Royal Ascot Form Study On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle (Arc Summer Novice Brush Hurdle Series) (GBB)

Southwell

15:45

Date 2023-06-12

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Winning Time 5m 20.25s (slow by 25.25s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Faded Fantasy (IRE) Nick Scholfield · Christian Williams	16/5	Won
2nd	Skeeter Park (IRE) Charlie Hammond · Michael Appleby	40/1	10
3rd	Presenting Nelly (GB) Bridget Andrews · Dan Skelton	12/1	6
4th	Jessmae (IRE) James Davies · Henry Oliver	100/1	10
5th	Sforza Castle (IRE) Kevin Brogan · Ben Pauling	11/1	2
6th	Love Bite (IRE) Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson	16/1	1
7th	D'Last Spez (IRE) Mr Phillip York · Phil York	22/1	5
8th	Diana Prince (GB) Tom Midgley · Paul Midgley	200/1	0.2
9th	Shandancer (IRE) Jack Quinlan · Amy Murphy	2/1F	5.5
10th	Make No Plans (IRE) Conor McNamara · Liam G O'Brien	16/1	2.5
11th	Jimmy Boum (FR) Jack Tudor · Christian Williams	40/1	18

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Genovese (IRE) Sean Bowen · Martin Keighley	100/30

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Shandancer Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	158	b	533-22	105	115	104	22d	—	—	-6	22.6	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Has been knocking on the door in his last two starts and he should make another bold bid
8	Faded Fantasy Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	152	—	553-2	107	118	85	23d	—	—	+2	26.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Sets standard on his latest second at Bangor and he's a key player back up in trip
2	Genovese Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	158	h	183-U	-	-	-	6d	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unseated on hurdling debut over C&D last week but was only 9-2 for that race; interesting
5	Sforza Castle Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Ben Pauling	J:Kevin Brogan T:Ben Pauling	158	—	6	-	-	-	22d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Has some useful hurdlers on dam's side and needs a close look on his switch to this sphere
12	Presenting Nelly Bay J:Bridget Andrews T:Dan Skelton	J:Bridget Andrews T:Dan Skelton	151	—	196/	-	-	-	489d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Returns from long absence but she's a bumper winner who needs a close look for top yard
11	Love Bite Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	151	—	57-F	-	-	-	34d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Well-related 5yo but she's not achieved much so far and others are preferred
9	Jimmy Boum Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	152	—	0-4	-	98	88	30d	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Has lots of stamina in his pedigree but he needs plenty of progress upped in trip
1	Dlast Spez Bay J:Mr Phillip York(5) T:Phil York	J:Mr Phillip York(5) T:Phil York	158	—	P3P3-1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+8	10.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Dual point winner and he's a half-brother to a hurdle winner; market useful on rules debut
4	Make No Plans Bay J:Conor McNamara T:Liam G Obrien	J:Conor McNamara T:Liam G Obrien	158	h	670-	-	69	-	65d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Tailed in a bumper and two hurdle runs (2m4f) in Ireland since December; hood now added
3	Jessmae Bay J:James Davies T:Henry Oliver	J:James Davies T:Henry Oliver	158	—	152-24	-	70	-	12d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Just 1-8 n Irish points and he made a low-key start over hurdles at Warwick last month
7	Skeeter Park Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Michael Appleby	J:Charlie Hammond T:Michael Appleby	158	—	PP/66-	-	87	41	87d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Pulled up in two Irish points and tailed off in both his hurdle runs this spring
10	Diana Prince Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Paul Midgley	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Paul Midgley	151	—	FP/5-6	-	92	84	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Failed to complete in her last three points and has been well held in both hurdle runs

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Shandancer	2	7/4	15/8	7/4	7/4
Faded Fantasy	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Genovese	4	7/2	4	4	4
Sforza Castle	10	10	17/2	10	10
Presenting Nelly	12	12	12	11	11
Love Bite	18	16	16	16	16
Jimmy Boum	22	25	25	25	25
Dlast Spez	28	28	28	28	28
Make No Plans	20	18	18	18	18
Jessmae	66	50	50	50	50
Skeeter Park	100	150	150	150	150
Diana Prince	150	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Faded Fantasy

26.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Shandancer

22.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Dlast Spez

10.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.8

Presenting Nelly

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

Genovese

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Sforza Castle

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Love Bite

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Make No Plans

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Jimmy Boum

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Jessmae

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Skeeter Park

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Diana Prince

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Faded Fantasy	107	118	85
Shandancer	105	115	104
Genovese	—	—	—
Sforza Castle	—	—	—
Presenting Nelly	—	—	—
Love Bite	—	—	—
Jimmy Boum	—	98	88
Dlast Spez	—	—	—
Make No Plans	—	69	—
Jessmae	—	70	—
Skeeter Park	—	87	41
Diana Prince	—	92	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Genovese	6d ago	Quick return
Jessmae	12d ago	Quick return
Diana Prince	14d ago	Fit
Shandancer	22d ago	Fit
Sforza Castle	22d ago	Fit
Faded Fantasy	23d ago	Fit
Jimmy Boum	30d ago	Fit
Love Bite	34d ago	Fit
Make No Plans	65d ago	Fresh
Skeeter Park	87d ago	Fresh
Presenting Nelly	489d ago	Long break
Dlast Spez	—	—