At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Newcastle

17:10

Date 2023-05-16

Distance 2m190y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR	Jims Apple Brown J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ewart	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ewart	155	t	75875-	85	99	-	53d	—	—	-41	28.8	—
Non-runner
3	Red Vision Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald Mccain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald Mccain	161	tp	38054-	91	108	110	18d	—	—	-5	17.5	5/2 29%
Has proved rather disappointing but better the last twice; cheekpieces now fitted
11	More To Follow Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Daragh Bourke	J:Sean Quinlan T:Daragh Bourke	142	h	7P876-	72	97	73	19d	—	—	-8	11.2	7/2 22%
Unplaced all starts; has some ability but needs to learn to settle
2	Maughold Head Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Nicky Richards	J:Brian Hughes T:Nicky Richards	164	p	823PP-	94	102	91	22d	—	—	+2	15.1	11/2 15%
Placed in novices but pulled up both handicaps; cheekpieces now fitted
10	Penpal Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	145	—	403/P-	75	98	80	375d	—	—	-9	12.9	11/4 27%
Only win came in France three years ago; wind surgery since last seen in May 2022
NR	Lady Hamilton Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Wilf Storey	J:Ross Chapman T:Wilf Storey	156	—	4637-	92	100	78	29d	—	—	+4	15.9	17/2 11%
Has shown ability over hurdles; more needed for a first win but that's possible
NR	Calevade Grey J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	160	p	3/P75-	90	83	58	—	—	—	+5	14.8	9 11%
Hasn't recovered former Flat ability; well beaten on handicap hurdle debut two starts ago
8	Strong Team Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Chris Grant	J:Danny McMenamin T:Chris Grant	151	p	P5724-	81	99	79	77d	—	—	+4	13.6	10 10%
C&D second when last seen over hurdles in November and chances on that
9	Nights Of Doyen Chestnut J:Thomas Dowson T:Kate Leckenby	J:Thomas Dowson T:Kate Leckenby	148	tb	87P60-	78	96	79	18d	—	—	+1	9.2	14 7%
Unplaced all career starts, the latest three in Britain; blinkers on
1	Dakota Moirette Bay J:John Kington T:Andrew Crook	J:John Kington T:Andrew Crook	168	p	6U064-	98	102	82	48d	—	—	+7	13.7	14 7%
Only career win came in 2016; cheekpieces back on; others more obvious
7	Mistamel Bay J:Edward Austin(5) T:Hannah Mcmahon	J:Edward Austin(5) T:Hannah Mcmahon	152	—	0/7/P-	82	-	-	32d	—	—	+7	8.5	50 2%
Pulled up last month on stable debut after a long absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jims Apple	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Red Vision	3	3	3	5/2	3
More To Follow	3	7/2	3	3	10/3
Maughold Head	11/2	11/2	5	5	11/2
Penpal	3	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Lady Hamilton	9	9	8	8	17/2
Calevade	8	9	7	8	9
Strong Team	10	9	8	8	17/2
Nights Of Doyen	14	12	10	11	12
Dakota Moirette	14	14	11	14	14
Mistamel	50	50	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jims Apple

28.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Red Vision

17.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 6.7

5/2

3rd

Lady Hamilton

15.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Maughold Head

15.1

OR: 11 Form: 0.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Calevade

14.8

OR: 10 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

Dakota Moirette

13.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Strong Team

13.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.2 Odds: 2.7

Penpal

12.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

More To Follow

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Nights Of Doyen

9.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Mistamel

8.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dakota Moirette	98	102	82
Maughold Head	94	102	91
Lady Hamilton	92	100	78
Red Vision	91	108	110
Calevade	90	83	58
Jims Apple	85	99	—
Mistamel	82	—	—
Strong Team	81	99	79
Nights Of Doyen	78	96	79
Penpal	75	98	80
More To Follow	72	97	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Vision	18d ago	Fit
Nights Of Doyen	18d ago	Fit
More To Follow	19d ago	Fit
Maughold Head	22d ago	Fit
Lady Hamilton	29d ago	Fit
Mistamel	32d ago	Fit
Dakota Moirette	48d ago	Fresh
Jims Apple	53d ago	Fresh
Strong Team	77d ago	Fresh
Penpal	375d ago	Long break
Calevade	—	—