Large Grey J:TBC T:Noel Meade	J: T:Noel Meade	154	p	4180UP	133	153	137	19d	—	—	+16	22.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Has found things too demanding in a series of valuable handicaps since November course win
4	Fairyhill Run Bay J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	154	—	-34UPP	133	148	75	19d	—	—	+18	21.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three failures to complete the course since fair fourth over 3m5f at Fairyhouse
11	Regina Dracones b/br J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	146	—	-F5FPF	125	144	71	48d	—	—	+16	19.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Has failed to complete five of her last six races and is clearly a very risky proposition
8	Milan Native Brown J:Danny Gilligan(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(7) T:Gordon Elliott	149	tb	-F599P	128	140	49	19d	—	—	+18	20.1	16.25/1	66 2%
Former winner of the Kim Muir at Cheltenham, has been out of sorts and makes no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Aione	4	7/2	7/2	4	7/2
My Design	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Sir Bob	9	8	15/2	17/2	15/2
Mercury Lane	11/2	6	5	6	6
The Dabbler	11	11	17/2	11	11/1
Emancipator	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Coeur Serein	18	16	12	16	16/1
Velvet Elvis	14	14	12	14	16
Everglow	16	16	14	16	14
Enjoy Dallen	16	18	16	16	16
History Of Fashion	12	11	10	11	11
Darrens Hope	22	20	14	20/1	22/1
Farceur Du Large	16	14	12	12	12
Fairyhill Run	33	33	28	33	33/1
Regina Dracones	40	33	22	33	33
Milan Native	66	50	33	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Design

37.3

OR: 18.8 Form: 14.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Sir Bob

34.9

OR: 17.3 Form: 15.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Emancipator

34.8

OR: 17.3 Form: 14 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mercury Lane

32.7

OR: 17.5 Form: 11.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Velvet Elvis

32.2

OR: 23.8 Form: 6.3 Odds: 2.2

Coeur Serein

29.3

OR: 21 Form: 6.7 Odds: 1.6

Aione

28.7

OR: 20 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Enjoy Dallen

26.9

OR: 22.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.2

History Of Fashion

24.2

OR: 18 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

Farceur Du Large

22.6

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

Everglow

21.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Fairyhill Run

21.6

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

The Dabbler

21.3

OR: 18.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Darrens Hope

20.9

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Milan Native

20.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Regina Dracones

19.6

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Velvet Elvis	145	150	74
Enjoy Dallen	141	142	97
Coeur Serein	134	157	100
Farceur Du Large	133	153	137
Fairyhill Run	133	148	75
Aione	130	156	117
Darrens Hope	128	156	130
Milan Native	128	140	49
Everglow	127	152	104
My Design	125	153	109
Regina Dracones	125	144	71
The Dabbler	124	151	108
History Of Fashion	122	149	85
Mercury Lane	120	157	127
Sir Bob	119	150	124
Emancipator	119	148	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Velvet Elvis	14d ago	Fit
Enjoy Dallen	14d ago	Fit
Darrens Hope	14d ago	Fit
Sir Bob	19d ago	Fit
The Dabbler	19d ago	Fit
Everglow	19d ago	Fit
Farceur Du Large	19d ago	Fit
Fairyhill Run	19d ago	Fit
Milan Native	19d ago	Fit
Aione	20d ago	Fit
Emancipator	23d ago	Fit
My Design	27d ago	Fit
Mercury Lane	29d ago	Fit
Coeur Serein	44d ago	Fit
History Of Fashion	48d ago	Fresh
Regina Dracones	48d ago	Fresh