Belvedere House & Gardens Opportunity Beginners Chase

Kilbeggan

19:13

Date 2023-06-19

Distance 2m3f100y

Class

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Winter Fog Bay J:Kieran Callaghan(4) T:W P Mullins	J:Kieran Callaghan(4) T:W P Mullins	166	—	5108-5	-	125	89	21d	—	—	-22	10	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Rated 148 over hurdles but was soundly beaten on chasing debut and has to improve
4	I A Connect Bay J:Carl Millar(4) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(4) T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	210U/2	-	-	-	19d	—	—	-13	13	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Useful hurdles form in 2021, missed all of last season, sixth on chasing debut at Kilbeggan last night
7	Uncle Phil Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:W P Mullins	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:W P Mullins	166	ht	1P33-U	-	126	-	30d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
A 125-rated hurdler; beaten when unseating at the last on recent chasing bow; can improve
3	Grozni Bay J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:C Byrnes	J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:C Byrnes	166	—	124-53	-	129	106	25d	—	—	-12	5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Rated 125 over hurdles and caught the eye on chasing debut at Limerick; can do better
NR	Galore Desassences Bay J:TBC T:Gavin Cromwell	J: T:Gavin Cromwell	166	—	P620-3	-	122	4	30d	—	—	-3	5.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Rated 140 over hurdles but didn't jump well on second chase start last time and needs more
NR	Tonys Pet Bay J:TBC T:Barry Connell	J: T:Barry Connell	166	—	8000-	-	-	-	81d	—	—	-3	1.3	19.75/1	80 1%
Rated 101 over hurdles after four unplaced starts; has to improve plenty
5	Punters Poet Bay J:Daniel King T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	J:Daniel King T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	166	p	068-04	-	98	20	10d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Some promise on two chase starts but handicaps will suit better
9	Golden Nugget Bay J:Corey McGivern(4) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Corey McGivern(4) T:Gordon Elliott	146	—	709-7	-	87	62	31d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Rated just 95 over hurdles and has lots on her plate
1	Daicheadacuig Bay J:Ben Harvey T:Brian Mortell	J:Ben Harvey T:Brian Mortell	166	p	U1P-FP	-	100	36	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Hurdle winner has been poor over fences lately and passed over

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Winter Fog	6/4	13/8	13/8	13/8	6/4
I A Connect	9/4	2	9/4	9/4	2
Uncle Phil	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Grozni	11/2	4	4	9/2	4
Galore Desassences	8	8	15/2	8	8
Tonys Pet	66	80	80	80	80
Punters Poet	50	50	50	50	50
Golden Nugget	80	66	66	66	66
Daicheadacuig	150	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

I A Connect

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Winter Fog

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

3rd

Uncle Phil

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Galore Desassences

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Grozni

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Tonys Pet

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Punters Poet

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Golden Nugget

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Daicheadacuig

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Winter Fog	—	125	89
I A Connect	—	—	—
Uncle Phil	—	126	—
Grozni	—	129	106
Galore Desassences	—	122	4
Tonys Pet	—	—	—
Punters Poet	—	98	20
Golden Nugget	—	87	62
Daicheadacuig	—	100	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Punters Poet	10d ago	Quick return
Daicheadacuig	14d ago	Fit
I A Connect	19d ago	Fit
Winter Fog	21d ago	Fit
Grozni	25d ago	Fit
Uncle Phil	30d ago	Fit
Galore Desassences	30d ago	Fit
Golden Nugget	31d ago	Fit
Tonys Pet	81d ago	Fresh