Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap – Lingfield

Lingfield

20:10

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap

Date 2023-05-30

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Ascari Bay J:Sean Levey T:Hughie Morrison	J:Sean Levey T:Hughie Morrison	135	—	6-43	75	84	33	17d	—	—	-9	12.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Raced on soft at 1m/7f but could be a good candidate for sprint handicaps on fast ground
1 (4)	Nogos Dream Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	137	b	0-2142	77	82	50	18d	—	—	-5	11.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Already shown useful handicap form at 7f and 6f; first-time headgear an unknown
9 (9)	Spirit Of Breeze Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	127	—	63-47	67	83	45	26d	—	—	-5	7.9	1.50/1	7 14%
Never involved on 6f handicap debut at Salisbury but could be more of a factor today
2 (8)	Girl Magic Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	136	—	221-47	76	84	51	30d	—	—	-4	10.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Usually leads; won over 5f and 6f as 2yo; more needed off current mark on 3yo form
5 (5)	Overnight Oats Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	132	—	6420-5	72	85	67	15d	—	—	-2	8.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not obviously ahead of his mark on 2yo form; entitled to come on for recent 6f AW return
6 (7)	Ravens Up Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Marco Botti	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Marco Botti	131	—	16-735	71	84	-	21d	—	—	0	7.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Found plenty when beating Girl Magic over 5f as 2yo; promising AW run on latest 6f start
7 (6)	Daytona Lady Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:John Ryan	J:Kieran O'Neill T:John Ryan	129	h	715700	69	83	24	40d	—	—	+1	9	2.75/1	12 8%
Best form for yard when 6f AW winner in February; usual slow start won't help back at 6f
8 (3)	Class Member Bay J:James Doyle T:George Boughey	J:James Doyle T:George Boughey	129	—	42449	69	83	-	48d	—	—	+1	8.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Went close over 6f on AW in February; well held on handicap debut; more appeal back at 6f
4 (1)	Royal Bliss Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:Amy Murphy	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Amy Murphy	132	—	439-36	72	81	50	104d	—	—	+2	6.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Weakened over 7f in February; possibilities on luckless 6f AW handicap debut previously

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ascari	5/2	5/2	10/3	5/2	5/2
Nogos Dream	4	4	7/2	4	4
Spirit Of Breeze	7	5	11/2	5	5
Girl Magic	5	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Overnight Oats	7	7	13/2	15/2	15/2
Ravens Up	11	12	14	12	12
Daytona Lady	12	9	17/2	10	10
Class Member	14	12	10	14	14
Royal Bliss	20	25	16	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ascari

12.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Nogos Dream

11.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Girl Magic

10.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Daytona Lady

OR: 4.8 Form: 2 Odds: 2.2

Overnight Oats

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Class Member

8.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Spirit Of Breeze

7.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Ravens Up

7.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Royal Bliss

6.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nogos Dream	77	82	50
Girl Magic	76	84	51
Ascari	75	84	33
Overnight Oats	72	85	67
Royal Bliss	72	81	50
Ravens Up	71	84	—
Daytona Lady	69	83	24
Class Member	69	83	—
Spirit Of Breeze	67	83	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Overnight Oats	15d ago	Fit
Ascari	17d ago	Fit
Nogos Dream	18d ago	Fit
Ravens Up	21d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Breeze	26d ago	Fit
Girl Magic	30d ago	Fit
Daytona Lady	40d ago	Fit
Class Member	48d ago	Fresh
Royal Bliss	104d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Girl Magic	Front Runner
Ascari	Prominent
Ravens Up	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 9 runners classified.