At The Races App Expert Tips Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:10

At The Races App Expert Tips Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-05-09

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 2m 13.32s (slow by 5.82s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Crystal Mariner (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	10/11F	Won
2nd	Lion's Pride (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	11/8	.5
3rd	Open Choice (USA) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	7/1	4
4th	Cuernavaca (FR) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	28/1	4
5th	Surge (FR) Stefano Cherchi · David Menuisier	125/1	0.1
6th	Evident (USA) Ben Curtis · Charlie Johnston	40/1	3
7th	Easter Island (GB) David Nolan · Julie Camacho	200/1	1.25
8th	Elusive Empire (FR) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	12/1	1.5
9th	Wheres The Crumpet (GB) Phil Dennis · David Thompson	200/1	1.5
10th	Bella Puledra (GB) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	250/1	14

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (8)	Crystal Mariner Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	127	—	3	-	78	-	28d	—	—	-27	18	10/11 52%
Promise amidst inexperience on last month's Pontefract debut; leading contender
9 (6)	Lions Pride Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-24	11.4	11/8 42%
Bred to be smart and he's starting out in a winnable race; of obvious interest
10 (1)	Open Choice Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	127	—	4	-	70	31	117d	—	—	-8	3.3	13/2 13%
Attracted support on debut here in Jan (1m) but fluffed the start; up in trip now
8 (10)	Elusive Empire Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	12 8%
Half-brother to five winners, two of whom achieved an RPR of 106 or more; betting useful
NR (7)	Jos Rainbow Bay J:TBC T:K R Burke	J: T:K R Burke	122	—	4-3	-	65	28	1d	—	—	-9	8	20 5%
Bred for middle distances and can leave her 2yo debut behind her in time; third 6.35 Monday
5 (9)	Cuernavaca Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	137	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	40 3%
190,000gns half-sister to 4 winners; debut been a long time coming but check the betting
NR (2)	Dragon Art Bay J:TBC T:David Thompson	J: T:David Thompson	142	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	80 1%
Tailed off in a bumper here in January; impossible to recommend
3 (12)	Evident Chestnut J:Ben Curtis T:Charlie Johnston	J:Ben Curtis T:Charlie Johnston	142	—	5	-	50	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	125 1%
Green when a well-beaten last of five on recent Beverley debut; bred to do much better
12 (11)	Surge Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:David Menuisier	J:Stefano Cherchi T:David Menuisier	122	—	—	-	38	-	24d	—	—	-1	0.3	150 1%
20-1, green and beaten a long way on Yarmouth debut last month; one for the longer term
6 (3)	Wheres The Crumpet Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:David Thompson	J:Phil Dennis T:David Thompson	137	—	5	-	70	29	26d	—	—	-1	0.2	250 0%
Didn't run badly over C&D on Flat debut last month (missed the break); still opposable
2 (4)	Easter Island Bay J:David Nolan T:Julie Camacho	J:David Nolan T:Julie Camacho	142	—	93-	-	66	19	197d	—	—	+2	3.2	250 0%
Ran creditably in a small-field novice here (1m4f) on second start; more required today
4 (5)	Bella Puledra Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:David Thompson	137	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	250 0%
Half-sister to three winners but likely best watched on this belated debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Crystal Mariner	10/11	5/6	10/11	10/11	10/11
Lions Pride	11/8	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8
Open Choice	7	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Elusive Empire	12	12	12	12	12
Jos Rainbow	20	18	18	18	18
Cuernavaca	33	40	33	33	33
Dragon Art	80	80	80	80	80
Evident	100	125	100	100	100
Surge	150	100	80	80	80
Wheres The Crumpet	250	150	150	200	80
Easter Island	250	100	100	125	100
Bella Puledra	250	250	200	250	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crystal Mariner

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Lions Pride

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

11/8

3rd

Jos Rainbow

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

Open Choice

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Easter Island

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

250

Elusive Empire

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Dragon Art

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Cuernavaca

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Surge

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Evident

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125

Wheres The Crumpet

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Bella Puledra

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Crystal Mariner	—	78	—
Lions Pride	—	—	—
Open Choice	—	70	31
Elusive Empire	—	—	—
Jos Rainbow	—	65	28
Cuernavaca	—	—	—
Dragon Art	—	—	—
Evident	—	50	—
Surge	—	38	—
Wheres The Crumpet	—	70	29
Easter Island	—	66	19
Bella Puledra	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jos Rainbow	1d ago	Quick return
Evident	12d ago	Quick return
Surge	24d ago	Fit
Wheres The Crumpet	26d ago	Fit
Crystal Mariner	28d ago	Fit
Open Choice	117d ago	Long break
Easter Island	197d ago	Long break
Lions Pride	—	—
Elusive Empire	—	—
Cuernavaca	—	—
Dragon Art	—	—
Bella Puledra	—	—