Fairwood Brasserie Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:45

Fairwood Brasserie Handicap

Date 2023-05-04

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	What Will Be Bay J:William Buick T:Olly Murphy	J:William Buick T:Olly Murphy	128	tp	146/13	63	82	42	21d	—	—	-14	10.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Dual C&D winner; not disgraced over 2m last time; strong chance back at 1m6f
2 (4)	Melakaz Brown J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	135	—	11125-	70	83	-	218d	—	—	+9	22.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Last three attempts on AW have resulted in wins; interesting back in this sphere
3 (3)	Cedar Cage Bay J:George Eddery(7) T:Derek Shaw	J:George Eddery(7) T:Derek Shaw	135	h	731421	70	80	69	14d	—	—	+10	27.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has form figures of 2121 in 1m6f/2m contests on AW; 2-4 under George Eddery
7 (2)	Smokey Malone Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	127	b	9-6821	62	82	64	20d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Back in better form last month; now returns to higher grade (all wins in Class 6)
5 (7)	Master Grey Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Rod Millman	J:Robert Havlin T:Rod Millman	132	p	211451	67	81	54	26d	—	—	+12	22.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Strike-rate of 3-6 this year but now goes back up in grade (most wins in Class 6)
4 (5)	Beggarman Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	134	p	13460-	69	82	-	231d	—	—	0	10.7	1.50/1	7 14%
Won this race (off this mark) last year; good chance if back to that form
1 (6)	Daniel Deronda Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Amy Murphy	137	tp	45/237	72	81	75	27d	—	—	0	7.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Doesn't appear to be crying out for this longer trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
What Will Be	11/4	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Melakaz	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Cedar Cage	4	9/2	7/2	4	4
Smokey Malone	5	7	13/2	6	13/2
Master Grey	15/2	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Beggarman	7	6	6	6	6
Daniel Deronda	11	11	9	10	10

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cedar Cage

27.1

OR: 5 Form: 17.1 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Melakaz

22.5

OR: 5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Master Grey

22.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 15 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Beggarman

10.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 3.1

What Will Be

10.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Daniel Deronda

7.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Smokey Malone

6.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Daniel Deronda	72	81	75
Melakaz	70	83	—
Cedar Cage	70	80	69
Beggarman	69	82	—
Master Grey	67	81	54
What Will Be	63	82	42
Smokey Malone	62	82	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cedar Cage	14d ago	Fit
Smokey Malone	20d ago	Fit
What Will Be	21d ago	Fit
Master Grey	26d ago	Fit
Daniel Deronda	27d ago	Fit
Melakaz	218d ago	Long break
Beggarman	231d ago	Long break