Racing Welfare Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:20

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-06-08

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,211

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (4)	Lucky Fifteen Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	132	—	696-2	67	81	42	20d	—	—	-8	16.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
2nd of 17 on last month's handicap debut; 3lb higher now but still has time to do better
9 (8)	Penzance Grey J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	134	—	895	69	82	46	14d	—	—	-6	9.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Gradual improvement in maiden/novice company; improvement can be expected now up in trip
8 (3)	Clarkos Back Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	134	t	850-1	69	82	62	15d	—	—	+4	19.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Improved for handicapping/tongue-tie at Kempton last week; still well treated; new trip
3 (6)	Serengeti Sunset Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	136	—	86-58	71	82	46	23d	—	—	-3	8.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Unplaced in his four starts but has shown some promise; still to prove he needs 1m2f
12 (7)	You Saw Brigadoon Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	125	—	-33121	60	80	68	35d	—	—	+18	24.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Won 2 of his last 3, the latest over C&D; up in class but could still have more to come
7 (2)	Fitz Perfectly Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	134	—	48-43D	69	74	41	24d	—	—	0	6.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Stayed on over 1m on handicap debut; more needed but the longer trip can help
1 (5)	Covert Legend Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	137	—	464	72	78	31	14d	—	—	+3	6.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Yet to build on his highly promising debut; may do so now handicapping over 1m2f
10 (13)	Dabbous Bay J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	133	p	-09102	68	80	55	35d	—	—	+10	16.1	6.00/1	25 4%
C&D winner in April; close 2nd to You Saw Brigadoon here latest; needs more progress
2 (9)	Another Dimension Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Richard Spencer	J:Darragh Keenan T:Richard Spencer	137	—	65-84	72	75	56	27d	—	—	+2	6.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Last of 4 on his handicap debut but the ground was testing; still time to do better
4 (12)	Kodiman Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	136	—	2874	71	80	51	16d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promise at up to an extended 1m but he needs more for today's longer trip
5 (11)	High Court Judge Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:Henry Spiller	J:Cieren Fallon T:Henry Spiller	135	—	89-118	70	81	49	57d	—	—	+3	5.8	8.00/1	33 3%
1m winner here in January and followed up at Kempton; below par latest; new trip this time
6 (10)	Flame Of Kodiac Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	134	—	6-6310	69	84	58	37d	—	—	+2	5.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Won a Class 6 at Wolverhampton (8.5f) in March; well beaten on soft since; upped in trip
13 (1)	Flying Panther Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	123	h	708-7	58	73	46	156d	—	—	+1	2.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Disappointed when favourite for handicap debut in January; may do better but needs to

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lucky Fifteen	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Penzance	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Clarkos Back	4	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Serengeti Sunset	7	13/2	6	6	6
You Saw Brigadoon	10	11	10	11	11
Fitz Perfectly	20	12	12	12	12
Covert Legend	25	18	20	20	20
Dabbous	25	12	14	14	12
Another Dimension	20	22	22	14	22
Kodiman	8	9	9	8	17/2
High Court Judge	25	33	28	33	33
Flame Of Kodiac	25	25	22	22	25
Flying Panther	80	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

You Saw Brigadoon

24.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 20 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Clarkos Back

19.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Lucky Fifteen

16.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Dabbous

16.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

Penzance

9.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Kodiman

9.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Serengeti Sunset

8.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Another Dimension

6.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Covert Legend

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Fitz Perfectly

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

High Court Judge

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Flame Of Kodiac

5.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Flying Panther

2.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Covert Legend	72	78	31
Another Dimension	72	75	56
Serengeti Sunset	71	82	46
Kodiman	71	80	51
High Court Judge	70	81	49
Penzance	69	82	46
Clarkos Back	69	82	62
Fitz Perfectly	69	74	41
Flame Of Kodiac	69	84	58
Dabbous	68	80	55
Lucky Fifteen	67	81	42
You Saw Brigadoon	60	80	68
Flying Panther	58	73	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Penzance	14d ago	Fit
Covert Legend	14d ago	Fit
Clarkos Back	15d ago	Fit
Kodiman	16d ago	Fit
Lucky Fifteen	20d ago	Fit
Serengeti Sunset	23d ago	Fit
Fitz Perfectly	24d ago	Fit
Another Dimension	27d ago	Fit
You Saw Brigadoon	35d ago	Fit
Dabbous	35d ago	Fit
Flame Of Kodiac	37d ago	Fit
High Court Judge	57d ago	Fresh
Flying Panther	156d ago	Long break