Donate Food To Your Local Foodbank Handicap Hurdle

Kempton

16:15

Date 2023-05-01

Distance 2m5f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Queens Rock Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	168	—	2/141-	120	128	109	81d	—	—	+3	28.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Breezed home at Doncaster following wind op; up 11lb but very much respected.
14	Sami Bear Bay J:Mr Freddie Gordon(7) T:Chris Gordon	J:Mr Freddie Gordon(7) T:Chris Gordon	151	—	332U1-	103	128	117	80d	—	—	+15	30.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner in March; has his quirks but Freddie Gordon knows him well.
12	Godot Chestnut J:Stan Sheppard T:Andy Irvine	J:Stan Sheppard T:Andy Irvine	156	—	37831-	108	133	101	21d	—	—	+16	31.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Recent Plumpton maiden winner; has come up short in handicaps off lower marks.
6	Moveit Like Minnie Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	162	t	12130-	114	121	109	44d	—	—	+17	30.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Probably unsuited by soft ground over C&D in March and progressive otherwise.
4	Jaramillo Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Warren Greatrex	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Warren Greatrex	163	p	23031-	115	122	110	67d	—	—	+17	35.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Came good from the front at Sedgefield and stepping up in distance seemed to help.
10	Magistrato Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	160	t	6/72P-	112	123	91	55d	—	—	+8	18.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Not solid on last season's exploits but he's down the weights and could bounce back.
8	Invincible Nao Grey J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:Gary Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:Gary Moore	160	h	83033-	112	124	111	34d	—	—	+14	24.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed last time but over shorter and this trip seemed to stretch him two runs ago.
7	Runswick Bay Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	162	—	1/4P2-	114	120	102	10d	—	—	+18	24.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Winning chaser who returned to hurdling with a solid effort in defeat at Fontwell.
13	Cherry Cola Chestnut J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Sheena West	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Sheena West	152	—	8/262-	104	121	89	22d	—	—	+8	15.6	2.75/1	12 8%
0-8 over hurdles; hung left late on when second at Plumpton (2m4f, good).
15	Denable Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Anthony Carson	J:Brendan Powell T:Anthony Carson	148	—	12473-	100	127	119	22d	—	—	+15	20.4	4.75/1	20 5%
In form but strike-rate of 2-32 reduces his appeal in this deep a handicap.
9	Give Me A Cuddle Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	160	t	61940-	112	124	108	37d	—	—	+15	19.8	6.00/1	25 4%
Not threatened in three runs since his Doncaster success in January; now tongue tied.
1	Ballyhome Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	168	—	/0525-	120	119	86	50d	—	—	+19	21.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Appears to retain plenty of his ability for a 12yo and has form here.
11	Kilfilum Woods Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Paul Webber	J:Daryl Jacob T:Paul Webber	157	p	24246-	109	126	104	80d	—	—	+10	21.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Competitive mark and returns to hurdling after wind surgery and in first-time cheekpieces.
5	Salley Gardens Bay J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	162	t	/312P-	114	126	92	252d	—	—	+21	24.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Returns from 252 days off but needs a close look back over hurdles.
NR	Breaking Waves Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Alex Hales	J:Daryl Jacob T:Alex Hales	166	b	01233-	118	125	96	132d	—	—	+17	31.9	16.25/1	66 2%
Dropped his guard a little the last twice but possibilities if better for a break.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Queens Rock	5/2	5/2	17/8	9/4	SP
Sami Bear	5	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Godot	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Moveit Like Minnie	6	13/2	13/2	6	6
Jaramillo	13/2	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Magistrato	17/2	8	15/2	8	8
Invincible Nao	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Runswick Bay	12	14	14/1	12	12
Cherry Cola	12	10	10	10	10
Denable	20	18	18	18	18
Give Me A Cuddle	16	25	25	22	22
Ballyhome	28	28	22	28	28
Kilfilum Woods	28	28	28	28	28
Salley Gardens	33	40	40	40	40
Breaking Waves	33	66	33	40	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jaramillo

35.8

OR: 16.3 Form: 14 Odds: 5.6

13/2

2nd

Breaking Waves

31.9

OR: 17 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4.3

3rd

Godot

31.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 12.7 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Sami Bear

30.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 13 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Moveit Like Minnie

30.4

OR: 16 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.8

13/2

Queens Rock

28.6

OR: 17.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.6

5/2

Salley Gardens

24.8

OR: 16 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0.9

Runswick Bay

24.7

OR: 16 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Invincible Nao

24.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 6 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Ballyhome

21.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

Kilfilum Woods

21.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.2

Denable

20.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.4

Give Me A Cuddle

19.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.3

Magistrato

18.3

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.8

17/2

Cherry Cola

15.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Queens Rock	120	128	109
Ballyhome	120	119	86
Breaking Waves	118	125	96
Jaramillo	115	122	110
Moveit Like Minnie	114	121	109
Runswick Bay	114	120	102
Salley Gardens	114	126	92
Magistrato	112	123	91
Invincible Nao	112	124	111
Give Me A Cuddle	112	124	108
Kilfilum Woods	109	126	104
Godot	108	133	101
Cherry Cola	104	121	89
Sami Bear	103	128	117
Denable	100	127	119

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Runswick Bay	10d ago	Quick return
Godot	21d ago	Fit
Cherry Cola	22d ago	Fit
Denable	22d ago	Fit
Invincible Nao	34d ago	Fit
Give Me A Cuddle	37d ago	Fit
Moveit Like Minnie	44d ago	Fit
Ballyhome	50d ago	Fresh
Magistrato	55d ago	Fresh
Jaramillo	67d ago	Fresh
Sami Bear	80d ago	Fresh
Kilfilum Woods	80d ago	Fresh
Queens Rock	81d ago	Fresh
Breaking Waves	132d ago	Long break
Salley Gardens	252d ago	Long break