Great Orton Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

18:50

Great Orton Handicap

Date 2023-06-01

Distance 1m1f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Obama Army Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	136	—	0-4221	61	71	49	15d	—	—	-19	12.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Up 1lb for his game Bath win and should again be a player back up in trip.
6 (8)	Na Scoitear Brown J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	133	—	624316	58	70	-	21d	—	—	+1	15.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m AW winner who was below that level latest; more needed back on turf.
1 (6)	Keeponbelieving Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	137	—	4-323	62	66	45	13d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
This stiffer test might help elicit some improvement; player.
4 (2)	Hidden Code Bay J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	135	—	5-8425	60	66	47	12d	—	—	-5	5.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Best effort came on penultimate start; not as good at Doncaster latest; more needed.
3 (5)	Mickey Mongoose Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	38-504	61	65	44	13d	—	—	-4	5.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Will need to outperform his last two efforts to break his duck at the ninth attempt.
7 (1)	Purple Lady Bay J:Clifford Lee T:David Loughnane	J:Clifford Lee T:David Loughnane	132	—	6-49	57	64	-	16d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Minor promise on her second start; no surprise if she shows more now entering handicaps.
5 (10)	Kohana Breeze Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Archie Watson	133	b	73-957	58	68	38	15d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.75/1	16 6%
No significant impact in handicaps this season, including at Carlisle on Thursday
10 (11)	Ribkana Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	123	p	758-52	48	65	37	20d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Second at Ripon (1m, soft) latest; same mark; more needed in a stronger contest.
12 (12)	Miss Raindrop Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	121	—	09-06	46	50	-	58d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Well beaten in all four starts, including her handicap debut (1m4f, soft) latest.
11 (7)	Ana Emaraaty Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Jim Goldie	J:Cam Hardie T:Jim Goldie	121	p	0-076	46	49	26	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Significant improvement needed for this step up in trip if he is to get involved.
8 (4)	Star Start Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	130	p	5570-5	55	52	43	24d	—	—	-1	2	9.75/1	40 3%
Drops back in trip and is on a workable mark; interesting if supported.
9 (9)	Killing Eve Bay J:Shane Gray T:Katie Scott	J:Shane Gray T:Katie Scott	124	—	8659	49	51	22	13d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Well held in all four starts; others preferred.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Obama Army	13/8	13/8	7/4	6/4	13/8
Na Scoitear	5	9/2	9/2	4	5
Keeponbelieving	6	6	13/2	6	6
Hidden Code	15/2	13/2	6	13/2	7
Mickey Mongoose	17/2	17/2	15/2	8	9
Purple Lady	12	14	12	10	14
Kohana Breeze	16	14	12	11	14
Ribkana	20	20	18	20	22
Miss Raindrop	16	28	28	28	28
Ana Emaraaty	28	28	20	28	28
Star Start	33	40	33	25	40
Killing Eve	40	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Na Scoitear

15.9

OR: 2 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Obama Army

12.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Keeponbelieving

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Hidden Code

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Mickey Mongoose

5.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Purple Lady

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Kohana Breeze

3.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Star Start

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Miss Raindrop

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ribkana

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ana Emaraaty

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Killing Eve

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Keeponbelieving	62	66	45
Obama Army	61	71	49
Mickey Mongoose	61	65	44
Hidden Code	60	66	47
Na Scoitear	58	70	—
Kohana Breeze	58	68	38
Purple Lady	57	64	—
Star Start	55	52	43
Killing Eve	49	51	22
Ribkana	48	65	37
Miss Raindrop	46	50	—
Ana Emaraaty	46	49	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hidden Code	12d ago	Quick return
Keeponbelieving	13d ago	Quick return
Mickey Mongoose	13d ago	Quick return
Killing Eve	13d ago	Quick return
Obama Army	15d ago	Fit
Kohana Breeze	15d ago	Fit
Purple Lady	16d ago	Fit
Ana Emaraaty	17d ago	Fit
Ribkana	20d ago	Fit
Na Scoitear	21d ago	Fit
Star Start	24d ago	Fit
Miss Raindrop	58d ago	Fresh