More Extra Place Races At Unibet Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

18:50

Date 2023-06-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,400

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (14)	Jimmy Frankham Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Owen Burrows	J:NON-RUNNER T:Owen Burrows	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-50	20	—	—
Appeals on pedigree and William Buick booked for debut
8 (3)	New Business Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	—	34	-	87	-	19d	—	—	-23	13.9	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Has run well enough in both starts over 1m to be a leading contender
3 (7)	Orchid Bloom Grey J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	132	—	1-2	85	91	-	11d	—	—	-8	34.9	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Newmarket winner last October and good second on recent return; sets decent standard
5 (1)	Battista Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	130	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Bred to want further and hooded for debut but in top hands and market check needed
13 (2)	Eyeshadow Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	125	—	7	-	39	-	19d	—	—	-4	1.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Little impact when seventh on last month's debut
1 (6)	Extrication Chestnut J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	140	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Belated debut but in good hands and needs market check
9 (8)	Photon Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Roger Teal	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Roger Teal	130	—	6	-	68	15	35d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Some promise on C&D debut but this looks harder
10 (4)	Rollz Royz Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	130	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Some appeal on pedigree and worth a look on debut; hooded
12 (10)	Wheres Freddy Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	130	—	58	-	69	-	25d	—	—	-2	0.7	24.75/1	100 1%
Some promise on debut but finished last on second start
4 (11)	All For Show Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	130	—	4	-	66	-	27d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Shaped quite well when fourth on debut but this looks too tough
11 (13)	The Yodeller Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	130	—	5-	-	-	-	275d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Tailed off on 7f debut last year; gelded since
14 (12)	Miss Billie Bay J:J F Egan T:Michael Wigham	J:J F Egan T:Michael Wigham	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Half-sister to three winners; possibly best watched on debut from wide draw
6 (9)	Golden Moon Bay J:Abbie Pierce(7) T:William Knight	J:Abbie Pierce(7) T:William Knight	130	—	00	-	42	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Well beaten in two outings last month
2 (5)	Gautrey Chestnut J:Adam Kirby T:Tony Carroll	J:Adam Kirby T:Tony Carroll	140	—	50	-	66	40	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Well beaten twice at Wolverhampton this spring

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jimmy Frankham	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
New Business	5/4	11/8	6/5	5/4	5/4
Orchid Bloom	1	11/10	5/4	1	1
Battista	8	9	15/2	8	17/2
Eyeshadow	25	18	12	16	16
Extrication	25	22	18	22	22
Photon	33	33	22	33	33
Rollz Royz	50	50	33	50	50
Wheres Freddy	100	66	28	66	66
All For Show	100	80	50	80	80
The Yodeller	100	150	80	150	150
Miss Billie	100	200	125	200	200
Golden Moon	200	200	150	200	200
Gautrey	200	250	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Orchid Bloom

34.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 12 Odds: 14.2

5/4

2nd

Jimmy Frankham

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

New Business

13.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 11.8

11/8

Battista

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Eyeshadow

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Extrication

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Photon

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Wheres Freddy

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

100

Rollz Royz

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

All For Show

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

The Yodeller

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Miss Billie

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Golden Moon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Gautrey

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Orchid Bloom	85	91	—
Jimmy Frankham	—	—	—
New Business	—	87	—
Battista	—	—	—
Eyeshadow	—	39	—
Extrication	—	—	—
Photon	—	68	15
Rollz Royz	—	—	—
Wheres Freddy	—	69	—
All For Show	—	66	—
The Yodeller	—	—	—
Miss Billie	—	—	—
Golden Moon	—	42	—
Gautrey	—	66	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Orchid Bloom	11d ago	Quick return
Gautrey	15d ago	Fit
New Business	19d ago	Fit
Eyeshadow	19d ago	Fit
Golden Moon	19d ago	Fit
Wheres Freddy	25d ago	Fit
All For Show	27d ago	Fit
Photon	35d ago	Fit
The Yodeller	275d ago	Long break
Jimmy Frankham	—	—
Battista	—	—
Extrication	—	—
Rollz Royz	—	—
Miss Billie	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.