Read Richard Hannon's Chester Blogs @unibetracing Maiden Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

14:25

Date 2023-05-11

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	Okami Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-26	12.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Represents a top yard and respected on debut, especially if the market is positive
7 (1)	Dear Daphne Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	127	—	532-24	74	83	68	17d	—	—	-15	15.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Disappointing last time but went close over C&D the time before; solid chance on that form
3 (3)	Kracking Grey J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	132	h	3	-	74	30	26d	—	—	-10	8.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Last of three on debut but did well to finish as close as he did; one for the shortlist
9 (6)	Ormolulu Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	127	—	2	-	69	13	27d	—	—	0	6.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Runner-up on her debut over C&D last month; each-way claims
1 (4)	Miss Willows Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	137	h	6/4	-	63	-	13d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Has shown ability in her first two starts but looks one for handicaps after this
6 (10)	Smokey Lonesome Chestnut J:Oliver Stammers(3) T:Denis Quinn	J:Oliver Stammers(3) T:Denis Quinn	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Wouldn't be an obvious winner first time out; will probably need much further on breeding
10 (9)	Roxys Charm Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Herrington	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Herrington	127	h	0-	-	7	-	362d	—	—	-2	0.7	19.75/1	80 1%
Last on her Thirsk debut a year ago; hood goes on
2 (5)	Brother Dave Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	132	—	70	-	52	24	13d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Some ability on C&D debut but beaten a long way at Doncaster next time; one for handicaps
8 (8)	Diamond Hands Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jim Boyle	J:Hector Crouch T:Jim Boyle	127	—	60	-	56	11	15d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Some ability in the first of two starts at Lingfield; can be handicapped after this
4 (7)	Nautical Dream Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	132	—	7	-	39	-	32d	—	—	-1	0.4	49.75/1	200 1%
Last of seven on C&D debut last month; needs more time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Okami	5/4	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4
Dear Daphne	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Kracking	4	4	9/2	4	5
Ormolulu	12	12	12	12	12
Miss Willows	14	14	14	14	14
Smokey Lonesome	100	80	80	80	66
Roxys Charm	80	40	40	33	33
Brother Dave	100	50	50	50	40
Diamond Hands	150	80	80	80	80
Nautical Dream	200	80	80	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dear Daphne

15.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Okami

12.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

11/8

3rd

Kracking

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Ormolulu

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

Miss Willows

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Roxys Charm

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Brother Dave

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Smokey Lonesome

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Nautical Dream

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

Diamond Hands

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dear Daphne	74	83	68
Okami	—	—	—
Kracking	—	74	30
Ormolulu	—	69	13
Miss Willows	—	63	—
Smokey Lonesome	—	—	—
Roxys Charm	—	7	—
Brother Dave	—	52	24
Diamond Hands	—	56	11
Nautical Dream	—	39	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Willows	13d ago	Quick return
Brother Dave	13d ago	Quick return
Diamond Hands	15d ago	Fit
Dear Daphne	17d ago	Fit
Kracking	26d ago	Fit
Ormolulu	27d ago	Fit
Nautical Dream	32d ago	Fit
Roxys Charm	362d ago	Long break
Okami	—	—
Smokey Lonesome	—	—