Club Orange Hurdle – Down Royal

Down Royal

14:45

Club Orange Hurdle

Date 2023-05-01

Distance 3m

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €9,145

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Paul Marvel Grey J:Kieran Callaghan(7) T:W P Mullins	J:Kieran Callaghan(7) T:W P Mullins	164	—	13-	-	130	106	42d	—	—	-12	20	0.44/1	7/4 36%
2m maiden winner at Limerick; sustained an overreach when third of five over 2m6f at Navan
NR	Joyeux Machin Bay J:TBC T:Paul Nolan	J: T:Paul Nolan	164	tp	31P50-	133	142	124	2d	—	—	+7	30.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Fairyhouse maiden winner disappointed for third time in a row on Saturday; steps up to 3m
1	Holmes St Georges Bay J:Ben Bromley(7) T:S R B Crawford	J:Ben Bromley(7) T:S R B Crawford	164	—	21222-	119	134	127	16d	—	—	+15	39.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Consistent and stamina in pedigree so should get 3m but stiff task on ratings
3	Lieutenant Highway Bay J:Danny Gilligan(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(7) T:Gordon Elliott	164	p	1113P-	129	133	104	191d	—	—	+18	35.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won four in a row at trips up to 2m4f on summer ground last year; fair chance at weights
5	Bella Bliss Bay J:E Walsh(5) T:John C Mcconnell	J:E Walsh(5) T:John C Mcconnell	157	t	1UB72-	115	131	107	7d	—	—	+8	29	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won Sligo maiden and 2m6f Cartmel novice last August; second in Hexham novice (2m) latest
7	Cocoplum Bay J:Shane O'Callaghan(7) T:C A Mcbratney	J:Shane O'Callaghan(7) T:C A Mcbratney	147	—	43770-	95	114	54	100d	—	—	+7	14.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
95-rated maiden out of her depth in this company
6	Wee Jerry Bay J:Mike O'Connor(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Mike O'Connor(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	154	t	B9067-	81	97	58	29d	—	—	+6	8.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Lowly-rated maiden has no chance in this company
8	Social Distancing Bay J:Dillon Maxwell(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Dillon Maxwell(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	147	—	P/4PP-	85	107	-	68d	—	—	+8	9.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Modest mare is another who is not a viable contender against much higher-rated rivals

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Paul Marvel	6/4	7/4	13/8	13/8	13/8
Joyeux Machin	3	10/3	3	11/4	3
Holmes St Georges	3/1	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Lieutenant Highway	6/1	9/2	11/2	11/2	6
Bella Bliss	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3
Cocoplum	16/1	14	16/1	16/1	28/1
Wee Jerry	40/1	40/1	28/1	28	28
Social Distancing	150/1	100/1	80	80	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Holmes St Georges

39.5

OR: 17.3 Form: 15 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Lieutenant Highway

35.4

OR: 19.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5

6/1

3rd

Joyeux Machin

30.9

OR: 20.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 7.3

10/3

Bella Bliss

OR: 16.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Paul Marvel

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 10

7/4

Cocoplum

14.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

28/1

Social Distancing

9.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Wee Jerry

8.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Joyeux Machin	133	142	124
Lieutenant Highway	129	133	104
Holmes St Georges	119	134	127
Bella Bliss	115	131	107
Cocoplum	95	114	54
Social Distancing	85	107	—
Wee Jerry	81	97	58
Paul Marvel	—	130	106

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Joyeux Machin	2d ago	Quick return
Bella Bliss	7d ago	Quick return
Holmes St Georges	16d ago	Fit
Wee Jerry	29d ago	Fit
Paul Marvel	42d ago	Fit
Social Distancing	68d ago	Fresh
Cocoplum	100d ago	Long break
Lieutenant Highway	191d ago	Long break