Ann Stewart 60th Birthday Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

15:20

Ann Stewart 60th Birthday Handicap

Date 2023-06-19

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (4)	Tammany Hall Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Patrick J Mckenna	J:Oisin Orr T:Patrick J Mckenna	128	p	60-005	48	70	42	12d	—	—	-21	9.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
On a long losing run but ran well in a big field 12 days ago and enters calculations
7 (10)	Basholo Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Stella Barclay	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Stella Barclay	129	—	-67633	49	67	57	31d	—	—	-7	10.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has modest strike-rate but was placed twice last month and probably won't be far away
NR (5)	Variety Island Bay J:David Allan T:Simon Whitaker	J:David Allan T:Simon Whitaker	132	p	3-0585	52	69	47	13d	—	—	-6	5.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Yet to add to AW nursery win in 2021 but ran quite well over 7f a fortnight ago
9 (8)	Sharrabang Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	127	—	7-6523	47	68	48	19d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.75/1	8 13%
No win since spring 2021 but placed twice month and is suited by this track
3 (2)	Little Earl Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	140	b	076640	60	67	43	10d	—	—	-5	5.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Regressive 4yo who is yet to be placed after seven runs for current stable
2 (6)	Gentle Ellen Bay J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	140	—	010-40	60	64	37	28d	—	—	-4	5	2.00/1	9 11%
Always behind when tried over 1m last month and tricky to weight up on return to sprinting
10 (1)	Stormy Pearl Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	127	p	667-45	54	68	33	29d	—	—	-6	3.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Began this season with two very respectable runs and goes on the shortlist
1 (11)	Shabaaby Brown J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	140	v	990397	60	68	61	26d	—	—	-1	5.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Ran on well for third in early May but both runs since have been underwhelming
NR (9)	Sydney Bay Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Ann Duffield	J:Paul Hanagan T:Ann Duffield	132	p	4869-0	52	66	59	10d	—	—	-9	4.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Ten-race maiden who was last of 15 on recent seasonal debut; not the obvious answer
4 (7)	Cawthornes Gem Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	133	tp	00-57	60	59	33	18d	—	—	-1	3.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Remains unexposed but never really got involved when 18-1 for recent handicap debut
11 (3)	Made Of Lir Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Sam England	J:Billy Garritty T:Sam England	123	p	099984	50	68	38	13d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Seemed to have turned a corner when keeping-on fourth at Wetherby recently; interesting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tammany Hall	13/8	7/4	15/8	7/4	7/4
Basholo	4	4	9/2	4	4
Variety Island	13/2	7	13/2	7	7
Sharrabang	8	7	13/2	7	7
Little Earl	8	7	13/2	7	15/2
Gentle Ellen	8	8	8	8	9
Stormy Pearl	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Shabaaby	16	14	11	14	16
Sydney Bay	18	18	14	18	18
Cawthornes Gem	22	18	16	18	20
Made Of Lir	33	22	22	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Basholo

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Tammany Hall

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Variety Island

5.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Shabaaby

5.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Little Earl

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Gentle Ellen

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Sydney Bay

4.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Stormy Pearl

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Cawthornes Gem

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Sharrabang

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Made Of Lir

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Little Earl	60	67	43
Gentle Ellen	60	64	37
Shabaaby	60	68	61
Cawthornes Gem	60	59	33
Stormy Pearl	54	68	33
Variety Island	52	69	47
Sydney Bay	52	66	59
Made Of Lir	50	68	38
Basholo	49	67	57
Tammany Hall	48	70	42
Sharrabang	47	68	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Little Earl	10d ago	Quick return
Sydney Bay	10d ago	Quick return
Tammany Hall	12d ago	Quick return
Variety Island	13d ago	Quick return
Made Of Lir	13d ago	Quick return
Cawthornes Gem	18d ago	Fit
Sharrabang	19d ago	Fit
Shabaaby	26d ago	Fit
Gentle Ellen	28d ago	Fit
Stormy Pearl	29d ago	Fit
Basholo	31d ago	Fit