RBC Brewin Dolphin Handicap Hurdle (Div I) – Kelso

Kelso

15:25

RBC Brewin Dolphin Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Date 2023-05-10

Distance 2m4f189y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,961

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Castletown Grey J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Lucinda Russell	164	b	33222-	96	106	96	18d	—	—	+9	30.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Very consistent since last spring, most recently second at Ayr; solid contender
1	Balkalin Chestnut J:Conor Rabbitt(7) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Conor Rabbitt(7) T:Maurice Barnes	168	t	51463-	100	107	70	16d	—	—	+8	22.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won here in October; creditable third at Hexham (back from break) last month
7	Just Call Me Al Brown J:Tom Midgley(5) T:Gillian Boanas	J:Tom Midgley(5) T:Gillian Boanas	153	t	P5846-	85	106	82	12d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Current mark reflects recent form; well handicapped on his winning form
10	Dr Shirocco Chestnut J:Henry Brooke T:Sandy Forster	J:Henry Brooke T:Sandy Forster	144	—	52246-	76	102	81	12d	—	—	+4	13	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has some encouraging form but he's now 0-23 under rules
4	Agilulf Chestnut J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Adam Nicol	J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Adam Nicol	160	—	33544-	100	102	89	57d	—	—	+8	16.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Has frame possibilities but needs improvement to get off the mark
2	Boomslang Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	168	—	32936-	100	99	74	104d	—	—	+10	19.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Looks a likely improver now handicapping and back up in distance; interesting
12	Brave Bairn Bay J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:Catch Bissett	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:Catch Bissett	142	h	38/03-	74	101	85	45d	—	—	+1	8.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Encouraging third at Carlisle last time; may improve again
NR	Loughermore Bay J:TBC T:Amie Waugh	J: T:Amie Waugh	156	—	58P6-U	88	101	88	—	—	—	+5	11.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Has doubts over his current form; sole hurdles win came in 2020
8	Melchoir Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	151	t	826P5-	83	104	87	23d	—	—	+4	10.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not beaten far here last month; possibilities if building on that effort
9	Follow Your Fire Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	148	p	8V777-	80	106	113	16d	—	—	+3	9.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Generally out of sorts since last success; reverts to hurdles from fences
11	Diamant Sur Canape Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Ewan Whillans	J:Danny McMenamin T:Ewan Whillans	142	h	9P9P0-	74	105	77	23d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Handicap debutant who holds weak claims on form
5	Shantous Temple Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Pauline Robson	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Pauline Robson	158	—	8/756-	90	98	61	47d	—	—	+7	11.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Pedigree suggests he should have something to offer off this modest opening mark
13	Rocco Molly Bay J:Edward Austin(5) T:George Bewley	J:Edward Austin(5) T:George Bewley	142	t	0U57-	74	92	-	222d	—	—	+5	6.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Handicap debutant who has poor form claims; 6lb out of weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Castletown	3	3	11/4	3	3
Balkalin	9/2	4	4	4	4
Just Call Me Al	7	7	13/2	7	7
Dr Shirocco	8	17/2	15/2	17/2	9
Agilulf	10	9	9	9	9
Boomslang	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	8
Brave Bairn	10/1	11	10	11	11
Loughermore	16	16	12	14	14
Melchoir	12/1	11	11	11	11
Follow Your Fire	14	14	12	14	14
Diamant Sur Canape	20/1	18	16	18	18
Shantous Temple	25/1	22	20	22	22
Rocco Molly	150	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Castletown

30.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Balkalin

22.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Boomslang

19.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 4.2 Odds: 2.6

17/2

Agilulf

16.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

Dr Shirocco

OR: 6.5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Just Call Me Al

11.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Loughermore

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Shantous Temple

11.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Melchoir

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Follow Your Fire

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Brave Bairn

8.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Diamant Sur Canape

7.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Rocco Molly

6.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Balkalin	100	107	70
Agilulf	100	102	89
Boomslang	100	99	74
Castletown	96	106	96
Shantous Temple	90	98	61
Loughermore	88	101	88
Just Call Me Al	85	106	82
Melchoir	83	104	87
Follow Your Fire	80	106	113
Dr Shirocco	76	102	81
Brave Bairn	74	101	85
Diamant Sur Canape	74	105	77
Rocco Molly	74	92	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Just Call Me Al	12d ago	Quick return
Dr Shirocco	12d ago	Quick return
Balkalin	16d ago	Fit
Follow Your Fire	16d ago	Fit
Castletown	18d ago	Fit
Melchoir	23d ago	Fit
Diamant Sur Canape	23d ago	Fit
Brave Bairn	45d ago	Fit
Shantous Temple	47d ago	Fresh
Agilulf	57d ago	Fresh
Boomslang	104d ago	Long break
Rocco Molly	222d ago	Long break
Loughermore	—	—