Marston's Pedigree Staffordshire Plate Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Uttoxeter

16:25

Date 2023-05-06

Distance 3m

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £18,004

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Kinondo Kwetu Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	158	t	11133-	137	150	104	21d	—	—	+26	41.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won five chases in 2022 and was very creditable third at last month's Aintree festival
15	Arizona Cardinal Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	143	t	/1463-	122	150	132	24d	—	—	+15	27.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Back on track when third at Southwell last month and may still have potential
8	Coconut Splash Chestnut J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	151	—	/3P2B-	130	153	133	21d	—	—	+17	26.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-10 over fences but largely consistent; still unexposed over 3m; shortlisted
NR	Landofsmiles Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	143	p	43293/	122	-	-	472d	—	—	+15	28.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Not an easy one to weigh up after 472-day absence but given good chance by handicapper.
17	Dom Of Mary Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:David Bridgwater	J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:David Bridgwater	142	p	F5321-	121	149	120	35d	—	—	+26	35	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Off the mark over fences at Stratford last month; has a lot more on his plate here
10	Knight In Dubai Bay J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	149	t	20243-	128	155	131	28d	—	—	+21	27.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Kept on for third at Newton Abbot last month but more will be needed here
1	Caribean Boy Grey J:Daryl Jacob T:Nicky Henderson	J:Daryl Jacob T:Nicky Henderson	168	p	P/5P1-	147	153	122	17d	—	—	+18	26.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Clear winner of 2m4f Cheltenham handicap last month; may be even better suited by 3m
12	Yes Indeed Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo Oneill	148	t	/6442-	127	153	138	43d	—	—	+20	26	2.50/1	11 9%
Looked set to open British account last time but was outbattled close home; 4lb higher now
4	Nestor Park Bay J:Luca Morgan T:Ben Pauling	J:Luca Morgan T:Ben Pauling	156	p	3/3P2-	135	153	142	26d	—	—	+18	25.3	2.75/1	12 8%
Holds no secrets from the handicapper but ran well in defeat at Chepstow last month
5	Witness Protection Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Martin Keighley	J:Brian Hughes T:Martin Keighley	153	—	21/P4-	132	152	123	42d	—	—	+16	22.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Ran quite well when fourth at Newbury but again bled from the nose that day; risky
6	Emir Sacree Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	153	—	1/P3P-	132	155	118	51d	—	—	+23	29.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Very good third at Sandown in February but pulled up on other two starts last season
NR	Go On Chez Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	143	t	32FP1-	122	150	117	176d	—	—	+24	30	2.50/1	11 9%
In excellent form when last seen in November; any rain will dent his appeal though
11	Morning Spirit Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Kevin Brogan T:Jonjo Oneill	148	—	43635-	127	154	136	28d	—	—	+19	23.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Has mixed record since 6l win off this mark in November, and was soundly beaten last time
NR	Topofthecotswolds Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	149	p	4313P-	128	154	129	131d	—	—	+23	27	6.00/1	25 4%
Five-time chase winner; off since poor run on Boxing Day; rain a likely negative
NR	Bbold Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Syd Hosie	J:Jack Tudor T:Syd Hosie	143	p	1435P-	122	153	130	131d	—	—	+18	20.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Good-ground specialist who has a chance if conditions remain in his favour
NR	Organdi Brown J:Tom Bellamy T:Richard Phillips	J:Tom Bellamy T:Richard Phillips	156	—	U631P-	135	147	128	196d	—	—	+26	28.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Game winner last September but not seen since running poorly a month later
7	Head To The Stars Brown J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	152	—	6U425-	131	151	123	44d	—	—	+22	23.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Best known as a Ludlow specialist now; didn't run well there on latest outing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kinondo Kwetu	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Arizona Cardinal	11/2	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Coconut Splash	8	17/2	15/2	8	8
Landofsmiles	10	10	9	10	10
Dom Of Mary	15/2	17/2	15/2	8	8
Knight In Dubai	11	11	11	11	11
Caribean Boy	8	10	10	10	10
Yes Indeed	11	11	11	11	11
Nestor Park	12	11	10	11	11
Witness Protection	12	12	11	12	12
Emir Sacree	12	12	11	12	12
Go On Chez	11	11	11	11	11
Morning Spirit	16	14	14	14	14
Topofthecotswolds	25	25	25	25	25
Bbold	33	40	40	40	40
Organdi	33	33	33	33	33
Head To The Stars	33	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kinondo Kwetu

41.3

OR: 21.8 Form: 15.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Dom Of Mary

OR: 17.8 Form: 14.7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Go On Chez

OR: 18 Form: 10.3 Odds: 1.7

Emir Sacree

29.2

OR: 20.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Organdi

28.5

OR: 21.3 Form: 6.7 Odds: 0.6

Landofsmiles

28.3

OR: 18 Form: 6.4 Odds: 3.9

Knight In Dubai

27.7

OR: 19.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

Arizona Cardinal

27.6

OR: 18 Form: 6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Topofthecotswolds

OR: 19.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1

Caribean Boy

26.6

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Coconut Splash

26.2

OR: 20 Form: 3.7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Yes Indeed

OR: 19.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Nestor Park

25.3

OR: 21.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

Head To The Stars

23.9

OR: 20.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.6

Morning Spirit

23.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Witness Protection

22.4

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Bbold

20.7

OR: 18 Form: 2 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Caribean Boy	147	153	122
Kinondo Kwetu	137	150	104
Nestor Park	135	153	142
Organdi	135	147	128
Witness Protection	132	152	123
Emir Sacree	132	155	118
Head To The Stars	131	151	123
Coconut Splash	130	153	133
Knight In Dubai	128	155	131
Topofthecotswolds	128	154	129
Yes Indeed	127	153	138
Morning Spirit	127	154	136
Arizona Cardinal	122	150	132
Landofsmiles	122	—	—
Go On Chez	122	150	117
Bbold	122	153	130
Dom Of Mary	121	149	120

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Caribean Boy	17d ago	Fit
Kinondo Kwetu	21d ago	Fit
Coconut Splash	21d ago	Fit
Arizona Cardinal	24d ago	Fit
Nestor Park	26d ago	Fit
Knight In Dubai	28d ago	Fit
Morning Spirit	28d ago	Fit
Dom Of Mary	35d ago	Fit
Witness Protection	42d ago	Fit
Yes Indeed	43d ago	Fit
Head To The Stars	44d ago	Fit
Emir Sacree	51d ago	Fresh
Topofthecotswolds	131d ago	Long break
Bbold	131d ago	Long break
Go On Chez	176d ago	Long break
Organdi	196d ago	Long break
Landofsmiles	472d ago	Long break