At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Newcastle

16:35

Date 2023-05-16

Distance 2m190y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Magic Mike Chestnut J:Danny McMenamin T:Paul Robson	J:Danny McMenamin T:Paul Robson	151	h	B7531-	82	103	77	19d	—	—	-9	34.3	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Improved to win at Perth last month and 4lb rise might not stop a repeat
3	Artic Row Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	160	t	61F77-	91	104	88	19d	—	—	+3	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ayr winner in March; not at best in latest two starts but might do better back on good
9	Killane Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(5) T:Donald Mccain	J:Peter Kavanagh(5) T:Donald Mccain	149	b	/6861-	80	104	94	32d	—	—	+5	22.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Four wins, the latest in blinkers last month; every chance if in the mood again
1	Minella Youngy b/br J:Nathan Moscrop T:Iain Jardine	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Iain Jardine	168	—	58048-	99	103	96	18d	—	—	0	17.3	1.25/1	6 17%
Yet to find his best form since arriving in Britain
4	Irish Sovereign Bay J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	160	b	01P/0-	91	101	79	18d	—	—	+6	11.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Well beaten on stable debut after a year off; down in trip
11	Burnage Boy Bay J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	142	v	4/674-	73	100	71	—	—	—	+3	7	6.00/1	25 4%
0-45 in career and others more likely for win purposes
5	Mactavish Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:David Thompson	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:David Thompson	156	—	402U0-	87	98	79	180d	—	—	+8	11.7	6.75/1	28 4%
Absent for six months; best efforts have come on good ground; not without hope
7	Ingleby Mackenzie Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Ewan Whillans	J:Henry Brooke T:Ewan Whillans	153	tp	46397-	84	103	96	19d	—	—	+8	10.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Only one win in the last five years and recent efforts haven't suggested another imminent
10	Bebside Banter Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Chris Grant	J:Sean Quinlan T:Chris Grant	143	p	25PP-7	74	103	54	10d	—	—	+4	6.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Good second in January but little either side of that; hopes pinned on cheekpieces
2	Ebendi Chestnut J:Conor O'Farrell T:Andrew Wilson	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Andrew Wilson	164	—	P79F-	95	100	30	37d	—	—	+9	12	9.75/1	40 3%
Useful on the Flat once but hard to know what ability remains; fell latest
6	Edmond Dantes Grey J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Barry Murtagh	155	tp	0U/88-	86	95	62	38d	—	—	+7	9.9	24.75/1	100 1%
Has ability but unplaced all ten hurdle starts; well beaten on chasing debut latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Magic Mike	10/11	1	10/11	1	10/11
Artic Row	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Killane	13/2	6	6	6	13/2
Minella Youngy	6	9/2	5	5	5/1
Irish Sovereign	14	14	14	14	14
Burnage Boy	25	22	20	22	25
Mactavish	28	28	28	28	28
Ingleby Mackenzie	33	33	25	33	33
Bebside Banter	33	28	25	28	28
Ebendi	40	40	33	40	40
Edmond Dantes	100	66	50	66	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Magic Mike

34.3

OR: 8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 14.2

10/11

2nd

Killane

22.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

13/2

3rd

Minella Youngy

17.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Artic Row

16.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.3 Odds: 4

9/2

Ebendi

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Irish Sovereign

11.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Mactavish

11.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

Ingleby Mackenzie

10.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

Edmond Dantes

9.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

100

Burnage Boy

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Bebside Banter

6.8

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Minella Youngy	99	103	96
Ebendi	95	100	30
Artic Row	91	104	88
Irish Sovereign	91	101	79
Mactavish	87	98	79
Edmond Dantes	86	95	62
Ingleby Mackenzie	84	103	96
Magic Mike	82	103	77
Killane	80	104	94
Bebside Banter	74	103	54
Burnage Boy	73	100	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bebside Banter	10d ago	Quick return
Minella Youngy	18d ago	Fit
Irish Sovereign	18d ago	Fit
Magic Mike	19d ago	Fit
Artic Row	19d ago	Fit
Ingleby Mackenzie	19d ago	Fit
Killane	32d ago	Fit
Ebendi	37d ago	Fit
Edmond Dantes	38d ago	Fit
Mactavish	180d ago	Long break
Burnage Boy	—	—