Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) – Newmarket

Newmarket

13:50

Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2023-05-07

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £51,540

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	Cemhaan Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	131	t	17910-	96	110	103	183d	—	—	+11	24.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
This race was one of three wins last year; has had wind surgery; stable in fine form
2 (15)	Berkshire Rocco Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	135	p	74-125	100	112	-	30d	—	—	+4	15.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Disappointing when 5-4 at Newcastle latest; perhaps return to turf will spark something
12 (19)	Firstman Bay J:William Buick T:A J Martin	J:William Buick T:A J Martin	123	t	41-122	88	108	85	—	—	—	+1	12.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Improved from September onwards, on turf initially and later over 1m4f/2m on Dundalk AW
8 (10)	Hms President Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	128	—	2220-2	93	112	100	27d	—	—	+9	18.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Mostly highly competitive last term and made a cracking start for new yard four weeks ago
NR (12)	Sea King Brown J:TBC T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J: T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	127	—	17447-	92	112	94	212d	—	—	+6	14.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Has a competitive mark and possibly room to resume improvement back at 1m6f
10 (17)	Adjuvant Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Michael Bell	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Michael Bell	125	—	18358-	90	112	102	212d	—	—	+5	16.8	1.25/1	6 17%
Raised his game when upped to 1m4f then 1m6f last summer, but all on good or good to firm
13 (6)	Halic Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Robert Eddery	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Robert Eddery	123	—	32-112	88	112	-	30d	—	—	+5	11.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Lightly raced; nearly won all three handicaps (1m4f, 1m5f and 2m); unraced on turf
11 (2)	Duke Of Verona Grey J:David Egan T:William Jarvis	J:David Egan T:William Jarvis	124	—	6140-1	89	108	77	23d	—	—	+16	21.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Has 5lb penalty but tends not to win by far and should be suited by step back up in trip
17 (4)	Sarsons Risk Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:B F Brookhouse	J:Kieran O'Neill T:B F Brookhouse	117	t	8112-6	82	110	83	—	—	—	+2	10.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Something to prove on softer than good; needs to resume his 2022 Flat headway at 1m4f
15 (11)	Torcello Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Shaun Lycett	J:Joe Fanning T:Shaun Lycett	122	b	0821-8	87	113	98	35d	—	—	+6	10.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Hit form from the front with blinkers on final two runs last term; disappointing on return
14 (14)	Legendary Day Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	123	t	-21171	88	109	82	8d	—	—	+24	30.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Only once out of the first two in his eight races for new yard, winning four; has penalty
6 (5)	Duty Of Care Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Jamie Osborne	J:Shane Kelly T:Jamie Osborne	128	t	561-12	93	111	77	36d	—	—	+8	11.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Has done well over 2m on Kempton AW last three outings; now tongue tied first time
4 (1)	Nolton Cross Brown J:James Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	J:James Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	130	—	-11216	95	110	77	30d	—	—	+23	26.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Latest start suggests this trip should be fine; turf mark has risen in tandem with AW form
16 (8)	First Emperor Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:John Ryan	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:John Ryan	119	t	123223	84	112	88	30d	—	—	+17	20.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Has clocked up a fine sequence for new yard over 2m on AW from January onwards
18 (7)	Single Chestnut J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	116	—	21750-	81	112	99	209d	—	—	+9	12.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Usually runs with credit but her strike-rate suggests she is not the percentage call
19 (13)	Geremia Bay J:George Rooke T:Jim Goldie	J:George Rooke T:Jim Goldie	115	—	60053-	80	110	109	177d	—	—	+8	11.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Down the weights but this is a tough race in which to break his losing sequence
NR (3)	Themaxwecan Bay J:TBC T:Charlie Johnston	J: T:Charlie Johnston	128	p	0017-9	93	111	78	29d	—	—	+9	11.2	9.75/1	40 3%
In the doldrums except for his 2m win last August; best on good or firmer
NR (18)	Roberto Escobarr Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	138	—	29/2-3	103	112	-	57d	—	—	+13	22.3	3.75/1	16 6%
Smart in 2021; has run only twice since, performing respectably; more to prove on soft
5 (16)	Solent Gateway Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Hugo Palmer	129	tp	-51347	94	112	81	30d	—	—	+14	16.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Raised his game last term and has already done so over 2m+ on AW this year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cemhaan	5	11/2	5	9/2	5
Berkshire Rocco	6	13/2	11/2	6	6
Firstman	7	13/2	6	11/2	7
Hms President	8	8	7	7	15/2
Sea King	9	9	8	8	8
Adjuvant	6	6	6	6	6
Halic	12	11	10	10	10
Duke Of Verona	14	14	12	12	14
Sarsons Risk	9	9	17/2	8	15/2
Torcello	16	16	14	14	16
Legendary Day	16	16	16	14	14
Duty Of Care	25	25	25	25	25
Nolton Cross	28	28	28	25	25
First Emperor	33	33	25	28	33
Single	33	33	33	25	33
Geremia	33	33	25	28	33
Themaxwecan	40	40	40	40	40
Roberto Escobarr	16	16	12	15/2	16
Solent Gateway	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Legendary Day

30.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 19 Odds: 1.6

2nd

Nolton Cross

26.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 0.9

3rd

Cemhaan

24.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 9 Odds: 4

11/2

Roberto Escobarr

22.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5

Duke Of Verona

21.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

First Emperor

20.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 0.9

Hms President

18.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Adjuvant

16.8

OR: 10 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

Solent Gateway

16.1

OR: 11 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.6

Berkshire Rocco

15.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sea King

14.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 2 Odds: 2.4

Firstman

12.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Single

12.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 4 Odds: 0.9

Duty Of Care

11.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Halic

11.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Geremia

11.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Themaxwecan

11.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Torcello

10.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Sarsons Risk

10.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roberto Escobarr	103	112	—
Berkshire Rocco	100	112	—
Cemhaan	96	110	103
Nolton Cross	95	110	77
Solent Gateway	94	112	81
Hms President	93	112	100
Duty Of Care	93	111	77
Themaxwecan	93	111	78
Sea King	92	112	94
Adjuvant	90	112	102
Duke Of Verona	89	108	77
Firstman	88	108	85
Halic	88	112	—
Legendary Day	88	109	82
Torcello	87	113	98
First Emperor	84	112	88
Sarsons Risk	82	110	83
Single	81	112	99
Geremia	80	110	109

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Legendary Day	8d ago	Quick return
Duke Of Verona	23d ago	Fit
Hms President	27d ago	Fit
Themaxwecan	29d ago	Fit
Berkshire Rocco	30d ago	Fit
Halic	30d ago	Fit
Nolton Cross	30d ago	Fit
First Emperor	30d ago	Fit
Solent Gateway	30d ago	Fit
Torcello	35d ago	Fit
Duty Of Care	36d ago	Fit
Roberto Escobarr	57d ago	Fresh
Geremia	177d ago	Long break
Cemhaan	183d ago	Long break
Single	209d ago	Long break
Sea King	212d ago	Long break
Adjuvant	212d ago	Long break
Firstman	—	—
Sarsons Risk	—	—