William Hill Lengthen Your Odds Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Salisbury

15:15

Date 2023-05-04

Distance 6f213y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,590

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Greek Order Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Ryan Moore T:Harry & Roger Charlton	133	—	32-	-	94	61	197d	—	—	-25	23.5	4/5 56%
Narrowly the best form in this field and he should still have significant potential
NR (3)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:John Oshea	J:NON-RUNNER T:John Oshea	128	—	8	-	-	-	26d	—	—	-14	5.9	—
250-1, slowly away when last of eight in novice at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) 26 days ago
1 (8)	Balance Play Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	43-	-	87	50	157d	—	—	-8	7.4	9/2 18%
Showed promise and plenty of ability last autumn; late foal with useful pedigree
8 (10)	Shaaden Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Dane O'Neill T:Marcus Tregoning	128	—	3-	-	87	74	217d	—	—	-10	8.2	7/2 22%
13-2, travelled well over 2f out when 3rd in C&D novice (7f, good to soft) last September
4 (1)	Quddwah Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	11/2 15%
Kingman newcomer who's very much one to note
6 (6)	Yellow Lion Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	133	—	0-53	70	80	59	16d	—	—	+2	6.1	25 4%
Third of seven at Newmarket (7f, good to soft) 16 days ago; another step forward is needed
10 (9)	Sundowner Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	07-	-	65	49	206d	—	—	-1	0.3	100 1%
Modest form towards rear at Newbury (7f, good) and Wolverhampton (6f, AW) last autumn
5 (7)	Yankee Spirit Bay J:Isabel Williams(3) T:David Evans	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:David Evans	133	—	0-0	-	62	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.2	150 1%
Outsider when towards rear on both starts; surely one for later on
3 (5)	Island Native Grey J:Gina Mangan(5) T:Heather Main	J:Gina Mangan(5) T:Heather Main	133	—	96	-	60	-	33d	—	—	-1	0.3	125 1%
Modest form in his second AW start (both this year); this race will surely prove too tough
7 (4)	Marisitta Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	128	—	5	-	48	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	200 1%
66-1, upset in the stalls and slowly away at Newbury (7f, soft) 13 days ago, beaten 16l

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Greek Order	8/11	8/11	4/5	4/5	8/11
Stella Hogan	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Balance Play	5	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Shaaden	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Quddwah	11/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Yellow Lion	25	22	22	22	22
Sundowner	100	80	80	80	80
Yankee Spirit	150	150	150	150	150
Island Native	125	100	100	80	100
Marisitta	200	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Greek Order

23.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 16.4

4/5

2nd

Shaaden

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Balance Play

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Yellow Lion

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Stella Hogan

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.9

—

Quddwah

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Sundowner

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Island Native

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Yankee Spirit

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Marisitta

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Yellow Lion	70	80	59
Greek Order	—	94	61
Stella Hogan	—	—	—
Balance Play	—	87	50
Shaaden	—	87	74
Quddwah	—	—	—
Sundowner	—	65	49
Yankee Spirit	—	62	—
Island Native	—	60	—
Marisitta	—	48	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marisitta	13d ago	Quick return
Yellow Lion	16d ago	Fit
Yankee Spirit	20d ago	Fit
Stella Hogan	26d ago	Fit
Island Native	33d ago	Fit
Balance Play	157d ago	Long break
Greek Order	197d ago	Long break
Sundowner	206d ago	Long break
Shaaden	217d ago	Long break
Quddwah	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Marisitta	Prominent
Sundowner	Hold Up
Yankee Spirit	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 10 runners classified.