Welsh Guards Association Handicap Hurdle – Ludlow

Ludlow

15:35

Welsh Guards Association Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-05-14

Distance 1m7f169y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Winning Time 3m 43.92s (slow by 10.92s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Zucayan (FR) Nick Slatter · Fergal O'Brien	4/1	Won
2nd	Him Malaya (FR) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	7/1	1.25
3rd	Highland Frolic (FR) Sam Twiston-Davies · Milton Harris	17/2	2.25
4th	Coolnaugh Haze (IRE) Elizabeth Gale · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	7/2F	.5
5th	Force De Frap (FR) Connor Brace · Emma-Jane Bishop	7/1	4
6th	Scherbobalob (GB) Jay Tidball · Alastair Ralph	13/2	0.1
7th	Fight For It (IRE) Ned Fox · John O'Shea	16/1	4.25
8th	Patient Dream (FR) William Maggs · Donald McCain	11/2	14
9th	Chasamax (IRE) Tabitha Worsley · Sarah-Jayne Davies	100/1	15
10th	Gerard Mentor (FR) Kai Lenihan · Kim Bailey	16/1	2

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Patient Dream Bay J:William Maggs(7) T:Donald Mccain	J:William Maggs(7) T:Donald Mccain	162	p	50115-	104	107	90	20d	—	—	+10	32	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made all twice (once over C&D) in February; didn't run badly last time; still of interest
1	Gerard Mentor Bay J:Kai Lenihan(7) T:Kim Bailey	J:Kai Lenihan(7) T:Kim Bailey	169	tv	14116-	111	108	90	164d	—	—	+17	34.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won four times in 2022 (once over C&D); back from break today; further progress possible
10	Him Malaya Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	156	t	3P3-	104	113	65	62d	—	—	+5	21.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Encouraging third at Taunton in March; open to significant improvement in handicaps
6	Highland Frolic Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Milton Harris	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Milton Harris	158	t	74721-	106	111	106	21d	—	—	+20	30.6	1.50/1	7 14%
Off the mark in run-of-the-mill maiden last month; a bit more will be needed here
2	Coolnaugh Haze Bay J:Elizabeth Gale(10) T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Elizabeth Gale(10) T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	168	—	56626-	110	115	87	17d	—	—	+10	22	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran well last month, after a break, and may not have been suited by soft ground last time
9	Zucayan Bay J:Nick Slatter(5) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Nick Slatter(5) T:Fergal Obrien	157	t	/2133-	99	113	103	22d	—	—	+16	26.9	1.75/1	8 13%
C&D winner last spring and returned from layoff with pleasing run last month
7	Force De Frap Bay J:Connor Brace T:Emma-Jane Bishop	J:Connor Brace T:Emma-Jane Bishop	158	tp	18622-	100	112	108	22d	—	—	+16	25.6	2.25/1	10 10%
C&D winner in December and back in good form last month; probably in the mix
4	Scherbobalob Grey Roan J:Jay Tidball(7) T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jay Tidball(7) T:Alastair Ralph	163	—	94U15-	105	111	70	21d	—	—	+15	21.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Below form last time but came good over hurdles with convincing C&D success two runs ago
8	Fight For It Bay J:Ned Fox(5) T:John Oshea	J:Ned Fox(5) T:John Oshea	157	t	/1557-	99	110	83	—	—	—	+12	16.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Won C&D novice a year ago but returns here with quite a bit to prove; others preferred
3	Chasamax Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	168	p	369PP-	110	-	107	20d	—	—	+12	16.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Looked out of sorts when pulled up on first two starts for current stable; too risky

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Patient Dream	7/2	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Gerard Mentor	9/2	4	4	4	4
Him Malaya	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Highland Frolic	7	7	7	7	7
Coolnaugh Haze	15/2	6	6	6	6
Zucayan	6	8	8	8	8
Force De Frap	10	10	10	10	10
Scherbobalob	10	14	14	14	14
Fight For It	25	22	22	22	22
Chasamax	33	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gerard Mentor

34.4

OR: 15.3 Form: 14 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Patient Dream

OR: 13.5 Form: 12 Odds: 6.5

7/2

3rd

Highland Frolic

30.6

OR: 14 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.1

Zucayan

26.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 11.6 Odds: 3.1

Force De Frap

25.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.6

Coolnaugh Haze

OR: 15 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.5

15/2

Scherbobalob

21.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 6.3 Odds: 1.9

Him Malaya

21.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Fight For It

16.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Chasamax

16.3

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gerard Mentor	111	108	90
Coolnaugh Haze	110	115	87
Chasamax	110	—	107
Highland Frolic	106	111	106
Scherbobalob	105	111	70
Patient Dream	104	107	90
Him Malaya	104	113	65
Force De Frap	100	112	108
Zucayan	99	113	103
Fight For It	99	110	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Coolnaugh Haze	17d ago	Fit
Patient Dream	20d ago	Fit
Chasamax	20d ago	Fit
Highland Frolic	21d ago	Fit
Scherbobalob	21d ago	Fit
Zucayan	22d ago	Fit
Force De Frap	22d ago	Fit
Him Malaya	62d ago	Fresh
Gerard Mentor	164d ago	Long break
Fight For It	—	—