Thomas And Jane Connolly Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Doncaster

18:50

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 6f2y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Almaty Star Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	133	—	36-2	85	98	71	33d	—	—	-24	33.8	0.13/1	8/15 65%
Second to a rival with a BHA mark of 98 on his Kempton return.
3 (4)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	t	06-	-	72	19	249d	—	—	-12	5	0.75/1	4 25%
Eyecatcher on second run; gelded since and had a wind op; could be an improver.
7 (11)	Mccauleys Tavern Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Mark Loughnane	J:Joe Fanning T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	422-43	77	91	85	38d	—	—	-2	10.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Current yard resisting any temptation to enter handicaps and perhaps vulnerable again.
8 (7)	Surrey Noir Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	133	—	52	-	78	-	23d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Threatened at Chelmsford but the chances are this is a stronger race.
12 (3)	Lady Chapel Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	—	—	-	63	19	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Poor at Redcar but was unruly beforehand and interesting that she was favourite.
NR (10)	Boxing Alex Bay J:P J McDonald T:David Loughnane	J:P J McDonald T:David Loughnane	133	—	0-	-	22	-	281d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Held some fancy entries when dropping right out at Newbury last August; still interesting.
5 (1)	Kaidu Bay J:William Cox T:Clive Cox	J:William Cox T:Clive Cox	133	—	7	-	50	-	94d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
40-1 when never a threat on his Kempton debut in February (6f); bred to do better.
6 (12)	Lil Wade Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	16.25/1	66 2%
£15,000 2yo; third foal; brother to Italian 5.5f-6f winner (inc 2yo) Saielah.
9 (6)	Whiskey Priest Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	133	—	4	-	67	38	9d	—	—	-3	1	16.25/1	66 2%
Positives to take from Thirsk but that bare form gives him masses to find.
4 (2)	De La Hoya Bay J:David Nolan T:Kevin Frost	J:David Nolan T:Kevin Frost	133	—	7	-	44	-	36d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Never made any inroads from off the pace at Southwell (6f AW).
10 (8)	Beanie Blue Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	128	—	—	-	19	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.00/1	125 1%
Started very slowly at Redcar (6f, good/soft) and remained in the rear throughout (80-1).
11 (9)	Kynsa Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	0-7	-	66	45	9d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Has registered modest RPRs in both her runs and looks outclassed in a race like this.

Horse	bet365	Coral
Almaty Star	8/15	8/15
Dark Kestrel	4	4
Mccauleys Tavern	13/2	6
Surrey Noir	8	17/2
Lady Chapel	20	16
Boxing Alex	40	40
Kaidu	66	66
Lil Wade	66	66
Whiskey Priest	50	66
De La Hoya	66	80
Beanie Blue	125	100
Kynsa	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Almaty Star

33.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Mccauleys Tavern

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Surrey Noir

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Dark Kestrel

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Lady Chapel

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Whiskey Priest

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Lil Wade

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Boxing Alex

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Kaidu

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Kynsa

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

De La Hoya

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Beanie Blue

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Almaty Star	85	98	71
Mccauleys Tavern	77	91	85
Dark Kestrel	—	72	19
Surrey Noir	—	78	—
Lady Chapel	—	63	19
Boxing Alex	—	22	—
Kaidu	—	50	—
Lil Wade	—	—	—
Whiskey Priest	—	67	38
De La Hoya	—	44	—
Beanie Blue	—	19	—
Kynsa	—	66	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Whiskey Priest	9d ago	Quick return
Kynsa	9d ago	Quick return
Lady Chapel	16d ago	Fit
Beanie Blue	16d ago	Fit
Surrey Noir	23d ago	Fit
Almaty Star	33d ago	Fit
De La Hoya	36d ago	Fit
Mccauleys Tavern	38d ago	Fit
Kaidu	94d ago	Long break
Dark Kestrel	249d ago	Long break
Boxing Alex	281d ago	Long break
Lil Wade	—	—