Pat Smullen Handicap – Listowel

Listowel

15:00

Pat Smullen Handicap

Date 2023-06-03

Distance 6f60y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Half Nutz Chestnut J:Adam Caffrey(7) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Adam Caffrey(7) T:Adrian Mcguinness	139	—	583607	79	94	68	8d	—	—	-2	12.2	1.00/1	5 20%
Six-time winner ran better than finishing position suggests at Curragh last time; player
6 (3)	Karaoke Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	135	—	216-5	83	81	69	56d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.00/1	5 20%
Dundalk 6f maiden winner last summer ran well at Cork on return over 7f; a solid chance
1 (8)	Warrior Brave Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Ross Osullivan	J:Gary Carroll T:Ross Osullivan	141	b	65-568	81	91	89	28d	—	—	0	10.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't win last year but ran some fine races in defeat; has come a long way down the h'cap
NR (7)	Elmo Lincoln Chestnut J:TBC T:W Mccreery	J: T:W Mccreery	119	—	9-0249	67	84	67	2d	—	—	-3	6.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Raced keenly early over 1m at Killarney but a fine run; 9th at Fairyhouse two days ago
5 (13)	Coumshingaun Bay J:Calvin Ngcobo(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Calvin Ngcobo(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	136	—	0-00U4	76	92	62	33d	—	—	-7	12.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Won a C&D maiden a year ago before Curragh h'cap win; decent run last time; chance
12 (6)	Inventor Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Gillian Scott	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Gillian Scott	122	p	2470-0	62	94	82	48d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Has been well beaten on testing ground last few starts but back on a sound surface suits
13 (15)	Las Cuatro Chestnut J:Leigh Roche T:G M Lyons	J:Leigh Roche T:G M Lyons	121	—	33-4	69	79	53	17d	—	—	+1	6.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Beaten fav' both AW starts last year; similar run at Cork last time; handicap debut
8 (11)	Downforce Bay J:W J Lee T:W Mccreery	J:W J Lee T:W Mccreery	132	—	0-5406	72	87	62	33d	—	—	+1	7.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Veteran has run well in defeat at times this season but is best suited to softer ground
2 (4)	Furnace Creek Chestnut J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	139	—	7100-0	79	87	74	53d	—	—	+4	8.3	5.25/1	22 5%
Won a Cork maiden over this trip last year but nowhere near that form since
10 (9)	Fox Degree Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Miss Kate Mcgivern	J:Chris Hayes T:Miss Kate Mcgivern	127	—	12809-	75	84	79	220d	—	—	+7	10.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Won a 5f Ffos Las handicap last year; lost form after but a chance if back to best
R15 (12)	Maggie Thunder Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:G Hassett	J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:G Hassett	119	—	33985-	59	94	76	302d	—	—	+1	4.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Triple AW winner over 5f has been placed over this trip on turf; 3lb out of h'cap; reserve
NR (1)	Theriverrunsdeep Bay J:TBC T:Seamus G Odonnell	J: T:Seamus G Odonnell	119	—	0-2870	59	84	88	71d	—	—	-1	3.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Triple AW winner was regressive over the winter; 3lb out of handicap; reserve
11 (16)	Soi Dao Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Michael Patrick Fenton	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Michael Patrick Fenton	125	b	326-00	65	90	61	28d	—	—	+1	4.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Soft ground winner in UK below that form in two starts for this yard; blinkers tried
4 (10)	Fly To Glory Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:P J F Murphy	J:Ben Coen T:P J F Murphy	137	p	3057-0	77	79	64	21d	—	—	+5	7.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Won twice on AW in UK last year; well beaten on soft at Navan on return; has to improve
7 (2)	Nine Tales Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Ray Hackett	J:Andrew Slattery T:Ray Hackett	133	b	6/8-00	73	47	-	69d	—	—	+4	6.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Dual winner in 2021 but no trace of that form in two starts for this yard
9 (14)	Gobi Star Bay J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney(7) T:Patrick Martin	131	tp	-72507	71	89	76	42d	—	—	0	9.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual winner last year was below form at Navan last time and has to get back to best

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Half Nutz	5	5	5	5	5
Karaoke	5	5	5	5	5
Warrior Brave	7	13/2	13/2	7	7
Elmo Lincoln	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Coumshingaun	3	3	3	3	3
Inventor	10	10	9	10	10
Las Cuatro	14	14	12	14	12
Downforce	11	11	11	11	11
Furnace Creek	22	22	22	22	22
Fox Degree	25	25	25	25	25
Maggie Thunder	25	25	22	25	25
Theriverrunsdeep	66	50	50	50	50
Soi Dao	25	25	25	25	25
Fly To Glory	33	40	33	33	33
Nine Tales	33	40	33	33	33
Gobi Star	8	8	8	8	15/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Karaoke

12.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

2nd

Half Nutz

12.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

3rd

Coumshingaun

12.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

Warrior Brave

10.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Fox Degree

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

Gobi Star

9.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Furnace Creek

8.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Fly To Glory

7.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Downforce

7.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Elmo Lincoln

6.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Las Cuatro

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Nine Tales

6.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Inventor

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Soi Dao

4.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Maggie Thunder

4.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Theriverrunsdeep

3.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Karaoke	83	81	69
Warrior Brave	81	91	89
Half Nutz	79	94	68
Furnace Creek	79	87	74
Fly To Glory	77	79	64
Coumshingaun	76	92	62
Fox Degree	75	84	79
Nine Tales	73	47	—
Downforce	72	87	62
Gobi Star	71	89	76
Las Cuatro	69	79	53
Elmo Lincoln	67	84	67
Soi Dao	65	90	61
Inventor	62	94	82
Maggie Thunder	59	94	76
Theriverrunsdeep	59	84	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Elmo Lincoln	2d ago	Quick return
Half Nutz	8d ago	Quick return
Las Cuatro	17d ago	Fit
Fly To Glory	21d ago	Fit
Warrior Brave	28d ago	Fit
Soi Dao	28d ago	Fit
Coumshingaun	33d ago	Fit
Downforce	33d ago	Fit
Gobi Star	42d ago	Fit
Inventor	48d ago	Fresh
Furnace Creek	53d ago	Fresh
Karaoke	56d ago	Fresh
Nine Tales	69d ago	Fresh
Theriverrunsdeep	71d ago	Fresh
Fox Degree	220d ago	Long break
Maggie Thunder	302d ago	Long break