Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings)

Ascot

17:00

Date 2023-06-22

Distance 1m

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £61,848

Runners (30)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
19 (6)	Quantum Impact Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	211-41	91	111	99	26d	—	—	+1	13.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Recent York winner; clearly going the right way and Frankie takes over for the first time
9 (18)	Docklands Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	128	—	2-211	94	114	90	41d	—	—	+5	18.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Bolted up in a C&D handicap last month; up 14lb for that but could be Group class
6 (22)	Racingbreaks Ryder Bay J:James McDonald T:Charles Hills	J:James McDonald T:Charles Hills	131	—	31-111	97	112	75	41d	—	—	+5	14.3	1.75/1	8 13%
Fast improver who is seeking a five-timer and has course experience in the bag
16 (20)	Surely Not Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Hollie Doyle T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	126	—	315-11	92	108	99	42d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Strike-rate of 4-8 and unbeaten in two runs since gelded; not sure he'll be good enough
27 (2)	Royal Cape Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	123	—	9-212	89	111	99	26d	—	—	+7	11	4.25/1	18 6%
Won his novice by 10l and bumped into a Group horse on his handicap debut; interesting
29 (33)	Fort Vega Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	123	—	8-311	89	110	69	32d	—	—	+7	11	4.25/1	18 6%
Has won his last two and connections have chosen this race ahead of the Group 3 Jersey
14 (12)	Carracci Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	126	b	51-39	92	109	94	26d	—	—	+7	11.9	5.25/1	22 5%
AW maiden winner; didn't offer much on handicap debut and doesn't leap off the page
12 (10)	Bless Chestnut J:Stephane Pasquier T:F Chappet	J:Stephane Pasquier T:F Chappet	127	t	31-243	93	113	65	24d	—	—	+7	12.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Some of his French form reads well and this mark shouldn't be beyond him
18 (30)	Saxon King Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	126	—	21-131	92	112	102	5d	—	—	+6	12.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Coming along nicely having won three of his last four; penalised but likeably versatile
25 (13)	Just An Hour Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	124	—	2-31	90	114	60	37d	—	—	+11	14.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Won his maiden off slow fractions at Killarney (1m); strong yard and dangerous to dismiss
8 (3)	New Endeavour Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	129	—	215-51	95	111	72	15d	—	—	+8	12.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Both wins have been over 7f on the AW and he's got an 11lb rise to overcome
21 (5)	Good Karma Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	125	—	01-1	91	109	65	34d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+18	21.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Took his time to get on top when penalised at Newbury and that form has not worked out
4 (31)	Highbank Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	132	—	22-333	98	109	86	118d	—	—	+10	12.9	6.00/1	25 4%
0-5 since last summer's successful debut and now contesting his first handicap
7 (27)	Benacre Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jamie Spencer T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	11-424	96	107	80	24d	—	—	+9	12.3	8.00/1	33 3%
2-3 in handicaps and has been holding his own in Listed/Group races this season
28 (7)	Naxos Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:George Boughey	J:Daniel Tudhope T:George Boughey	123	h	12-1	89	107	-	70d	—	—	+17	20.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Didn't beat much at Newcastle and is thrown into the furnace for his handicap/turf debut
2 (32)	One Nation Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	134	p	823-22	100	109	91	118d	—	—	+11	13.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Highly likely to give his running but couldn't call him well handicapped
1 (28)	Finns Charm Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	59-142	101	112	102	24d	—	—	+10	13.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Has some class about him but top weights have a poor record in the Britannia
3 (26)	Panic Alarm Brown J:Ronan Whelan T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Ronan Whelan T:Mrs John Harrington	133	—	11-334	99	112	77	32d	—	—	+10	13	6.75/1	28 4%
Will need his best yet to defy highish mark in this hot handicap
15 (1)	Betterdaysrcoming Bay J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	126	tv	10-031	92	109	106	26d	—	—	+9	11.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Dual 7f winner; should be better at 1m; unlikely to have enough boot under bonnet in this
10 (17)	Ramazan Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	—	1523-3	94	111	99	36d	—	—	+12	14.6	12.25/1	50 2%
1m is worth exploring but, given his current mark, others are far more intriguing
NR (24)	Theoryofeverything Grey J:TBC T:John & Thady Gosden	J: T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	137	94	111	88	42d	—	—	+14	19.5	4.25/1	18 6%
Promising before finishing last on his handicap debut; has an awful lot to prove
20 (8)	Physique Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Mohammed Tabti(7) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	125	t	21-833	91	110	87	11d	—	—	+8	11	8.00/1	33 3%
Third in both handicaps; worth another crack over 1m but others are more intriguing
26 (9)	Urban Sprawl Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	1-2319	90	114	92	20d	—	—	+15	17.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Balance of form leaves him vulnerable off this mark and he smacks of a 7f specialist
5 (21)	Starnberg Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	131	b	42-211	97	110	87	15d	—	—	+10	12.2	12.25/1	50 2%
2-3 since being gelded, though this is a severe rise in class from Class 4s
13 (19)	Dark Thirty Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	126	—	-74214	92	111	85	26d	—	—	+19	20.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Solid handicapper but a shade exposed now and probably placed at best
30 (23)	Mustajaab b/br J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	123	—	5168-1	89	111	97	42d	—	—	+18	20.2	19.75/1	80 1%
5lb higher than at Southwell and the placed horses have done nothing for that form
23 (4)	Tempered Soul Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	124	—	4215	90	109	78	27d	—	—	+18	20	16.25/1	66 2%
It's hard to enthuse over this sort of mark and he's well down the pecking order
24 (29)	Metal Merchant Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	124	—	15-733	90	111	99	26d	—	—	+9	10.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Developing into a solid handicapper but Royal Cape should have his measure on Haydock form
22 (11)	Thunder Ball Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	124	—	432-01	90	105	76	34d	—	—	+9	10.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Bolted up in a Newbury novice but that was his tenth start and he's gone up 16lb
17 (15)	Forca Timao Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	126	—	71-557	92	111	76	19d	—	—	+9	10.9	19.75/1	80 1%
Close up in a strong Newbury handicap but struggled at Epsom latest; others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Quantum Impact	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Docklands	5	11/2	11/2	5	5
Racingbreaks Ryder	8	8	8	8	8
Surely Not	14	14	14	14	14
Royal Cape	16	16	18	18	16
Fort Vega	16	16	18	18	16
Carracci	22	20	22	22	22
Bless	18	16	12	16	16
Saxon King	12	12	12	12	12
Just An Hour	22	18	22	22	22
New Endeavour	20	20	20	20	20
Good Karma	28	25	25	25	25
Highbank	25	25	25	25	25
Benacre	33	25	28	28	25
Naxos	25	28	28	28	28
One Nation	28	28	28	28	28
Finns Charm	25	25	22	22	22
Panic Alarm	28	28	28	28	28
Betterdaysrcoming	33	33	33	33	33
Ramazan	50	40	50	40	40
Theoryofeverything	18	14	14	16	18
Physique	33	33	33	33	33
Urban Sprawl	50	40	33	40	40
Starnberg	50	50	50	50	50
Dark Thirty	80	66	50	66	66
Mustajaab	80	66	80	80	80
Tempered Soul	66	66	66	66	66
Metal Merchant	66	50	50	50	50
Thunder Ball	66	66	66	66	66
Forca Timao	80	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Good Karma

