William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap

Goodwood

16:20

Date 2023-05-06

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,621

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (1)	Sera Dawn Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	125	—	39-211	75	96	81	10d	—	—	-6	11.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Chasing a hat-trick; closely matched with Umming N' Ahing on Nottingham form
3 (7)	Kuwait City Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:John Butler	J:Hollie Doyle T:John Butler	131	—	10045-	81	93	76	225d	—	—	-2	14.8	0.75/1	4 25%
Soft-ground novice winner last May; mixed record after; has been gelded; needs improvement
6 (5)	Umming N Ahing Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Bill Turner	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Bill Turner	126	—	44-411	76	95	86	14d	—	—	-6	11.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2-2 since being gelded, both at Nottingham on slower than good; this a bit tougher
5 (2)	Simple Man Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Henry Candy	J:Dane O'Neill T:Henry Candy	129	—	17-	79	92	78	196d	—	—	+3	18.7	1.25/1	6 17%
Taking effort on his 2yo debut (5f, good to firm); bogged down on heavy latest; unexposed
NR (4)	The Thames Boatman Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	129	—	810-13	79	95	74	53d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two wins on AW; good 3rd at Southwell latest; promise on good to soft; better to come
2 (6)	Safari Dream Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	134	—	01110-	84	93	85	217d	—	—	+16	26.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three nursery wins last season; still capable of better and fair claims on seasonal return
1 (3)	Rocking Ends Grey J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	137	—	21-232	87	97	74	17d	—	—	-1	13.3	1.75/1	8 13%
Career best on AW latest; has won on fast turf but slower ground is a concern

Horse	bet365	Coral
Sera Dawn	7/2	7/2
Kuwait City	4	4
Umming N Ahing	5	9/2
Simple Man	6	4
The Thames Boatman	13/2	13/2
Safari Dream	7	15/2
Rocking Ends	7	8

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Safari Dream

26.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 15 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Simple Man

18.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

3rd

Kuwait City

14.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 2 Odds: 5

Rocking Ends

13.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Sera Dawn

11.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Umming N Ahing

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

The Thames Boatman

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rocking Ends	87	97	74
Safari Dream	84	93	85
Kuwait City	81	93	76
Simple Man	79	92	78
The Thames Boatman	79	95	74
Umming N Ahing	76	95	86
Sera Dawn	75	96	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sera Dawn	10d ago	Quick return
Umming N Ahing	14d ago	Fit
Rocking Ends	17d ago	Fit
The Thames Boatman	53d ago	Fresh
Simple Man	196d ago	Long break
Safari Dream	217d ago	Long break
Kuwait City	225d ago	Long break