Troytown Bar Handicap – Navan

Navan

16:35

Troytown Bar Handicap

Date 2023-05-13

Distance 1m5f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (23)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (22)	Bolero Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:H Rogers	J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:H Rogers	128	tv	924-42	51	71	59	3d	—	—	-11	4.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Should be thereabouts providing this does not come too soon after Gowran run on Wednesday
NR (14)	Edge Of My Seat Grey J:TBC T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J: T:Aidan Anthony Howard	124	—	0/44-9	47	66	63	21d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
First reserve, maiden who has shown signs of winning potential on Flat and over hurdles
4 (4)	Striking Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	141	—	/890-1	64	68	15	24d	—	—	-7	22.4	0.53/1	17/8 32%
Won snugly at Gowran and appeals more than most now despite 11lb rise in the ratings
19 (10)	Doyouthinkso Bay J:Chris Hayes T:J P Flavin	J:Chris Hayes T:J P Flavin	124	t	04/15/	47	72	-	—	—	—	-5	1.8	2.75/1	12 8%
Winning hurdler with modest Flat form, fair recent hurdles run in a handicap at Tramore
NR (7)	Five Zeros Chestnut J:TBC T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J: T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	140	h	1190-6	63	69	52	13d	—	—	0	4.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Third reserve, enjoyed a productive campaign last season, should be better for recent run
11 (5)	Franno Brown J:Colin Keane T:Gerard Keane	J:Colin Keane T:Gerard Keane	128	v	54958-	51	72	55	178d	—	—	-5	2.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Only two wins were gained consecutively on good ground in 2021, chance is not obvious here
5 (12)	Indulging Bay J:W J Lee T:T M Walsh	J:W J Lee T:T M Walsh	140	—	/009-4	63	63	42	37d	—	—	-2	5.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Worth considering for this modest handicap after fair fourth in a maiden at Bellewstown
9 (13)	Strange Notions Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:Charles Obrien	J:Wayne Lordan T:Charles Obrien	130	t	3/2/9/	53	77	-	—	—	—	+1	7.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Has been struggling over hurdles since Ballinrobe win 12 months ago, hard to be confident
17 (9)	Ballybaun Star Bay J:Robert Whearty(7) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Robert Whearty(7) T:Thomas Gibney	124	t	08700/	47	68	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Showed useful form over hurdles at around this time last year, ordinary on Flat in 2021
12 (2)	Lariat Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:J J Lambe	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J J Lambe	128	p	8207-3	51	76	59	13d	—	—	-4	6.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2-33 on Flat and placed 12 times, possible place chance again after recent Sligo third
2 (20)	Magnetic North Chestnut J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	142	v	40-707	65	75	-	—	—	—	-1	5.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Pulled-up over hurdles on latest, previously not disgraced when 20-1 chance over C&D
NR (15)	King Of The Kippax Bay J:TBC T:Leanne Breen	J: T:Leanne Breen	136	—	6683-0	59	77	60	25d	—	—	-26	16.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Placed five times in Britain, behind several of these rivals on Irish debut at Gowran
13 (18)	Red Vermillion Chestnut J:Mpumelelo Mjoka(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Mpumelelo Mjoka(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	126	—	47/083	49	70	-	24d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Two wins in 2020, off for a long time until this year, encouraging third at Gowran
NR (11)	Zileo Bay J:TBC T:M Halford & T Collins	J: T:M Halford & T Collins	142	t	0707-9	65	77	39	21d	—	—	0	5.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Second reserve, won in France two seasons ago, modest Irish form but fair C&D run latest
15 (8)	All Ways And Ever Bay J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	124	—	/00-67	47	64	46	25d	—	—	-3	1.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Started off in handicap company with seventh of 17 at Gowran, improvement required
20 (23)	Starlight Rose Chestnut J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Dowling	J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Dowling	124	—	0-0008	47	73	39	25d	—	—	-3	0.9	16.25/1	66 2%
Very poor form at Dundalk during the winter, a little more encouraging at Gowran last time
1 (16)	Dollar Value Grey J:Luke McAteer(3) T:T G Mccourt	J:Luke McAteer(3) T:T G Mccourt	142	—	0945-5	65	68	47	37d	—	—	-2	6	2.25/1	10 10%
Very versatile horse who has won 11 races, may have needed last month's Bellewstown run
3 (6)	French Company Bay J:Dean Curran(7) T:J G Coogan	J:Dean Curran(7) T:J G Coogan	141	—	-14034	64	70	51	29d	—	—	+3	9.5	4.25/1	18 6%
Best at Dundalk and on good ground on turf, recent Dundalk form has been satisfactory
7 (1)	Contrapposto Bay J:Ben Coen T:R Donohoe	J:Ben Coen T:R Donohoe	133	—	9049-6	56	77	49	25d	—	—	-1	2.6	4.75/1	20 5%
1-39 Flat record is negative, not a bad run when sixth of 17 at Gowran last month
14 (19)	Tooso Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:S M Duffy	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:S M Duffy	125	p	8060-9	48	77	69	25d	—	—	-6	2.1	5.25/1	22 5%
13-race maiden, little of note in her form, finished behind Contrapposto at Gowran
16 (21)	An Madra Mor b/br J:Killian Leonard T:Tom Mcguinness	J:Killian Leonard T:Tom Mcguinness	124	—	09-5	47	78	-	92d	—	—	-3	1	9.75/1	40 3%
Has finished last on all three starts all of which have been ambitious, hard to fancy
18 (3)	Complete Fantasy Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Rory Cleary T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	124	tb	8/0/90	47	60	-	29d	—	—	-3	1.2	16.25/1	66 2%
Has been placed over hurdles, no encouragement from two Dundalk runs in recent months
8 (17)	Saddle In The Rain Bay J:Leigh Roche T:D J Barry	J:Leigh Roche T:D J Barry	132	tp	4990-	55	69	37	—	—	—	-1	1.9	19.75/1	80 1%
Fit from a recent run over hurdles, Flat form not good enough to encourage support

