Central Taxis Race Day Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

15:50

Central Taxis Race Day Handicap

Date 2023-05-05

Distance 1m4f104y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Carlos Felix Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Philip Kirby	J:Graham Lee T:Philip Kirby	135	p	800-12	65	78	67	20d	—	—	-12	10.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Sound performances in two AW contests this term; turf win (in 2020) came off higher mark
3 (6)	Lednikov Bay J:Dale Swift T:Ivan Furtado	J:Dale Swift T:Ivan Furtado	135	v	0211-4	65	78	64	23d	—	—	-8	8.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not disgraced last month when bidding for AW hat-trick; won this race last year; respected
8 (7)	Smart Lass Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	129	t	40-674	59	80	55	31d	—	—	-8	6.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has a good record (5-9) at this course; interesting off a handy mark back here
7 (2)	Billy Bathgate Chestnut J:Barry McHugh T:Ewan Whillans	J:Barry McHugh T:Ewan Whillans	130	—	-82526	60	77	62	21d	—	—	0	10.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Runner-up four times since last summer but he's a 7yo maiden
1 (9)	Belle Of Annandale Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Billy Garritty T:Keith Dalgleish	136	—	2382-8	66	79	68	38d	—	—	-6	8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Still a maiden but was runner-up four times last year; fighting chance on that form
6 (1)	Simple Star Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	134	—	75727-	64	76	70	—	—	—	+1	9.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has achieved little in handicap hurdles for new yard this year
2 (4)	Scottish Wind Bay J:Oliver Stammers(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oliver Stammers(3) T:Lucinda Russell	135	—	244-8	65	77	56	23d	—	—	0	5.4	3.75/1	16 6%
May improve returned to forecast better ground on second handicap start
5 (8)	Great Colaci Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Gillian Boanas	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Gillian Boanas	134	—	63721/	64	-	-	610d	—	—	+15	18.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Absent since Haydock success in September 2021; follow the market signals
9 (5)	Pammi Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Jim Goldie	J:Cam Hardie T:Jim Goldie	116	—	87/07/	46	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Only Flat wins came in 2018; not seen in this sphere since 2021

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Carlos Felix	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Lednikov	4	4	7/2	4	4
Smart Lass	11/2	5	9/2	5	11/2
Billy Bathgate	13/2	6	6	13/2	13/2
Belle Of Annandale	11/2	5	9/2	5	5
Simple Star	8	8	15/2	8	17/2
Scottish Wind	16	14	12	14	16
Great Colaci	25	28	22	25	25
Pammi	50	50	33	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Great Colaci

18.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 14.4 Odds: 1

2nd

Billy Bathgate

10.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Carlos Felix

10.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Simple Star

9.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Lednikov

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Belle Of Annandale

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Smart Lass

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Scottish Wind

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Pammi

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Belle Of Annandale	66	79	68
Carlos Felix	65	78	67
Lednikov	65	78	64
Scottish Wind	65	77	56
Simple Star	64	76	70
Great Colaci	64	—	—
Billy Bathgate	60	77	62
Smart Lass	59	80	55
Pammi	46	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Carlos Felix	20d ago	Fit
Billy Bathgate	21d ago	Fit
Lednikov	23d ago	Fit
Scottish Wind	23d ago	Fit
Smart Lass	31d ago	Fit
Belle Of Annandale	38d ago	Fit
Great Colaci	610d ago	Long break
Simple Star	—	—
Pammi	—	—