Follow @racingtv On Twitter Fillies' Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

15:10

Follow @racingtv On Twitter Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-05-02

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,449

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Mexicali Rose Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	135	—	36-2	75	85	70	18d	—	—	-15	23.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Runner-up on heavy-ground reappearance and solid claims for in-form yard in first handicap
NR (4)	Molly Valentine Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Dean Ivory	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dean Ivory	134	—	81-561	74	85	-	20d	—	—	-14	15	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Comfortable win over C&D last month and could well take a 7lb rise in her stride
11 (8)	Creme Chantilly Bay J:William Buick T:Michael Bell	J:William Buick T:Michael Bell	132	—	21-	72	82	42	201d	—	—	+9	23	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won last October on second start and pedigree indicates she has potential off opening mark
7 (13)	Zarga Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	134	—	354-	74	82	53	216d	—	—	0	10.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Pretty consistent on her three 2yo runs; in top hands and could have plenty more to offer
14 (14)	Eurythmical Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	p	2448-3	68	81	63	20d	—	—	0	10.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Third to Molly Valentine over C&D three weeks ago and might not be far away
12 (2)	Flame Of Kodiac Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:John & Thady Gosden	131	—	6-631	71	88	43	33d	—	—	-3	8.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Won on handicap debut in March and could have lots more left in the tank for leading yard
NR (5)	Silver Nightfall Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Gay Kelleway	J:Tom Marquand T:Gay Kelleway	134	—	7-1221	74	83	69	49d	—	—	+1	7.9	2.75/1	12 8%
In good form on AW this year, winning last time, and could go well once more
5 (10)	Nuthatch Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	134	—	5131	74	84	-	26d	—	—	+19	24.8	3.75/1	16 6%
2-4 (all on AW); useful pedigree suggests the switch to turf shouldn't be an issue
1 (11)	Double O Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	137	—	02419-	77	82	67	194d	—	—	+10	17.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Two-time winner who returns with new yard in good form and is not ruled out
2 (12)	Maggies Way Chestnut J:James Doyle T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:James Doyle T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	136	—	626-	76	81	62	173d	—	—	+7	11.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Promise among her three 2yo starts and she's not discounted on handicap/seasonal debut
10 (9)	Enola Grey Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	133	—	3410-4	73	83	64	27d	—	—	+2	7.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Solid 2yo campaign in the main but she's failed to fire the last twice; others appeal more
9 (6)	Star Child Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	064-1	73	82	-	119d	—	—	+10	17.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Won on h'cap debut in January and pedigree provides optimism she'll continue to progress
NR (1)	Bloomwithgrace Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tom Dascombe	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tom Dascombe	135	—	335-	75	78	67	193d	—	—	+5	11.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Has it to prove on the slow ground but brings potential to her handicap/seasonal debut
13 (7)	Congruent Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	130	—	8-46	70	81	44	28d	—	—	+3	5.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Below par on soft going on sole turf start but not written off in view of previous promise

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mexicali Rose	6/4	11/10	5/4	6/5	6/5
Molly Valentine	5	11/2	SP	SP	SP
Creme Chantilly	7	11/2	6	13/2	6
Zarga	8	9	17/2	8	8
Eurythmical	6	15/2	7	13/2	13/2
Flame Of Kodiac	10	10	9	9	9
Silver Nightfall	11	11	12	11	11
Nuthatch	16	16	14	12	12
Double O	10	12	12	11	11
Maggies Way	20	28	22	22	22
Enola Grey	14	18	16	16	16
Star Child	20	25	20	20	20/1
Bloomwithgrace	11	12	12	11	12
Congruent	50	50	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nuthatch

24.8

OR: 6 Form: 17.1 Odds: 1.7

2nd

Mexicali Rose

23.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 12.5

6/4

3rd

Creme Chantilly

OR: 5.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

13/2

Star Child

17.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Double O

17.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

Molly Valentine

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 9

11/2

Bloomwithgrace

11.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

Maggies Way

11.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

Zarga

10.6

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Eurythmical

10.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Flame Of Kodiac

8.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Silver Nightfall

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Enola Grey

7.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Congruent

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Double O	77	82	67
Maggies Way	76	81	62
Mexicali Rose	75	85	70
Bloomwithgrace	75	78	67
Molly Valentine	74	85	—
Zarga	74	82	53
Silver Nightfall	74	83	69
Nuthatch	74	84	—
Enola Grey	73	83	64
Star Child	73	82	—
Creme Chantilly	72	82	42
Flame Of Kodiac	71	88	43
Congruent	70	81	44
Eurythmical	68	81	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mexicali Rose	18d ago	Fit
Molly Valentine	20d ago	Fit
Eurythmical	20d ago	Fit
Nuthatch	26d ago	Fit
Enola Grey	27d ago	Fit
Congruent	28d ago	Fit
Flame Of Kodiac	33d ago	Fit
Silver Nightfall	49d ago	Fresh
Star Child	119d ago	Long break
Maggies Way	173d ago	Long break
Bloomwithgrace	193d ago	Long break
Double O	194d ago	Long break
Creme Chantilly	201d ago	Long break
Zarga	216d ago	Long break