Cosy Roof Handicap Chase – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

19:25

Cosy Roof Handicap Chase

Date 2023-05-05

Distance 2m3f55y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR	Winnie Woodnutt Bay J:TBC T:D Harvey	J: T:D Harvey	170	ht	22131-	94	-	-	14d	—	—	+14	37.9	5/2 29%
Recent hurdles winner warrants plenty of respect if getting in; reserve
3	Full Noise Chestnut J:Keith Donoghue T:Ronan M P Mcnally	J:Keith Donoghue T:Ronan M P Mcnally	162	—	20/00-	86	73	64	64d	—	—	-26	27.7	8/11 58%
Nothing so far chasing but veterinary excuses last twice; dangerous-looking mark remains
8	Likable Chancer Bay J:Danny Gilligan(7) T:Daniel John Howard	J:Danny Gilligan(7) T:Daniel John Howard	157	tb	0UP01-	81	109	87	18d	—	—	+10	19.2	17/2 11%
Soft enough lead when scoring over this trip at Tramore; 7lb higher now
2	Shantou Sisu Chestnut J:Danny Mullins T:W J Lanigan	J:Danny Mullins T:W J Lanigan	164	—	495P6-	88	99	91	18d	—	—	+3	12	11 9%
Won her last summer; better for recent comeback run but hard to be confident in nowadays
10	Monoxide Bay J:Gearoid Brouder(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Gearoid Brouder(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	154	tb	30605-	78	108	39	49d	—	—	+3	9.2	14 7%
Bits and pieces of form but not recently so hard to fancy
NR	Howsthewoman Bay J:TBC T:John G Carr	J: T:John G Carr	156	ht	/7480-	80	-	-	160d	—	—	+4	8.8	33 3%
13-race maiden hurdler makes chasing debut and hard to fancy if getting a run; reserve
NR	Lough Na Fooey Bay J:TBC T:L Young	J: T:L Young	160	—	44P00-	84	-	-	54d	—	—	+1	11.6	33 3%
Points' winner 0-9 hurdling and making her chasing debut with limited appeal; reserve
4	Robin De Roost Brown J:Aileen O'Sullivan(7) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Aileen O'Sullivan(7) T:Thomas Gibney	160	—	PPF47-	84	102	48	27d	—	—	+6	9.5	28 4%
Winner here two years ago but 13yo can only be watched now
11	Zagnzig Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(7) T:H Smyth	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(7) T:H Smyth	152	—	92UPP-	76	104	93	49d	—	—	+4	7.6	22 5%
Chased home Shantou Sisu here over 2m3f last summer but hasn't completed in 3 runs since
12	So Ladylike Bay J:Shane O'Callaghan(7) T:C A Mcbratney	J:Shane O'Callaghan(7) T:C A Mcbratney	151	tp	78246-	75	99	65	33d	—	—	+7	9.5	33 3%
Way below best here last month on soft; could bounce back on this better ground
7	Finnians Row Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(5) T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	J:P J O'Hanlon(5) T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	157	tp	35447-	81	107	69	18d	—	—	+2	10.7	10 10%
Best form at 2m4f so stamina concerns remain at this trip despite better ground
9	Grinn Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:David M Obrien	J:Sean Flanagan T:David M Obrien	155	t	08650-	79	90	74	183d	—	—	+5	8.1	28 4%
Back from winter break and best form is over much shorter; has her ground though
13	Agirlcalledchloe Bay J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	149	b	PP62P-	73	96	61	18d	—	—	-11	15	14 7%
Penultimate run here gives her a chance if staying; blinkers tried
6	General Ryan Bay J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:G Ahern	J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:G Ahern	158	p	P8898-	82	108	81	61d	—	—	+5	9.1	20 5%
Points' winner is 0-6 chasing and not too many encouraging signs of late
1	Battle Of Benburb Bay J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:John C Mcconnell	166	t	P9P96-	90	83	46	35d	—	—	-9	18.1	14 7%
Struggling for form in recent starts; better ground should suit
5	Tiantu Brown J:Miss J M Cook(7) T:Paul Power	J:Miss J M Cook(7) T:Paul Power	160	tp	/0468-	84	107	69	19d	—	—	+7	9.2	66 2%
Back on favoured ground and down to career-low mark so don't rule out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Winnie Woodnutt	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2
Full Noise	SP	4/7	8/11	8/13	4/6
Likable Chancer	SP	17/2	9	8	17/2
Shantou Sisu	SP	10	11	10	10
Monoxide	SP	14	14	12	12
Howsthewoman	33	25	22	25	28
Lough Na Fooey	33	25	22	25	28
Robin De Roost	SP	25	25	28	28
Zagnzig	SP	22	22	20	18
So Ladylike	SP	33	33	33	33
Finnians Row	SP	9	10	8	17/2
Grinn	SP	28	28	28	28
Agirlcalledchloe	SP	12	12	12	14
General Ryan	SP	18	20	20	20
Battle Of Benburb	SP	14	14	10	14
Tiantu	66	33	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Winnie Woodnutt

37.9

OR: 11 Form: 19.6 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Full Noise

27.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 18.7

8/11

3rd

Likable Chancer

19.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.8 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Battle Of Benburb

18.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 8.1

Agirlcalledchloe

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.3 Odds: 8

Shantou Sisu

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Lough Na Fooey

11.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Finnians Row

10.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.4

Robin De Roost

9.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

So Ladylike

9.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.8

Monoxide

9.2

OR: 7 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6

Tiantu

9.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

General Ryan

9.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Howsthewoman

8.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Grinn

8.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Zagnzig

7.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

TR Top Rated by OR

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Winnie Woodnutt TR	94	—	—
Battle Of Benburb	90	83	46
Shantou Sisu	88	99	91
Full Noise	86	73	64
Lough Na Fooey	84	—	—
Robin De Roost	84	102	48
Tiantu	84	107	69
General Ryan	82	108	81
Likable Chancer	81	109	87
Finnians Row	81	107	69
Howsthewoman	80	—	—
Grinn	79	90	74
Monoxide	78	108	39
Zagnzig	76	104	93
So Ladylike	75	99	65
Agirlcalledchloe	73	96	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Winnie Woodnutt	14d ago	Fit
Likable Chancer	18d ago	Fit
Shantou Sisu	18d ago	Fit
Finnians Row	18d ago	Fit
Agirlcalledchloe	18d ago	Fit
Tiantu	19d ago	Fit
Robin De Roost	27d ago	Fit
So Ladylike	33d ago	Fit
Battle Of Benburb	35d ago	Fit
Monoxide	49d ago	Fresh
Zagnzig	49d ago	Fresh
Lough Na Fooey	54d ago	Fresh
General Ryan	61d ago	Fresh
Full Noise	64d ago	Fresh
Howsthewoman	160d ago	Long break
Grinn	183d ago	Long break