21.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

2nd

Naxos

20.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

3rd

Dark Thirty

20.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.5

Mustajaab

20.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.5

Tempered Soul

OR: 10 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.5

Theoryofeverything

19.5

OR: 11 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.4

Docklands

18.5

OR: 11 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Urban Sprawl

17.6

OR: 10 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

Just An Hour

14.6

OR: 10 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

Ramazan

14.6

OR: 11 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

Racingbreaks Ryder

14.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Quantum Impact

13.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Finns Charm

13.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

One Nation

13.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Panic Alarm

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Highbank

12.9

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Bless

12.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Saxon King

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

New Endeavour

12.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Benacre

12.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Surely Not

12.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Starnberg

12.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Carracci

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Betterdaysrcoming

11.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Royal Cape

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Fort Vega

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Physique

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Forca Timao

10.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Metal Merchant

10.5

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Thunder Ball

10.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Finns Charm	101	112	102
One Nation	100	109	91
Panic Alarm	99	112	77
Highbank	98	109	86
Racingbreaks Ryder	97	112	75
Starnberg	97	110	87
Benacre	96	107	80
New Endeavour	95	111	72
Docklands	94	114	90
Ramazan	94	111	99
Theoryofeverything	94	111	88
Bless	93	113	65
Surely Not	92	108	99
Carracci	92	109	94
Saxon King	92	112	102
Betterdaysrcoming	92	109	106
Dark Thirty	92	111	85
Forca Timao	92	111	76
Quantum Impact	91	111	99
Good Karma	91	109	65
Physique	91	110	87
Just An Hour	90	114	60
Urban Sprawl	90	114	92
Tempered Soul	90	109	78
Metal Merchant	90	111	99
Thunder Ball	90	105	76
Royal Cape	89	111	99
Fort Vega	89	110	69
Naxos	89	107	—
Mustajaab	89	111	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Saxon King	5d ago	Quick return
Physique	11d ago	Quick return
New Endeavour	15d ago	Fit
Starnberg	15d ago	Fit
Forca Timao	19d ago	Fit
Urban Sprawl	20d ago	Fit
Bless	24d ago	Fit
Benacre	24d ago	Fit
Finns Charm	24d ago	Fit
Quantum Impact	26d ago	Fit
Royal Cape	26d ago	Fit
Carracci	26d ago	Fit
Betterdaysrcoming	26d ago	Fit
Dark Thirty	26d ago	Fit
Metal Merchant	26d ago	Fit
Tempered Soul	27d ago	Fit
Fort Vega	32d ago	Fit
Panic Alarm	32d ago	Fit
Good Karma	34d ago	Fit
Thunder Ball	34d ago	Fit
Ramazan	36d ago	Fit
Just An Hour	37d ago	Fit
Docklands	41d ago	Fit
Racingbreaks Ryder	41d ago	Fit
Surely Not	42d ago	Fit
Theoryofeverything	42d ago	Fit
Mustajaab	42d ago	Fit
Naxos	70d ago	Fresh
Highbank	118d ago	Long break
One Nation	118d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Ramazan	Prominent
Forca Timao	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 30 runners classified.