Karen Millen Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

14:05

Karen Millen Handicap

Date 2023-06-22

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,051

Winning Time 58.94s (slow by 1.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	The Defiant (GB) Joshua Bryan · Daniel Steele	5/2F	Won
2nd	Level Up (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · David Evans	13/2	1.25
3rd	Miss Belladonna (GB) Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	14/1	0.05
4th	The Tron (GB) Morgan Cole · Derek Shaw	15/2	1
5th	Munificent (GB) Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	10/1	0.2
6th	Sir Rodneyredblood (GB) Connor Planas · J R Jenkins	10/1	1.5
7th	Mick's Spirit (GB) Christian Howarth · Conrad Allen	12/1	2
8th	Tomshalfbrother (GB) Taylor Fisher · Robert Cowell	4/1	0.1

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
U.R.	Libertus (GB) Tommie Jakes · James Fanshawe	8/1

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	The Defiant Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Daniel Steele	J:Joshua Bryan T:Daniel Steele	134	t	672346	69	85	66	19d	—	—	-8	14.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Ran well from out of the weights in last two starts on turf; respected off proper mark
6 (1)	Tomshalfbrother Bay J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Robert Cowell	J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Robert Cowell	130	p	01-351	65	79	58	8d	—	—	-8	8.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won narrrowly at Yarmouth last time and well drawn, but a turning 5f may not be ideal
2 (4)	Level Up Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin(3) T:David Evans	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin(3) T:David Evans	136	v	716672	71	84	72	10d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	15.3	1.25/1	6 17%
Three wins on AW and beaten a neck on turf last time; respected off same mark
1 (9)	Libertus Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:James Fanshawe	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:James Fanshawe	137	—	10-972	72	83	39	16d	—	—	-2	8.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beaten a head by a subsequent winner last time, but up 4lb and drawn widest
9 (6)	The Tron Grey J:Morgan Cole(7) T:Derek Shaw	J:Morgan Cole(7) T:Derek Shaw	116	v	134623	51	83	60	9d	—	—	0	10.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
3-37 with his wins coming on Tapeta; looks worth taking on at this level
8 (5)	Munificent Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	122	—	1-6331	57	81	74	58d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won on turf last time, but is 0-10 on Polytrack; others make greater appeal
5 (8)	Micks Spirit Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Conrad Allen	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Conrad Allen	132	v	128754	67	80	79	16d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-1	7.5	2.50/1	11 9%
All four wins at Lingfield and back off last winning mark; 4l behind Libertus there latest
4 (2)	Sir Rodneyredblood Chestnut J:Connor Planas(5) T:J R Jenkins	J:Connor Planas(5) T:J R Jenkins	134	p	411277	69	83	75	28d	—	—	+8	14	3.25/1	14 7%
12 wins on the AW including six here, but well below form the last twice
7 (7)	Miss Belladonna Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	125	—	42-216	60	80	64	119d	—	—	-2	4.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Two of three wins have come over C&D and can go well fresh; should have race run to suit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
The Defiant	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Tomshalfbrother	5	9/2	7/2	9/2	9/2
Level Up	6	6	6	6	6
Libertus	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
The Tron	8	7	13/2	7	15/2
Munificent	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Micks Spirit	10	10	9	10	11
Sir Rodneyredblood	14	12	11	12	14
Miss Belladonna	12	14	11	12	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Level Up

15.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

2nd

The Defiant

14.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Sir Rodneyredblood

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.7

Munificent

11.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

The Tron

10.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Tomshalfbrother

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Libertus

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Micks Spirit

7.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.2

Miss Belladonna

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Libertus	72	83	39
Level Up	71	84	72
The Defiant	69	85	66
Sir Rodneyredblood	69	83	75
Micks Spirit	67	80	79
Tomshalfbrother	65	79	58
Miss Belladonna	60	80	64
Munificent	57	81	74
The Tron	51	83	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tomshalfbrother	8d ago	Quick return
The Tron	9d ago	Quick return
Level Up	10d ago	Quick return
Libertus	16d ago	Fit
Micks Spirit	16d ago	Fit
The Defiant	19d ago	Fit
Sir Rodneyredblood	28d ago	Fit
Munificent	58d ago	Fresh
Miss Belladonna	119d ago	Long break