BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) – Newbury

Newbury

13:50

BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £28,355

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Noble Style Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	111-6	117	131	115	14d	—	—	-17	34.8	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Not entirely disgraced in the 2,000 Guineas; sets a high standard on his Gimcrack win
7 (5)	Shaquille Bay J:James Doyle T:Julie Camacho	J:James Doyle T:Julie Camacho	128	h	1911-1	102	124	92	14d	—	—	+10	28.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improving colt who won at Newmarket on 2,000 Guineas day, taking 6f record to 3-3
5 (2)	Rabaah Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	128	—	3-11	90	109	57	82d	—	—	+4	15.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Progressing well and looks the type to develop into a Listed/Group colt; interesting
2 (8)	Aesops Fables Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	128	—	1442-2	110	122	109	28d	—	—	+14	22.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Ballydoyle colt who may improve for this return to faster ground; enters calculations
3 (1)	Desert Cop Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	92117	104	119	43	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+24	28	6.00/1	25 4%
Failed to transfer his AW progress to turf at Ascot last time; opposed
1 (7)	Rumstar Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	133	—	34141-	106	114	107	225d	—	—	+27	30.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Progressive 2yo campaign ended with a Cornwallis win; has to overcome 5lb penalty
NR (3)	Lady Hamana Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:K R Burke	J:NON-RUNNER T:K R Burke	123	p	554-55	93	-	-	23d	—	—	+8	11.9	12.25/1	50 2%
Ties in with Rumstar on Cornwallis form but she's become exposed since AW win
6 (4)	Rousing Encore Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Fahey	J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Fahey	128	—	524-05	100	112	73	17d	—	—	+11	13.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Peak effort came over C&D in the Mill Reef but he's an exposed sort

Horse	bet365	Coral
Noble Style	4/6	4/6
Shaquille	7/2	7/2
Rabaah	8	8
Aesops Fables	10	10
Desert Cop	25	25
Rumstar	25	28
Lady Hamana	50	50
Rousing Encore	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Noble Style

34.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 18

4/6

2nd

Rumstar

30.6

OR: 14 Form: 15.6 Odds: 1

3rd

Shaquille

28.4

OR: 13 Form: 10 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Desert Cop

OR: 13.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1

Aesops Fables

22.5

OR: 15 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

Rabaah

15.2

OR: 10 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

Rousing Encore

13.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Lady Hamana

11.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Noble Style	117	131	115
Aesops Fables	110	122	109
Rumstar	106	114	107
Desert Cop	104	119	43
Shaquille	102	124	92
Rousing Encore	100	112	73
Lady Hamana	93	—	—
Rabaah	90	109	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Noble Style	14d ago	Fit
Shaquille	14d ago	Fit
Desert Cop	17d ago	Fit
Rousing Encore	17d ago	Fit
Lady Hamana	23d ago	Fit
Aesops Fables	28d ago	Fit
Rabaah	82d ago	Fresh
Rumstar	225d ago	Long break