British EBF 40th Anniversary Fillies' Novice Stakes (For Fillies Which Have Run No More Than Twice)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:20

Date 2023-06-08

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £21,600

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (14)	Red Danielle Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	125	—	2	-	99	-	12d	—	—	-21	17.5	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Ribblesdale entry; made a very promising debut (clear second) at Goodwood; respected
9 (15)	Mantoog Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Owen Burrows	J:Dane O'Neill T:Owen Burrows	125	—	2-2	-	92	75	21d	—	—	0	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Runner-up in both starts, beaten narrowly at Salisbury latest; has a fighting chance
2 (8)	Queen Of Fairies Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	132	—	1-5	87	96	47	32d	—	—	+7	19.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Could still develop into a useful sort, despite flopping in Listed grade on second run
4 (12)	Cherry Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	3-	-	91	-	257d	—	—	-3	5.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Nicely bred filly who showed promise at Haydock on sole 2yo start; interesting
12 (3)	Quiet Sea Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Harry & Roger Charlton	125	h	2	-	90	-	27d	—	—	0	6.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Encouraging debut in five-runner maiden at Ascot; now in a bigger field and on AW
7 (1)	Ginza Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	125	—	3	-	89	-	14d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Promising third to smart prospect in Haydock maiden; enters the reckoning
1 (9)	Opera Forever Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	132	h	81-	-	91	-	229d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Scored at Newbury when last seen; looks capable of further progress; in the mix
8 (4)	Long Ago Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Oisin Murphy T:Sir Michael Stoute	125	—	9-	-	71	48	202d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Represents top stable and could leave her sole 2yo effort well behind
3 (10)	Awesome Georgie Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:William Stone	J:Saffie Osborne T:William Stone	125	—	26	-	85	-	50d	—	—	+1	4.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Showed ability in 1m maidens in April; bred to be suited by this longer trip
10 (5)	Mistressofillusion Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	7-	-	79	59	211d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Midfield at Kempton on sole 2yo outing; open to improvement this year
15 (11)	Trussst In Me Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	125	—	7	-	45	-	33d	—	—	-2	0.9	19.75/1	80 1%
Trailed home last of seven in heavy-ground event at Goodwood on debut
14 (7)	Spiced Rum Bay J:Sean Levey T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Sean Levey T:Rebecca Menzies	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Starts off in a competitive race of its type; market can give further guidance
6 (13)	Flammable Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Archie Watson	J:Cieren Fallon T:Archie Watson	125	—	6	-	74	-	14d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Trailed home last of six (behind Ginza) at Haydock on debut
5 (2)	Cracked Up Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Fellowes	125	h	6	-	73	-	39d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Made no impact at Wetherby on debut; may need more experience
11 (6)	Onemore Twomore Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Philip Mcbride	J:Adam Farragher T:Philip Mcbride	125	—	8	-	56	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.25/1	250 0%
Unpromising debut at Beverley last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Red Danielle	6/5	11/10	5/4	6/5	6/5
Mantoog	11/2	13/2	13/2	6	13/2
Queen Of Fairies	6	11/2	13/2	11/2	11/2
Cherry	15/2	15/2	8	15/2	15/2
Quiet Sea	12	12	11	12	12
Ginza	12	14	12	12	12
Opera Forever	11	14	16	16	16
Long Ago	20	22	25	22	22
Awesome Georgie	20	22	25	22	22
Mistressofillusion	40	40	40	40	40
Trussst In Me	80	40	40	40	40
Spiced Rum	100	80	80	80	80
Flammable	66	50	50	50	50
Cracked Up	100	80	80	80	80
Onemore Twomore	250	125	150	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Queen Of Fairies

19.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Red Danielle

17.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 12.5

5/4

3rd

Mantoog

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Opera Forever

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

Quiet Sea

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

Cherry

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ginza

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Awesome Georgie

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

Long Ago

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Trussst In Me

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Mistressofillusion

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Flammable

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Spiced Rum

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Cracked Up

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Onemore Twomore

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Queen Of Fairies	87	96	47
Red Danielle	—	99	—
Mantoog	—	92	75
Cherry	—	91	—
Quiet Sea	—	90	—
Ginza	—	89	—
Opera Forever	—	91	—
Long Ago	—	71	48
Awesome Georgie	—	85	—
Mistressofillusion	—	79	59
Trussst In Me	—	45	—
Spiced Rum	—	—	—
Flammable	—	74	—
Cracked Up	—	73	—
Onemore Twomore	—	56	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Danielle	12d ago	Quick return
Ginza	14d ago	Fit
Flammable	14d ago	Fit
Mantoog	21d ago	Fit
Onemore Twomore	23d ago	Fit
Quiet Sea	27d ago	Fit
Queen Of Fairies	32d ago	Fit
Trussst In Me	33d ago	Fit
Cracked Up	39d ago	Fit
Awesome Georgie	50d ago	Fresh
Long Ago	202d ago	Long break
Mistressofillusion	211d ago	Long break
Opera Forever	229d ago	Long break
Cherry	257d ago	Long break
Spiced Rum	—	—