Lingfield (AW)

18:25

Royal Ascot Form Study On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-06-22
Distance 6f1y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,564

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
2 (6)
El Bodon
Chestnut
J:Adam Kirby
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
J:Adam Kirby
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
133 2
-
83
-
29d -33
25
0.13/1
1/2
67%
Good 2nd at Yarmouth on debut; open to plenty of improvement; the one to beat
NR (3)
So Obsessed
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Marco Botti
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Marco Botti
128
-
-
-
-50
20
16,000gns 2yo; half-sister to a winner in Italy; others look stronger
1 (2)
Commander Of Life
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
133 8
-
66
-
23d -9
3.6
1.38/1
11/2
15%
28-1 when down the field on last month's Leicester debut (6f, good to firm); more required
7 (10)
Quantum Force
Bay
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:George Boughey
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:George Boughey
133
-
-
-
-7
2.7
2.13/1
17/2
11%
£65,000 half-brother to two winners; powerful stable; check the betting
5 (9)
Miggy Magic
Grey
J:Liam Keniry
T:Tom Dascombe
J:Liam Keniry
T:Tom Dascombe
133
-
-
-
-4
1.4
3.75/1
16
6%
110,000euros colt with a smart pedigree; strong paper claims but yard's 2yos fairly quiet
8 (1)
Tactical Control
Bay
J:Rhys Clutterbuck
T:Charles Hills
J:Rhys Clutterbuck
T:Charles Hills
133
-
-
-
-3
1.2
3.75/1
16
6%
£78,000 half-brother to 4 winners; dam a useful 1m winner; one to note in the betting
11 (12)
Jakima
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:Andrew Balding
J:Rob Hornby
T:Andrew Balding
128
-
-
-
-4
1.4
6.00/1
25
4%
Half-sister to a useful winner out of a Listed winner; drawn widest; may need further
4 (4)
Irrelevant
Chestnut
J:George Rooke
T:Richard Hughes
J:George Rooke
T:Richard Hughes
133 9
-
49
-
34d -3
1
6.00/1
25
4%
Dropped away to be beaten 13l at Newbury on last month's debut; plenty more required
10 (5)
Flemish
Bay
J:Trevor Whelan
T:Tom Ward
J:Trevor Whelan
T:Tom Ward
128
-
-
-
-2
0.9
9.75/1
40
3%
Half-sister to 13 winners, incl top-class G Force; yard have modest strike-rate with 2yos
3 (11)
Havana Touch
Grey
J:Jonathan Fisher(5)
T:John Butler
J:Jonathan Fisher(5)
T:John Butler
133
-
-
-
-2
0.6
9.75/1
40
3%
18,000gns half-brother to three winners; drawn wide for debut and likely best watched
9 (8)
Trevor
Bay
J:Paddy Bradley(3)
T:Pat Phelan
J:Paddy Bradley(3)
T:Pat Phelan
133
-
39
-
27d -2
0.6
12.25/1
50
2%
Dropped right away in a good 6f novice at Goodwood four weeks ago
6 (7)
Mighty Pearl
Bay
J:Georgia Dobie(3)
T:Adam West
J:Georgia Dobie(3)
T:Adam West
133 8
-
12
-
13d -1
0.2
62.25/1
250
0%
100-1 and offered little when eighth of nine at Bath 13 days ago (5.5f, firm)
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
El Bodon
1/2 1/2 1/2 1/2 4/9
So Obsessed
SP SP SP SP SP
Commander Of Life
11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 6
Quantum Force
9 17/2 8 17/2 8
Miggy Magic
16 16 16 16 16
Tactical Control
16 16 16 16 16
Jakima
25 20 20 20 20
Irrelevant
25 20 20 22 22
Flemish
33 33 40 33 33
Havana Touch
40 40 40 40 40
Trevor
50 50 50 50 50
Mighty Pearl
200 150 250 200 150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st El Bodon
25
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20
1/2
2nd So Obsessed
20
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20
3rd Commander Of Life
3.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
11/2
4 Quantum Force
2.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
17/2
5 Miggy Magic
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
16
6 Jakima
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
25
7 Tactical Control
1.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
16
8 Irrelevant
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
25
9 Flemish
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
40
10 Havana Touch
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
40
11 Trevor
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
50
12 Mighty Pearl
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
250

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
El Bodon
83
So Obsessed
Commander Of Life
66
Quantum Force
Miggy Magic
Tactical Control
Jakima
Irrelevant
49
Flemish
Havana Touch
Trevor
39
Mighty Pearl
12

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Mighty Pearl 13d ago Quick return
Commander Of Life 23d ago Fit
Trevor 27d ago Fit
El Bodon 29d ago Fit
Irrelevant 34d ago Fit
So Obsessed
Quantum Force
Miggy Magic
Tactical Control
Jakima
Flemish
Havana Touch

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.