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bolero	11/2	5	5	5	5
Edge Of My Seat	10	11	9	12	12
Striking	2	15/8	17/8	2	15/8
Doyouthinkso	11	11	12	12	12
Five Zeros	16	16	14	16	18
Franno	25	18	18	14	18
Indulging	20	18	16	20	16
Strange Notions	12	11	12	12	12
Ballybaun Star	12	11	12	12	12
Lariat	9	17/2	9	8	9
Magnetic North	22	20	18	20	20
King Of The Kippax	40	40	40	40	40
Red Vermillion	12	12	12	12	14
Zileo	16	16	16	16	16
All Ways And Ever	50	50	50	33	50
Starlight Rose	66	66	66	40	66
Dollar Value	10	9	9	9	9
French Company	16	18	18	18	18
Contrapposto	20	20	18	20	20
Tooso	18	22	22	22	22
An Madra Mor	40	25	28	33	33
Complete Fantasy	66	66	50	66	66
Saddle In The Rain	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Striking

22.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

17/8

2nd

King Of The Kippax

16.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 14

3rd

French Company

9.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.9

Strange Notions

7.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Lariat

6.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Dollar Value

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Magnetic North

5.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Indulging

5.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2

Zileo

5.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Bolero

4.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Five Zeros

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Contrapposto

2.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Franno

2.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Edge Of My Seat

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Tooso

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ballybaun Star

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Saddle In The Rain

1.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Doyouthinkso

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

Red Vermillion

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

All Ways And Ever

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Complete Fantasy

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

An Madra Mor

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Starlight Rose

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Magnetic North	65	75	—
Zileo	65	77	39
Dollar Value	65	68	47
Striking	64	68	15
French Company	64	70	51
Five Zeros	63	69	52
Indulging	63	63	42
King Of The Kippax	59	77	60
Contrapposto	56	77	49
Saddle In The Rain	55	69	37
Strange Notions	53	77	—
Bolero	51	71	59
Franno	51	72	55
Lariat	51	76	59
Red Vermillion	49	70	—
Tooso	48	77	69
Edge Of My Seat	47	66	63
Doyouthinkso	47	72	—
Ballybaun Star	47	68	—
All Ways And Ever	47	64	46
Starlight Rose	47	73	39
An Madra Mor	47	78	—
Complete Fantasy	47	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bolero	3d ago	Quick return
Five Zeros	13d ago	Quick return
Lariat	13d ago	Quick return
Edge Of My Seat	21d ago	Fit
Zileo	21d ago	Fit
Striking	24d ago	Fit
Red Vermillion	24d ago	Fit
King Of The Kippax	25d ago	Fit
All Ways And Ever	25d ago	Fit
Starlight Rose	25d ago	Fit
Contrapposto	25d ago	Fit
Tooso	25d ago	Fit
French Company	29d ago	Fit
Complete Fantasy	29d ago	Fit
Indulging	37d ago	Fit
Dollar Value	37d ago	Fit
An Madra Mor	92d ago	Long break
Franno	178d ago	Long break
Doyouthinkso	—	—
Strange Notions	—	—
Ballybaun Star	—	—
Magnetic North	—	—
Saddle In The Rain	—	—